Not exact matches
It has long been suspected that the low solar activity during the Maunder
Minimum was one of the causes of the Little
Ice Age, although other factors like a small drop in greenhouse gas
concentrations around 1600 and strong volcanic eruptions during that time likely played a role as well.
The average historic summer
minimum (the yellow line in Fig. 1) indicates large portions of the Chukchi Sea's foraging habitat have been covered with summer
ice concentrations of 50 % and greater for much of the 20th century.
These NASA provided images show the
minimum arctic sea
ice concentration in 1979, at left, and in 2003.
We relate this sea
ice minimum to the strong inflow of warm Atlantic Water as indicated by the contemporaneous prominent maxima in open - water phytoplankton biomarker
concentrations (i.e., brassicasterol and HBI - III), total numbers of dinoflagellate cysts and — especially — the dinoflagellate species O. centrocarpum (Fig. 7d) as well as a prominent maximum in Atlantic - Water species of benthic foraminifers44.
a Average sea
ice concentration 1988 — 2007 for March (winter maximum) and September (summer
minimum)(Source: http://nsidc.org/).
During the MIS 5 interstadials, a seasonal sea
ice cover and
ice - edge conditions seem to have been most prominent, with
minimum sea
ice concentrations towards almost
ice - free summers during MIS 5e (Eemian)(Fig. 3b).
For the LIG - 120 interval, we record an apparent mismatch between the LIG - 120 simulation (suggesting sea
ice conditions similar to those of the PI conditions)(Figs. 4 and 8) and the proxy - based sea
ice record (suggesting
minimum sea
ice concentrations similar to the early - mid-LIG (Fig. 7a).
This interpretation is further supported by the
minimum of the total number of dinoflagellate cysts and peak
concentrations of the dinoflagellate species Impagidinium pallidum (Fig. 7d), indicative of cold polar conditions and an extensive seasonal sea
ice cover42.
At the Barents Sea continental margin (i.e., at site PS2138 - 2) strongly influenced by Atlantic Water inflow,
minimum summer sea
ice concentrations of about 25 % were simulated for the 125 ka time slice (Fig. 8d).
In examining
ice area — the extent weighted by
concentration — the seasonal
minimum in 2008 was nearly identical to that of 2007.
Usually, scientists define a threshold of
minimum concentration to mark the
ice edge; the most common cutoff is at 15 percent.
Then we use available long - term proxies of the solar activity, which are 10Be isotope
concentrations in
ice cores and 22 - year smoothed neutron monitor data, to interpolate between the present quiet Sun and the
minimum state of the quiet Sun.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little
Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane
concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar
minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.