Sentences with phrase «model estimates give»

Not exact matches

This would help to give future retirees a realistic model for estimating expenses in retirement.

You'd probably have to come up with a statistical model that estimates what the fluctuations should be given some basic assumptions on how people will buy to make a conclusive argument that there is something fishy here.

After refusing a planned cesarean for suspected macrosomia based on a 38 week ultrasound estimate of fetal weight, she gave birth vaginally to a healthy baby and later found that the midwives model of care better met her needs as a pregnant woman.

Then, second, given that assumption, we have adjusted the estimates from our statistical model so that if all of our assumptions were to be filled Remain and Leave would be tied at 50 % each across the UK as a whole.

The answer is that turnout modelling takes into account two factors and your estimated turnout will depend on how much weight you are giving to each.

The regulations would require passengers be given the fare or estimated fare before a ride begins, with the app displaying a photo of the driver, the make, model and color of the car and its license plate number.

Steven Sherwood of the University of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia, and his colleagues looked at why different models give different estimates of sensitivity.

While a GCM portrayal of temperature would not be accurate to a given day, these models give fairly good estimates for long - term average temperatures, such as 30 - year periods, which closely match observed data.

Overeem's technique «has the potential to give good quantitative rainfall estimates for real - time hazards forecasting, as well as regional and global climate model analysis in regions of the world where the impact could be great,» Baeck says.

Computer models can give a good estimate of mantle flow and crustal uplift, he said, and GNET's mission is to make those models better by providing direct observations of present - day crustal motion.

The model used a fixed time horizon of 20 years to estimate costs and effects, which is likely to give conservative estimates of cost - effectiveness of the interventions.

Suppose our language model also included W - AY - D (for instance, in the word «wide»), and suppose that we estimated that the speech W - AY - D was even less probable than R - EH - D given the observed audio in the frames so far.

That should give you an estimate of the natural variability and the difference with your GISS model a rough idea of model spread.

If we abandon the models and simply extrapolate the trend, shouldn't that by now, unless there is a huge or unknown temperature lag, give us a target with a similar range, and that range would more or less equal the estimated natural variation?

For example, if someone publishes a paper with a simplified model that assumes no feedbacks giving a mean ECS at 1.2 K, this will not push the combined estimate downwards (regardless of what will be written on the «skeptic» blogs...).

Earth scientists develop a model to estimate the largest possible quake in a given location that could be caused by the disposal of water used in hydraulic fracturing

For instance, models with different parameterization strategies give very different estimates of the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere necessary to raise Earth's surface temperature by 2 °C — with critical implications for policy decisions.

Using the prevailing model of how the universe began and evolved, scientists can estimate just how big structures of this type could be at any given stage of the universe's evolution.

Given these USDOE restrictions, one might think that the only option is for states and districts to choose a sparse growth model, such as median student growth percentiles (SGPs), that only controls for past student exam scores in estimating student growth.

Also, the most popular model used by researchers to estimate peer effects (the «baseline» model) assumes that peer effects are a zero - sum phenomenon - that is, in order to give one student a better peer, that peer must be taken away from another student; the two effects cancel one another out.

They estimate savings in compensation costs for the hybrid model ranging from 36 percent to 57 percent compared to the all - section traditional model (where professors teach all course sections), and 19 percent compared to the lecture - section model (where professors give a large lecture and students are assigned to smaller sections led by teaching assistants).

Models of student achievement in a given year as a function of prior achievement and other controls tend to give higher correlations than other models, see: Daniel F. McCaffrey, Tim R. Sass, J. R. Lockwood, and Kata Mihaly, «The intertemporal variability of teacher effect estimates,» Education Finance and Policy, 4, no. 4, (2009): 572 Models of student achievement in a given year as a function of prior achievement and other controls tend to give higher correlations than other models, see: Daniel F. McCaffrey, Tim R. Sass, J. R. Lockwood, and Kata Mihaly, «The intertemporal variability of teacher effect estimates,» Education Finance and Policy, 4, no. 4, (2009): 572 models, see: Daniel F. McCaffrey, Tim R. Sass, J. R. Lockwood, and Kata Mihaly, «The intertemporal variability of teacher effect estimates,» Education Finance and Policy, 4, no. 4, (2009): 572 - 606.

So - called «value - added modeling» attempts to estimate a teacher's relative abilities based on how they expect students to do given their past performances.

However, given that Chrysler had estimated that the previous model would do the run in roughly 4.9 seconds, this new estimate may be conservative.

After defending the estimates for months, Ford has finally given in to the criticism and will offer owners of the 2013 Ford Fusion Hybrid, the 2013 Ford C - Max Hybrid, and 2013 Lincoln MKZ Hybrid models a chance to perform a voluntary software upgrade that aims to improve the on - road fuel economy of these vehicles.

This new model's high - tech powertrain is meant to give the Sonata Eco a slight boost in fuel economy numbers, to an estimated 28/38/32 mpg (city / highway / combined) rating.

Most of the models are equipped with a V6 engine giving you an estimated 16 MPG city / 24 MPG highway.

Most of the models are equipped with a V6 engine giving you an estimated...

Although executives declined to give volume estimates, a Land Rover source said the abbreviated 2007 model year has a 12,000 - unit target.

Porsch estimates a 0 to 60 mph sprint of 2.7 seconds, but given 911 Turbo S models (with 120 fewer horsepower) have been clocked at 2.7 seconds by independent sources, we'd wager the GT2 RS is being underrated.

Simply input the make, model and vehicle year and we will give you a car title loan estimate.

PD is used along with «loss given default» (LDG) and «exposure at default» (EAD) in a variety of risk management models to estimate possible losses faced by lenders.

When looking at our model families, we estimate the number of reward points based off their bonus categories, as well as everything else they spend in a given year.

This would help to give future retirees a realistic model for estimating expenses in retirement.

Under the simple model that only 50 % of the population was trappable in a given year, estimates from all sources suggested that the feral population in the interior ranged from 128 to 176 cats across years.

When looking at our model families, we estimate the number of reward points based off their bonus categories, as well as everything else they spend in a given year.

But given a particular estimate of solar activity there are a number of modelled responses.

My own work gives TCR estimates towards the upper end of that range, still far below the average for CMIP5 models.

Furthermore, the value of 2.8 °C you mentioned is the best estimate from an analysis of many different models, the likely temperature rise for the A1B scenario is given as 1.7 - 4.4 °C by the IPCC, so our result is higher than the best estimate, but well within the range of all IPCC models.

The figure gives two model estimates for the impact of this circulation (Stocker, 2002).

[Response: I looked into what you could change in the model that would have done better (there is no such thing as a RIGHT / WRONG distinction — only gradations of skill), and I estimated that a model with a sensitivity of ~ 3 deg C / 2xCO2 give the observed forcings would have had higher skill.

Given a spatially and temporally sparse set of point measurements of the behavior of a complex but well understood system, the best way to estimate the overall system behavior is arguably to build a robust model of its physics and train that over time to reproduce the measurement field.

The work is an estimate of the global average based on a single - column, time - average model of the atmosphere and surface (with some approximations — e.g. the surface is not truly a perfect blackbody in the LW (long - wave) portion of the spectrum (the wavelengths dominated by terrestrial / atmospheric emission, as opposed to SW radiation, dominated by solar radiation), but it can give you a pretty good idea of things (fig 1 shows a spectrum of radiation to space); there is also some comparison to actual measurements.

One could use the responses of all three scenarios relative to their specific forcings to make an estimate of what the model would have given using the exact observed forcings, but just using scenario C — which has diverged significantly from the actual forcings — is not going to be useful.

Although there is still some disagreement in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming in the Arctic and stronger precipitation changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).

Gavin Schmidt writes, «He (Crichton) also gives us his estimate, ~ 0.8 C for the global warming that will occur over the next century and claims that, since models differ by 400 % in their estimates, his guess is as good as theirs.

I agree that the models tend to show less decadal ocean variability than observed (given the obvious caveats on the observational side), but absolutely disagree that this implies that longer term estimates are off.

So given a good estimate of the forcings, the model did a reasonable job.

Given the discussion above it is clear that without good estimates of the actual forcings, the differences in the model projections can be large.

But again the «models» estimate includes an observed ice sheet mass loss term of 0.41 mm / year whereas ice sheet models give a mass gain of 0.1 mm / year for this period; considering this, observed rise is again 50 % faster than the best model estimate for this period.