With the baseline controls in X, the factor
model estimates imply the predictive effects and.
Not exact matches
Provided that the
estimates entered on the forecast page are based on market consensus projections, the market -
implied GAP represents the forecast horizon needed in a DCF
model to arrive at a value equal to the current market price.
All
estimates were pooled by using fixed - effect
models; differences < 0 and ratios < 1
imply a beneficial effect of breastfeeding.
By design, SGP
models do not purport to provide causal
estimates of teacher effectiveness (though this does not necessarily
imply that they are less accurate measures); they are intended as a descriptive measure of what is — of test score gains relative to other students who scored similarly in the past.»
The sea - level
estimates are consistent with those from delta18O curves and numerical ice sheet
models, and
imply a significant sensitivity of the WAIS and the coastal margins of the EAIS to orbital oscillations in insolation during the Mid-Pliocene period of relative global warmth.
For precisely this reason, the numerous proxy and
model - based
estimates of the variations in the average temperature of the Northern Hemisphere (not just just the Mann et al reconstruction, as
implied by your comment) show far more modest temperature changes than those typically interpreted from specific proxy records from any one region.
This
implies that the
estimates of ocean heat content changes over the last 10 years are the most accurate that we have had to date and thus provide a good target to compare against the
models.
I agree that the
models tend to show less decadal ocean variability than observed (given the obvious caveats on the observational side), but absolutely disagree that this
implies that longer term
estimates are off.
The current letter also
implies that emissions from shale gas are higher than those for conventional gas, a notion convincingly dispelled by last year's University of Texas study, sponsored by the Environmental Defense Fund, that measured actual — not
estimated or
modeled — emissions from hundreds of gas wells at dozens of sites in the US.
This
implies that the
model estimate is too high.
In fact, under reasonable alternative assumptions, one of the
models used to
estimate the SCC provides a negative
estimate of the SCC —
implying that there are net benefits to global warming, which would argue for subsidizing, not taxing, CO2 emissions.
To the extent the aerosol cooling
estimates in the climate
models are accurate, potential intensity theory (discussed in the previous post)
implies that hurricane intensities shouldn't have started to increase at all until the 1980s or 1990s, even though by that point the planet had warmed quite a bit.
This
implies that «the next two decades» could mean a 2007 - 2027 interval or even a 2008 - 2028 interval, or alternatively, it might simply mean an interval
estimated from
model projections in 2005 as you suggest.
In physical sciences, where an OLS regression
model with normally distributed errors is validly used to
estimate a slope parameter between two variables with observational data, errors in the regressor variable contributing a small part of the total uncertainty, it is usual to accept the uniform prior in the slope parameter (here Y)
implied by the regression
model.
These
models are structurally unstable in various ways that are not yet well explored, and this
implies a level of irreducible imprecision in their answers that is not yet well
estimated.
As well as this simple
estimate from heat balance
implying a best
estimate for ECS of approximately 1.6 °C, and the reworking of the Gregory 02 results suggesting a slightly lower figure, two good quality recent observationally - constrained studies using relatively simple hemispheric - resolving
models also point to climate sensitivity being about 1.6 °C:
Put in a two - hemisphere energy - balance
model and using observed hemispheric temperature changes and ocean heat uptake changes you can easily arrive at an independent total aerosol forcing
estimate - one that also
implies small net total aerosol forcings that are reasonably consistent with the latest observatiional findings.