Sentences with phrase «model forecast using»

The highest prediction of 6.0 million square kilometers is based on a dynamical model forecast using the US Navy Earth System Model (NESM), whereas the lowest prediction of 3.4 million square kilometers comes from a heuristic contribution.

Given that impacts don't scale linearly — that's true both because of the statistics of normal distributions, which imply that (damaging) extremes become much more frequent with small shifts in the mean, and because significant breakpoints such as melting points for sea ice, wet - bulb temperatures too high for human survival, and heat tolerance for the most significant human food crops are all «in play» — the model forecasts using reasonable emissions inputs ought to be more than enough for anyone using sensible risk analysis to know that we making very bad choices right now.

Not exact matches

«Our forecasts are constructed using the combination of the signals from the two models and their typical mean - reversion path,» Been and Specchia says.

«We are getting closer to forecasting eruptions at volcanoes that have been quiet for generations by using detailed physical models to understand how the preceding unrest develops.»

It is essential that the right financial model be used and that correct assumptions be made in forecasting the anticipated benefits, costs and returns of the new value proposition being considered.

NRF's holiday sales forecast is based on an economic model using several indicators including, consumer credit, disposable personal income and previous monthly retail sales releases.

Moreover, simple forecast models using the indicator provide current - quarter estimates of growth in business investment and gross domestic product.

Third, the specifications of their econometric models differ, thereby resulting in different results, even if they used the same economic forecasts and distributions.

The model is both objective, using elements such as volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows, and subjective, including expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings.

We use a model that analyzes multiple forecast periods not just one.

We can not use consensus values for our margin forecasts because our margin calculations take into account a great deal more data than is used in most analysts» models.

Typical financial processes used in business decisions such as formulary and benefit design, new product launching, budgeting and forecasting, and predictive modeling are not provided by PBMs» rebate tools.

This three - part workshop series is designed to help entrepreneurs understand basic financial concepts, build a forecasting model to use in running their businesses and identify key concepts of valuation that apply to their businesses.

As Paul Krugman has written, the common models used to forecast potential GDP take it for granted that if an economy doesn't bounce back quickly from a recession, it's because something has been fundamentally damaged, rather than because the government offered up an insufficient policy response.

This model can be used as a forecasting tool (as an input to, or cross check of, the central staff forecasts which are predominantly judgemental — and much more detailed — in nature).

Ahead of the December 2015 meeting, we used a simple method based on the ECB's leaked models in the German press in order to guestimate the impact of QE on inflation, and thus the potential for additional easing based on the ECB's own forecasts.

Using the proposed service pricing model and the initial amount of circulating tokens the following token demand forecast can be projected (based on daily transaction count assuming 500 USD average deposit):

Data Science Leveraging data science and predictive analytics expertise, we built 20 custom data models that could be used to forecast voter behavior.

Their World Cup forecasting model uses ESPN's Soccer Power Index (SPI)-- a system that combines game and player - based ratings to estimate a team's overall skill level — to calculate odds of each country's performance during each stage of the World Cup.

I will now use my nURS model described in step 4 to generate an election forecast for a variety of CON - LAB leads shown in the blue and green labels in table P0.

Shelby signaled potential increased spending for NOAA's satellite programs used to prepare weather prediction models and advance weather forecasting capabilities.

This gives confidence in the predictions of the current generation of ice - sheet models which are used to forecast future ice loss from Antarctica and resulting sea - level rise.»

To find out more about how meteorologists use forecasting models to get ahead of Mother Nature as well as the limitations of this technology, Scientific American spoke with Thomas Else, chief meteorologist and director of meteorological services and computer programming for Hackettstown, N.J. - based weather forecasting consulting firm Weather Works LLC.

We use different computer forecast models that feed initial conditions — including temperatures, humidity, wind speed and wind direction from around the United States and around the world, from the surface all the way up to the jet stream — into different equations.

«When used in conjunction with forecasted data, the model predictions could be useful for focusing both surveillance efforts, and the pre-positioning of material and equipment in areas and periods of particularly high risk.

It used models and forecast that as groundwater withdrawals continue there in the future, as much as 90 percent of the supply could be drawn directly from the Colorado.

NOAA's Coral Reef Watch uses satellite observations of sea surface temperatures and modeling to monitor and forecast when water temperatures rise enough to cause bleaching.

Adapted by other nations, NOAA, and the Weather Channel, Neilson's model is now used to forecast seasonal forest fire risks.

The team used real - time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.

One day, oceanographers hope Spray and other gliders will be able to roam the oceans at will, providing an almost limitless supply of data that could be used to build more sophisticated climate models and develop better weather forecasts.

Bolstered by the success of their retrospective analysis the scientists forecast caribou habitat to the year 2080 using a «business - as - usual» climate model — the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's A1B model.

This model is widely used by both UK and international groups for research into ocean circulation, climate and marine ecosystems, and operationally as part of the UK Met Office's weather forecasting.

The Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego and Columbia University's Lamont - Doherty Earth Observatory in Palisades, New York, announced today the establishment of a center, the International Research Institute (IRI), that will use cutting - edge climate models to forecast long - term weather changes.

Jason - 3 measurements will also be ingested by Numerical prediction models coupling the atmosphere and the oceans used for seasonal forecasting.

«Consequently, global «water vapor winds» are estimated from the movement of these features and used in numerical weather models to improve long - range forecasts,» Chesters said.

Working with the University of New South Wales, scientists have developed a computer model which uses past wave observations and beach assessments to forecast the erosion and / or accretion of beach sediments over the coming year.

In February and March of this year, Morton met with ministers in Brazil and Peru to discuss the model's 2012 performance and preliminary 2013 fire forecasts, and to examine potential uses of the forecasting information by the area's forest managers.

«We are actually the first ones to use data assimilation models in studying mantle deformation, in an approach similar to weather forecasting,» Liu said.

Economists at North Carolina State University and Indiana University have found that the most widely used model for predicting how U.S. government spending affects gross domestic product (GDP) can be rigged using theoretical assumptions to control forecasts of how government spending will stimulate the economy.

At the same time, he and his students have taken detailed measurements after the deadly 2015 avalanche, which are being used to fine - tune a computer model that will also help improve forecasting.

Their data will be used in computer models to improve weather forecasts, including hurricane tracks and intensities, severe thunderstorms and floods.

«Using our quantitative design model, product design managers in all sectors can forecast sales and profits of alternative aesthetic designs,» Balachander said.

Forecasting — uses weather models (i.e., Doppler radar) to predict wind speeds and patterns at various altitudes.

The freely - accessible database of storm surge data has been compiled through the multi-partner, international eSurge project, which was launched in 2011 with the aim of making available observational data to improve the modelling and forecasting of storm surges around the world using advanced techniques and instruments.

This information is extremely useful to validate the surge models used for forecasts.

Dr Dudok de Wit's team at the International Space Science Institute in Bern, and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, have been using the datasets identified through the network to describe the Sun's influence on climate from 1850 up to the present day, as well as a forecast up to the year 2300.

A typical forecast model today uses grids at the surface that run about five to 30 miles square.

EWeLiNE cannnot simply use the NCAR system because weather models and the algorithms that convert weather predictions into power forecasts differ between the United States and Germany.

«Using simple forecasting models, we showed that thermometer data could be effectively used to predict influenza levels up to two to three weeks into the future.

The system will also allow them to use simulation interfaces to evaluate potential future operating models featuring, say, dynamic electricity pricing or forecast - based facility management.