Sentences with phrase «model kludges»

This agreement is accomplished through each modeling group selecting the forcing data set that produces the best agreement with observations, along with model kludges that include adjusting the aerosol forcing to produce good agreement with the surface temperature observations.

Not exact matches

I'd far rather look through many hundreds of stock photos and find one that fits perfectly with a book's message than to attempt to kludge together a cover from a few images I could get an exclusive on at some high price or to attempt to take one myself, with all the complications that can involve, particularly that of finding models.
the «kludge» argument that the IPCC using indirect modelling makes their argument «circular» doesn't have evidence to back it up.
The proposition to be proved (# 7) is assumed in premise # 3 by virtue of kludging of the model parameters and the aerosol forcing to agree with the 20th century observations of surface temperature.
The «kludge argument» originates from observations of the STS researchers (I think this paper covers it farily well; see also Serendipity; those guys have some interesting things to say about model inter-comparisons too).
In short, I think although the uncertainties are there, as you correctly point out, the limited information you give can be misleading and the «kludge» argument that the IPCC using indirect modelling makes their argument «circular» doesn't have evidence to back it up.
The data doesn't seem to support such claims, the models seem kludge atop kludge.
Neither do kludged up climate models with untold degrees of freedom which can't be verified or validated.
Further, kludging and neglect of ontic uncertainty in the tuning can result in a model that is over - or under - sensitive to certain types or scales of forcing.
Willis, AFAIK there is no deliberate kludge related to volcanic forcing in CMIP5 models.
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