We need to see a rigorously derived statistical test comparing
the model outputs with the data.
[71] Se the books of Robert Tisdale http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/ for many analyses of the ocean surface temperatures continuously observed by satellites since 1982 and extensive comparisons of
model outputs with observations
This is important because most don't realize the IPCC link scientific
model outputs with economic model outputs to create the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES).
In any event, we compare
model outputs with observational data and evaluate the goodness of each model run.
Oh, and the IPCC's comparing
model outputs with and without AGW forcings is, in your words, too funny.
Anagnostopoulos, G. G., Koutsoyiannis, D., Christofides, A., Efstratiadis, A. and Mamassis, N. «A comparison of local and aggregated climate
model outputs with observed data», Hydrological Sciences Journal, 55:7, 1094 — 1110 http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/section?content=a928051726&fulltext=713240928
e.g. see Roger Pielke's post: Very Important New Paper «A Comparison Of Local And Aggregated Climate
Model Outputs With Observed Data» By Anagnostopoulos Et Al 2010 commenting on:
The canonical dominant contribution from man was only ever derived from the comparison of climate
model outputs with and without an assumed manmade CO2 component with high CO2 sensitivity (A), an assumed declining natural component (B) and a manmade aerosol cooling component (C) that is derived from the 20th century observations (D) thusly; C =D - A-B.
The validation of
model output with submarine upward - looking sonar data supports this result.
Contours are rainfall totals from the Canadian Precipitation Analysis, which combines weather
model output with station measurements to estimate regional precipitation amounts.
Their aim at this stage was to reconcile
model output with the recent climate record.
Not exact matches
But he said the 15 - year - old Tesla right now is focused on getting
Model 3
output to more than 5,000 per week,
with a good profit margin per car.
There are other problems in Enbridge's input -
output modelling, some of which seem to be endemic problems
with that kind of approach period, while others seem to be a mis - application of the
modelling by Enbridge.
Think - tank Activities SOAAN will progress in stepwise fashion in order to develop the
outputs mentioned above: Step 1) Review existing science and actions: An overview or survey of the existing science on the topic, including a discussion of the limitations of scope, empirical data, and their reliability and applicability to the organic sector's understanding of best practice; Step 2) Actors engagements: Identification in both public and private sectors of the institutions and individuals active on the topic and their respective roles and networks, so that SOAAN and the organic sector then moves to engage them, along
with think tanking activities; Step 3) Think tank: Development of the
model, the strategy and promotional / advocacy tools through think tank efforts including piloting cases to gain experience and showcase practicability; Step 4) Synthesis: Publication of the results, tools and recommendations.
Nearly all those comparisons aligned
with the
model's
output, indicating that the
model replicated many aspects of what happened to oil and gas under the ocean surface.
How can they be sure that the
model's
output has anything to do
with the real world — especially in cases such as nuclear disasters, which have no empirical data to go on?
When scientists use climate
models for attribution studies, they first run simulations
with estimates of only «natural» climate influences over the past 100 years, such as changes in solar
output and major volcanic eruptions.
The
output of the algorithms of Koch - Janusz and Ringel (in color) overlapped
with the pattern of the underlying dimer
model (in black) on a two - dimensional lattice (indicated in red).
Developing a mathematical
model of a multilayered polymer cantilever coated
with metal electrodes, the researchers systematically calculated how different material parameters affected the energy
output.
For much of the global ocean the coarser resolution is okay, but when you are studying a unique location like the Gulf of Maine,
with its complex bathymetry of deep basins, channels, and shallow banks combined
with its location near the intersection of two major ocean current systems, the
output from the coarser
models can be misleading.»
When the scientists compared the
output of climate
models with a decade of satellite measurements of relative humidity, they found that the
models that best reproduced observed conditions were built on the premise that climate sensitivity is relatively high — 7 degrees F or more.
When the researchers compared their results
with the
output of a number of climate
models, they found that several of the newer
models that have higher resolution and use updated ice sheet configurations do «a very good job» of reproducing the patterns observed in the proxy records.
In this technique, scientists initiate a computer
model with data collected before a past event, and then test the
model's accuracy by comparing its
output with observations recorded as the event unfolded.
VIMS Dean & Director John Wells calls the results of the team's sub-grid inundation
model a «breakthrough» in storm - tide forecasting —
with model output within 6 to 8 inches of the water levels recorded in New York City during Sandy by the U.S. Geological Survey.
The computer
model provides engineers
with the nerve
output generated by a given stimulus, which can then be recreated in a prosthetic by electrically stimulating the nerve through an interface implanted in the body.
Bensmaia and his team validated the
output of the
model against data from a wide variety of experiments conducted by other research teams, and show that it matches their
output with millisecond precision.
The second step for Wang's team was to use
output from the «large - domain» SELFE
model — which they verified by comparing
with actual readings from NOAA tide gauges between Long Island and Chesapeake Bay — to drive a
model of much higher resolution focused on New York City and its harbor.
The scientists examined four different versions of the
model outputs, each one translated for the region
with data from weather stations in the Northwest through a process called «downscaling.»
Now,
with these data serving as the basis for their
models, Allgeier and collaborators can estimate the total amount of nutrient
output from fish by knowing the species and body size of fish in a coral reef community.
While the study conducts a sensitivity analysis that includes one scenario
with higher levels of production subsidies, the fact that the
model's
outputs seem to barely register a tripling of production subsidies raises some questions, especially in light of the findings of the other recent U.S. study led by the Stockholm Environment Institute and EarthTrack described above.
Taken together
with Open Science
model and patent - free access to all
outputs, it is expected that the ALS - RAP will galvanize and enable a faster and even more efficient development of therapies to address the ALS challenge, globally.
The climate sensitivity is an
output of complex
models (it is not decided ahead of time) and it doesn't help as much
with the details of the response (i.e. regional patterns or changes in variance), but it's still quite useful for many broad brush responses.
Results: Researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory — in collaboration
with NERSC, Argonne National Laboratory, and Cray — recently achieved an effective aggregate IO bandwidth of 5 Gigabytes / sec for writing
output from a global atmospheric
model to shared files on DOE's «Franklin,» a 39,000 - processor Cray XT4 supercomputer located at NERSC.
For the earlier generation of
models, results are based on the archived
output from control runs (specifically, the first 30 years, in the case of temperature, and the first 20 years for the other fields), and for the recent generation
models, results are based on the 20th - century simulations
with climatological periods selected to correspond
with observations.
Our
model outputs suggest that seafloor POC flux will decline in most oceanic areas
with exceptions off Peru, the northern coast of Chile, and the Southern and Arctic Oceans (Tables 2, 3; Figures 2, 3).
They conclude, based on study of CMIP5
model output, that equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is not a fixed quantity — as temperatures increase, the response is nonlinear,
with a smaller effective ECS in the first decades of the experiments, increasing over time.
As such, a second method 200 derived from at least one
output of the first method 100 can include: receiving a biological sample from a subject S210; characterizing the subject
with a form of an autoimmune condition based upon processing a microbiome dataset derived from the biological sample S220; and promoting a therapy to the subject
with the autoimmune condition based upon the characterization and the therapy
model S230.
Additionally, the puppetry is the film's crowning technical accomplishment,
with each of the adorable dog
models conveying a physical heft, texture and painstakingly achieved articulation that is reminiscent of the artistry in Aardman's claymation
output and the Rankin / Bass holiday specials.
The real «reforms,» here, pertained to the extent to which value - added
model (VAM) or other growth
output were combined
with these observational measures, and the extent to which districts adopted state - level observational
models as per the centralized educational policies put into place at the same time.
I also argued (but this was unfortunately not highlighted in this particular article), that I could not find anything about the New Mexico
model's
output (e.g., indicators of reliability or consistency in terms of teachers» rankings over time, indicators of validity as per, for example, whether the state's value - added
output correlated, or not,
with the other «multiple measures» used in New Mexico's teacher evaluation system), pretty much anywhere given my efforts.
Although I tend to fall into the latter camp, I do not believe that these two approaches are necessarily mutually exclusive, but that is beside the major point, which is that we must establish as an objective the transformation of educator preparation programs into customer - driven institutions
with assessments grounded in
output - and performance - based criteria, so that Texas becomes the
model for value - added evaluation of such programs.
Models are modular
with 4 interchangeable monitors that show different energy
outputs.
The latter lifts the M3's standard 425bhp
output to 444bhp,
with a healthy torque
output of 406 lb ft.. While top speed remains limited to 155mph, it's enough to launch the M DCT
model to 62mph in four seconds flat, or a tenth quicker than the regular production car.
Despite this incredibly high specific
output (166bhp per litre) and a 0 - 62mph time of 5.9 seconds, the RCZ R is actually the most efficient
model in the petrol RCZ line - up,
with impressive claimed figures of 44.8 mpg on the combined cycle and 145g / km of CO2 emissions.
Although the
output figures haven't been certified, GM estimates that the most potent SS
model will produce 420 hp and 408 lb - ft of torque from its LS3 V - 8,
with the L99 V -8-powered car good for 395 hp.
It's also 26 hp more than the current -
model - year C63 AMG
with the $ 6050 AMG Development Package, which ups the power
output to 481 hp and the top speed to 174 mph.
The
model will also be available
with a 2.2 - liter turbodiesel engine that is offered in combination
with an eight - speed automatic transmission, although it's unclear if this combination will come to the U.S. Power
output is unknown, but we do know the
model comes
with standard all - wheel drive that incorporates active yaw control for enhanced stability.
The new coupé and cabrio will be available again as 630, 650 and 635d
models with outputs of 272, 367 and 286 hp.
The Sport Series is tasked
with more than doubling McLaren's overall road car
output to more than 4000 units per year — it's the crux of the McLaren Automotive business
model.
The 2012
model year saw the V - 6's
output jump to 323 hp, the debut of a 45th Anniversary Package and the addition of a monstrous ZL1
model with a 580 - hp, supercharged V - 8, among other performance goodies.