Sentences with phrase «model predictions of»

My favorite quote from that paper is: «Because ENSO is the dominant mode of climate variability at interannual time scales, the lack of consistency in the model predictions of the response of ENSO to global warming currently limits our confidence in using these predictions to address adaptive societal concerns, such as regional impacts or extremes (Joseph and Nigam 2006; Power et al. 2006).»

And so far things are not looking very good for the climate model predictions of declining snowfall in the 21st century.

Sea - level rise is quickening pace Data crunch confirms model predictions of flooding coastlines.

However, the model predictions of the climate of the end of this century lie largely outside of this evaluation period, due to the projected future CO2 forcing being significantly greater than that seen in the observational record.

The expert and climate model predictions of CO2 and global warming wreaking fire havoc upon forested areas is absolutely without convincing empirical evidence.

The implications of this study suggest that society needs to seriously consider model predictions of future climate change.»

The resemblance of the NH cents SAT patterns to the typical cell - like NAM pattern effects in the meteorological data used here and the similarity of model predictions of Rozanov et al. to the positive NAM SAT pattern perhaps indicates a common mechanism between the NAM and changes induced by geomagnetic variations.

To the authors» knowledge, this is the first study that has documented the impact of precipitation simulation imperfections on model predictions of surface air temperature.

As noted by Pat Frank, Demetris Koutsoyiannis» new paper has been published, evaluating 18 years of climate model predictions of temperature and precipitation at 8 locales distributed worldwide.

DAGW «consensus» believers apparently do not like your analyses, because they are based on actual observations of past climate trends rather than on model predictions of future climate changes, which myopically fixate on the human - induced aspect only.

«Reducing the wide range of uncertainty inherent in current model predictions of global climate change will require major advances in understanding and modeling of both (1) the factors that determine atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols, and (2) the so - called «feedbacks» that determine the sensitivity of the climate system to a prescribed increase in greenhouse gases.»

«Observational evidence does not support today's computer climate models, so there is little reason to trust model predictions of the future.»

No doubt the IPCC will assiduously avoid addressing such issues in AR5, and will distract the global media with measures of dramatically increasing CO2 emissions and climate model predictions of it's impact, (delayed by up to 15 years apparently!).

With this information, I examine global climate model predictions of future climate to see whether the models change in what seem to be realistic ways.

The growth rings of trees provided the evidence for reconstructions of what climatologists call the warm Medieval period, and the researchers matched the picture from the past with 17 different computer model predictions of the climate later in the 21st century.

In contrast to the sophisticated climate model predictions of runaway («tipping point») global warming, in reality, real - world global warming, as measured by satellites, has disappeared for over 16 years despite the gargantuan increases in CO2 emissions... (Ramez Naam denies this)

Knutti, R. (2008) «Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?»

Scientists proposing catastrophic majority anthropogenic global warming models (a.k.a. «Climate change») bear the burden of proof of providing clear robust evidence supporting validated model predictions of anthropogenic warming with strong significant differences from this climatic null hypothesis.

We must also communicate the growth in model uncertainty as model predictions of the future advance farther and farther from the present climate state.

Their work encompasses a range of problems and time scales: from five - day model predictions of hurricane track and intensity, to understanding the causes of changes in extremes over the past century, to building new climate prediction models for seamless predictions out to the next several years, to earth system model projections of human - caused changes in various extremes (heat waves, hurricanes, droughts, etc.) over the coming century.

So, they didn't actually simulate sea level changes, but instead estimated how much sea level rise they would expect from man - made global warming, and then used computer model predictions of temperature changes, to predict that sea levels will have risen by 0.8 - 2 metres by 2100.

Speaking of Hansen's 1988 predictions and GCMs in general, Demetris Koutsoyiannis» paper has been published, evaluating 18 years of climate model predictions of temperature and precipitation at 8 locales distributed worldwide.

Scaling factors derived from detection analyses can be used to scale predictions of future change by assuming that the fractional error in model predictions of global mean temperature change is constant (Allen et al., 2000, 2002; Allen and Stainforth, 2002; Stott and Kettleborough, 2002).

Why should we believe model predictions of the future, when they can't even explain the past?

Comparing model predictions of GHG - induced warming with recent natural temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.

Changes in a suite of ecological processes currently underway across the broader arctic region are consistent with Earth system model predictions of climate - induced geographic shifts in the range extent and functioning of the tundra and boreal forest biomes.

I also agree that model predictions of 0.2 C surface warming per decade were clearly inaccurate, but on the larger question of climate trends, they were probably not very far off.

We use the global cooling and drying of the atmosphere that was observed after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo to test model predictions of the climate feedback from water vapor.

Is this something that should lead us to doubt model predictions of global warming?

Jennifer Barnes, an Einstein postdoctoral fellow at Columbia University, who as a UC Berkeley graduate student worked with Kasen to compute some of the first detailed model predictions of kilonovae, said, «We expected from theory and simulations that kilonovae would be tinged red if heavy elements were produced, and would shine blue if they weren't.

Ji, M., A. Leetmaa, and V.E. Kousky, 1996: Coupled model predictions of ENSO during the 1980s and the 1990s at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction.

In order to understand how El Niño responds to various climate forces, researchers test model predictions of past El Niño changes against actual records of past ENSO activity.

«This was an oversimplification that likely led to errors in model predictions of how well crops and forests grow in different times and places,» he said.

Projecting the future, or future - casting, is the work of combining social science, research, technical data, economic trends and, yes, even science fiction, to model a prediction of the future.

Scientists looked at modeled predictions of climate change and reproductive data from lesser prairie - chickens from 2001 - 2011 to determine how weather conditions affect reproductive success in the Southern High Plains.

After painstakingly removing multiple sources of background signals, the team was left with a neutrino flux of 66 billion per square centimeter per second, close to the standard solar model prediction of 60 billion, they report online today in Nature.

The researchers» methodical approach — to model the prediction of API emissions based on consumption patterns — is new.

An estimated one or two tourists could get Zika during the three weeks of Olympic Games «Scientists have also done modeling predictions of the likely number of Zika virus cases based on that experience with dengue,» explained John McConnell, editor of the journal Lancet Infectious Diseases.

On global vs. local, how about the global model prediction of a deepening and widening of the tropical atmospheric circulation, which leads to the Hadley cell expansion and the projection of the dry zones expanding polewards.

I wasn't asking for a model prediction of a particular hiatus FROM 1998 on, but a prediction of a decadal hiatus MADE BEFORE 1998.

The left hand picture is the climate model prediction of warming in the mid troposphere due to greenhouse gases from 1958 to 1999.

The models predictions of unceasing, accelerating global temps are the foundation of the entire CAGW policy argument.

The first is that the doomsday scenario for polar bears comes, not from real - world observation but from computer - modeled predictions of what might happen in the future if the ice caps melt, etc..

Data on monitoring and changes in status, along with modeling predictions of temperature and pH effects, should be brought to governments and the public... the United States could grab the front end of the problem by taking serious steps to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions: the root cause of global warming and the reef problem.»

They find that the tropical hotspot does exist, that the models predictions of this tropic hotspot in the tropical tropospheric trends thus fit.

An investment model prediction of dating infidelity.

Not exact matches

Along with several other analysts on Friday, including Steve Milunovich at UBS, Sacconaghi also said it was becoming clear that the latest lineup of iPhones had not sparked a massive wave of consumers with older models upgrading their phones, a prediction dubbed the «super cycle,» which had helped drive Apple's stock price up 45 % since early 2017.

If we're talking about a model trained on data to make predictions, let's stick with ML (a subfield of AI).

Analysts are counting on robust sales of the iPhone 8 models to help Apple (aapl) meet its revenue prediction of between $ 49 billion and $ 52 billion for the current quarter, the company's fiscal fourth quarter of 2017 which ends at the end of this month.

One advantage of using spaghetti plots is that they combine many models created through different methods, adding to the confidence of the predictions when lots of the paths overlap.