Sentences with phrase «model predicts global»

My simple regression - based statistical climate model predicts global carbon dioxide, surface temperature & sea level at yearly time steps.

Empirical scientists should be alarmed that while the most commonly quoted climate models predict a global temperature increase of 3C per century over this time, it is not happening.

Only the GIGO models predict global harm from that essential trace gas, while real world observations show that CO2 is harmless.

What do the current models predict global warming will mean for humanity in practical terms?

Not exact matches

Leading progressive academic economist Steve Keen gained international recognition after he successfully predicted the 2007 global crisis using an alternative macro-economic model built on the pioneering work of Hyman Minsky and Wynne Godley.

Climate models predict that as global temperatures rise over the next seven decades, subtropical regions like the American Southwest will get drier, while more northern areas, including much of Canada, will get wetter.

These high - resolution projections, based on global climate models, predict when and where annual coral bleaching will occur.

No model, however, has predicted the global warming hiatus which climate researchers have observed since the turn of the millennium.

When researchers ran the numbers for the Corn Belt, the global models fell short of reality: They predicted both temperature and humidity to increase slightly, and rainfall to increase by up to 4 % — none of which matches the observed changes.

If global warming causes strong storms to grow even more fierce, as some climate models predict, that could trigger a self - feeding cycle that unleashes still more heat - trapping CO2 into the atmosphere.

«The broader idea is that we must understand and include the effects of forest loss when modeling global climate and trying to predict how climate will change in the future,» said Swann.

But climate models predict reductions in dissolved oxygen in all oceans as average global air and sea temperatures rise, and this may be the main driver of what is happening there, she says.

Global climate models predict that already - wet regions, such as the northeastern United States, will get even wetter by the end of the century if carbon dioxide levels reach 717 parts per million.

There are more than a dozen widely used global climate models today, and despite the fact that they are constantly being upgraded, they have already proved successful in predicting seasonal rainfall averages and tracking temperature changes.

Over the past 34 years, rainfall in Uganda has decreased by about 12 percent even though many of the global climate models predict an increase in rainfall for the area, according to an international team of researchers.

«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global warming in the future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.

A U.S. Forest Service (USFS) study found that between 53 and 97 percent of natural trout populations in the Southern Appalachian region of the U.S. could disappear due to warmer temperatures predicted by global climate change models.

The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by current models of global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in temperatures, combined with acidification of the oceans.

To find out if global warming might skew the sex ratio of hatchlings, Rory Telemeco and his colleagues at Iowa State University in Ames developed a mathematical model to predict the sex ratio of eggs laid at different temperatures.

These models currently predict that as a result of today's global climate change, Antarctica will warm twice as much as the rest of the planet, though it won't reach its peak for a couple of hundred years.

Hertel and doctoral student Uris Baldos developed a combination of economic models — one that captures the main drivers of crop supply and demand and another that assesses food security based on caloric consumption — to predict how global food security from 2006 to 2050 could be affected by changes in population, income, bioenergy, agricultural productivity and climate.

They found no significant trends, but when they put the data into computer models and simulated a rise in temperature — as predicted through global warming — the results were striking.

Climate models, it says, «can neither confirm that global warming is occurring now, or predict future climate changes», and yet «have been used to frame the debate».

With a global seismic tomography model that makes use of seismic waves to map the internal structure of the Earth's mantle, Schellart and Spakman were able to identify the fossil slab structure below central and south - eastern Australia at a location and depth predicted by the reconstructions.

They then compared those results with predicted isotope distributions derived from a global climate model.

James Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City and a vociferous advocate for lowering global greenhouse gas emissions, was chosen for his work modeling Earth's climate, predicting global warming, and warning the world about the consequences.

I am in the process of creating a model to predict the global spread of HIV subtypes.

By understanding how these fishes evolved, by understanding how we got from the past to the present, we can create a model for predicting what's going to happen as global climates change, as deforestation continues, and all of these aquatic habitats change.

«When we look forward several decades, climate models predict such profound loss of Arctic sea ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence on sea ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's Polar Science Center in Seattle and co-author of a study on projections of the global polar bear population.

MODIS tracks features of the land, oceans and atmosphere that can help develop models that predict global changes.

«Most climate models that incorporate vegetation are built on short - term observations, for example of photosynthesis, but they are used to predict long - term events,» said Bond - Lamberty, who works at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a collaboration between PNNL and the University of Maryland in College Park, Md. «We need to understand forests in the long term, but forests change slowly and researchers don't live that long.»

If only modest action is taken to reign in greenhouse gas emissions, the model predicts that pikas will disappear from about 75 percent of sites by 2070 (51 to 88 percent, depending on the global climate model used).

Complex as they may be, the activities and effects of consumers should be incorporated into global vegetation models in order to accurately predict the likely consequences of global change.

With aggressive action to reduce greenhouse gases, the model predicts that only about 51 percent of sites will suffer local extinction (39 to 79 percent, depending on the global climate model).

Global Earth System Models (ESMs) all predict that global photosynthesis will increase with carbon dioxide, but they differ by a factor of three in the size of this «CO2 fertilization&rGlobal Earth System Models (ESMs) all predict that global photosynthesis will increase with carbon dioxide, but they differ by a factor of three in the size of this «CO2 fertilization&rglobal photosynthesis will increase with carbon dioxide, but they differ by a factor of three in the size of this «CO2 fertilization».

Climate models predict that as the world warms, heat in inner Asia will continue to rise substantially faster than the global mean.

Consequences of global sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst - case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models

On average, the models predicted an 11 percent increase in CAPE in the U.S. per degree Celsius rise in global average temperature by the end of the 21st century.

Still, the increase is about what's predicted by computer models of global climate.

A team of scientists from Vanderbilt and Stanford universities have created the first comprehensive map of the topsy - turvy climate of the period and are using it to test and improve the global climate models that have been developed to predict how precipitation patterns will change in the future.

Instrumental measurements are also too short to test the ability of state - of - the - art climate models to predict which regions of the hemisphere will get drier, or wetter, with global warming,» says Charpentier Ljungqvist.

«The scientific community is only beginning to understand what it would mean for global climate should this trend continue, as predicted by some climate models.»

In the Arctic, sea ice is vanishing, even faster than models of global warming have predicted.

Interestingly, the key results are comparable for different models, predicting the same hotspots and global highways of bioinvasion.

The new numbers will be used in models created by economists, environmentalists, and governments who use population estimates to predict pollution and global warming levels; prepare for epidemics; determine road, school, and other infrastructure requirements; and forecast worldwide economic trends.

«Climate changes predicted by the global circulation models would cause several percent of the Mexican population to move north [if] all other factors are held constant.»

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, an international organization created by the United Nations that produces climate change models, has predicted that sea levels could rise as much as 21 feet (6.4 meters) in the next century if global warming continues unabated.

Kröpelin says that the new findings will help climatologists fine - tune their computer models — which he says were wrong about what happened to the Sahara — to more accurately predict the effect of global warming.

The consequences of global sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst - case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models, which don't fully account for the fast breakup of ice sheets and glaciers, NASA scientists said today (Aug. 26) at a press briefing.

Meehl and his colleagues used two sophisticated computer models of global climate to predict what would happen under various scenarios for greenhouse gas emission controls, taking into account the oceanic time lag.