Sentences with phrase «model projections for»

He then used model projections for the 21st Century to calculate potential changes in global aridity.

Average of the IPCC computer model projections for the tropical mid-troposphere versus three standard sets of observations: weather balloons, temperature sensed from satellites, and «reanalysis» data used to initialize the daily weather map.

Anthropogenic warming by the end of the 21st century will likely cause tropical cyclones globally to be more intense on average (by 2 to 11 % according to model projections for an IPCC mid-range scenario).

Global climate model projections for sea ice trends around Antarctica are at odds with what is being observed.

Other climate changes related to greenhouse warming, such as increases in vertical wind shear over the Caribbean, lead to fewer yet more intense hurricanes in the GFDL model projections for the late 21st century.

The most effective downscaling approaches use the statistical correlations of local weather to larger scale patterns and use model projections for those patterns to estimate changes in local weather regimes.

However, even without the actual results from the models for the past 30 years, I think we can surmise that driven by changes in anthropogenic forcings alone, the models simulations of the past 30 years would be trending in a similar direction as the model projections for the future, that is, vertical stability and wind shear should be increasing, at least over the tropical Atlantic.

First, as in Mann and Kump, Mann compared model projections for land - and - ocean to observations for land - only.

I challenge you to produce data showing accurate average model projections for any period that the answer was not already pretty well known, outside 1990 to 2005.

The range of model projections for each emissions scenario is the result of the differences in the ways the models represent key factors such as water vapor, ice and snow reflectivity, and clouds, which can either dampen or amplify the initial effect of human influences on temperature.

2: Our Changing Climate, Key Messages 5 and 6).4, 10 A range of model projections for the end of this century under a higher emissions scenario (A2), averaged over the region, suggests about 5 % to 20 % (25th to 75th percentile of model projections) increases in winter precipitation.

In so doing, it should help climate scientists pinpoint causes of drought and extreme rainfall in the past and identify patterns that could lead to better climate model projections for the future.

Claim of a substantial gap between model projections for global temperature & observations is not true (updated with 2017 estimate): pic.twitter.com/YHzzXtbhs 9

Observed sea level rise since 1970 from tide gauge data (red) and satellite measurements (blue) compared to model projections for 1990 - 2010 from the IPCC Third Assessment Report (grey band).

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change model projections for 2100 exceed the full distribution of Holocene temperature under all plausible greenhouse gas emission scenarios.

Model projections for precipitation changes are less certain than those for temperature.12, 2 Under a higher emissions scenario (A2), global climate models (GCMs) project average winter and spring precipitation by late this century (2071 - 2099) to increase 10 % to 20 % relative to 1971 - 2000, while changes in summer and fall are not expected to be larger than natural variations.

In the project, FMI compiles and evaluates RCP - based climate model projections for Finland, constructs daily gridded datasets of a number of climatic variables, assesses climate change impacts on human health, provides guidance to end - users and exports up - to - date information to Climateguide.fi.

The blue shading represents the range of model projections for the SRES A1B scenario for the 21st century, relative to the 1980 to 1999 mean, and has been calculated independently from the observations.

The idea apparently persists that climate models are somehow built on the surface temperature records, and that any adjustment to those records will change the model projections for the future.

The envelope of model projections for the recent years (discussed here) is easily wide enough to encompass what has actually happened — it has very little relevance to longer term trends.

As the basis for the chapter to follow, we provide summaries of the scaled - down global climate model projections for each of these climate variables below.

We examine historical trends in total annual streamflow; discuss what climate factors most influence these patterns; and present model projections for the future.

We show historical trends in snowmelt and runoff timing; examine climate factors that most influence these patterns; and present model projections for stream runoff in the future.

Figure 7: IPCC TAR model projection for emissions Scenario A2 (blue) vs. observed surface temperature changes (average of NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4; red) for 1990 through 2012.

Then we're given modeled projections for changes in our climate (some sucessful, some not) but following the projections seasons or years are included.

Coloured lines show average model projection for no nutrient constraints (black), limits to nitrogen (red), and limits to nitrogen and phosphorus (blue).

Not exact matches

If I have modeled financial projections for several previous companies, ask me for help in modeling yours (if relevant).

«The models that had been developed in those days to predict homeowner behavior, not surprisingly, did not have this type of loan factored into their forward - looking projections for 2004 and 2005.

The Bank's usual practice is to assume for our projection that oil prices will remain stable and use our economic models to test alternative scenarios.

The fact that Tesla is «on track» with its previous projections for increased Model 3 is encouraging since the company has already delayed Model 3 production targets twice.

CDR --- your projection for your end result is probably correct.The wealth of switzerland will be the value of its international portfolio.If it is so easy why doesn't everyone do this.It is similar to the perpetual money machine of the U.S. Fed — they build a massive balance sheet of U.S. treasury debt and then clip the coupons and pass the «earnings» back to the Treasury filling the gap of an ever expanding deficit.Following the Swiss model the Treasury should just issue more debt and sell it to the FED and collect the annual interest income — simple

Jake Elliott ($ 4,600): Elliott hasn't scored fewer than 10 points in a game this season and is currently tied for the second - highest point projection in our Models at 11.6.

FantasyLabs» NBA Models have him projected for 32.7 minutes tonight, but that still works out to a projection of 20.7 points for tonight's contest.

A typical day could include anything from brainstorming with our content team on the new publication programme or our latest digital app project; to discussing improvements to our Ambassador model and developing strategy with our sales and marketing team; to reviewing cash flow projections with finance; to designing our new Oxford Studio and reviewing the menu for our Storyteller's Café!

Another promising approach involves combining physics, statistical modeling and computing to derive sound projections for the future of ice sheets.

For projections of future temperature and precipitation during the near future (2021 - 2050) and the far future (2071 - 2100), the researchers used 11 different global climate models.

Therefore, also changes in land cover should be represented in climate models for projections of future climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.

To improve accuracy, Moritz's team looked for commonalities among 16 models and produced their own projections of the results.

Two important advances since the last IPCC assessment have increased confidence in the use of models for both attribution and projection of climate changes.

The study was partially funded by Columbia University Research Initiatives for Science and Engineering (RISE) award; the Office of Naval Research; NOAA's Climate Program Office's Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections; Willis Research Network; and the National Science Foundation.

The model produces different jobs and growth projections for a business - as - usual scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.

«The models we use for these purposes are getting better,» he added, «but we have to be cautious about how much credence to put into the model projections, especially when we don't see the clear trend in the data.»

The model accounts for accretion of sand onto beaches and long - term sediment processes in making projections of future shoreline position.

Johnston said that the west Florida Shelf is a high - production fishery, especially for red grouper, and that projection model shows the grouper in areas that are expected to have high lionfish populations in the future.

Bukiet's model picked 2/3 of the ten post-season teams back in March (there were some ties in the original projections leading to the fraction), a result that beat nearly 90 % of the experts (at Yahoo Sports, Sports Illustrated, ESPN and the Examiner) and that for the third year in four placed him first at Baseballphd.nets annual contest to pick the teams who would make it to the playoffs.

For the RCP8.5 projections, which represents stronger increases in greenhouse gas concentrations than RCP4.5, there was a striking level of consistency in the magnitude of change in AR frequency — all models showed an approximate doubling of the number of future ARs compared to the simulations for 1980 — 20For the RCP8.5 projections, which represents stronger increases in greenhouse gas concentrations than RCP4.5, there was a striking level of consistency in the magnitude of change in AR frequency — all models showed an approximate doubling of the number of future ARs compared to the simulations for 1980 — 20for 1980 — 2005.

They then used a crop model to simulate daily water requirements for various crops, driven by the researchers» modeled projections of precipitation and temperature, and compared these requirements with the amount of water predicted to be available for irrigation in a particular basin through the year 2050.

Computer model projections of future conditions analyzed by the Scripps team indicate that regions such as the Amazon, Central America, Indonesia, and all Mediterranean climate regions around the world will likely see the greatest increase in the number of «dry days» per year, going without rain for as many as 30 days more every year.

When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world of continuing high greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.

Future projections for the same cities are drawn from climate models that estimate temperature and humidity assuming global greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated.