Using observed and
modeled ocean current conditions, they found a difference of distance between the turtles and drifters to be as much as 125 miles in the first few days.
Temperature observations are sparse around the hostile continent, but scientists recently
modeled the ocean current knock - on effects of these wind changes, which have been caused by ozone thinning and by the buildup of greenhouse gases.
Not exact matches
«Using a numerical climate
model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a significant fraction of the amplified warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and
ocean currents.
Greatly improved computer
models began to suggest how such jumps could happen, for example through a change in the circulation of
ocean currents.
The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by
current models of global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in temperatures, combined with acidification of the
oceans.
It also uses a low - resolution
ocean model that doesn't include key
currents that transfer heat to higher latitudes, such as the Gulf Stream.
Our global climate
models zoom down to finer and finer resolutions; our satellites reveal remote corners of the globe; we increase our understanding of the response of giant ice sheets and deep
ocean currents to a warming planet.
Visitors can enter
models of the explorers» base camps and view a computer map of Antarctica outlining the
ocean currents around the continent and the land masses and mountains that lie hidden beneath the ice.
«When we included projected Antarctic wind shifts in a detailed global
ocean model, we found water up to 4 °C warmer than
current temperatures rose up to meet the base of the Antarctic ice shelves,» said lead author Dr Paul Spence from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS).
For much of the global
ocean the coarser resolution is okay, but when you are studying a unique location like the Gulf of Maine, with its complex bathymetry of deep basins, channels, and shallow banks combined with its location near the intersection of two major
ocean current systems, the output from the coarser
models can be misleading.»
The
current study is based on fundamental work on the
modeling of the seafloor, which was conducted in the group of Professor Lars Rüpke within the framework of the Kiel Cluster of Excellence «The Future
Ocean.»
The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer
modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system
model, the most detailed data on
current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.
Surprise find The team's actual mission was to survey
ocean currents near the Ross Ice Shelf, a slab of ice extending more than 600 miles (970 kilometers) northward from the grounding zone of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Ross Sea, to
model the behavior of a drill string, a length of pipe extending to the seafloor which delivers drilling fluids and retrieves sediment samples.
Computer
models peg
ocean acidity at 7.8 to 7.7 by the end of the century at the
current rate of greenhouse gas emissions.
This information will provide unique insight into the eddy's duration, stability, and influence on the
ocean systems; and will improve
current ocean models, which are critical for developing expectations on the health of future
oceans.
Climate
models do not predict an even warming of the whole planet: changes in wind patterns and
ocean currents can change the way heat is distributed, leading to some parts warming much faster than average, while a few may cool, at least at first.
According to the
model, wind and
ocean currents often transport meltwater around the southern tip of Greenland on a westward journey that can take upward of 60 days.
The researchers paired MIT's global circulation
model — which simulates physical phenomena such as
ocean currents, temperatures, and salinity — with an ecosystem
model that simulates the behavior of 96 species of phytoplankton.
January 2004: «Directions for Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability,
ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate
models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.»
The results are presented at a resolution high enough to enable studying
ocean eddies and other narrow
current systems, which are overlooked by lower - resolution
models.
Sometimes the data viz artists work with other scientists» data; sometimes they pursue projects of their own — like this awesome
model of
ocean currents.
Some
models have shown that transport via
ocean currents from more densely populated areas further south is highly likely.
The outer layer of this hydrosphere is almost entirely frozen, but
current models predict that there is an
ocean up to 100 kilometers in depth underneath the ice.
The researchers use computer
models to forecast future
ocean conditions such as surface temperatures, salinity, and
currents, and project how the distribution of different fish species could respond to climate change.
They use computer
models to investigate the sensitivity of Thwaites Glacier to
ocean melt, and to determine whether the
current recession is unstable17.
Using a highly realistic biophysical
model of
ocean currents and larval behavior of snapper developed by co-author Claire Paris of the University of Miami, the researchers traced the movement of snapper larvae from spawning sites in Cuba.
I've been told that
current models exclude anoxic
oceans as a future possibility.
The
ocean current data is unique and should be a valuable input to
ocean modeling.
The
model variables that are evaluated against all sorts of observations and measurements range from solar radiation and precipitation rates, air and sea surface temperatures, cloud properties and distributions, winds, river runoff,
ocean currents, ice cover, albedos, even the maximum soil depth reached by plant roots (seriously!).
One needs to contrast the long - term weakening of the Walker circulation (which is robust) with the change in the
models» El Nià ± o (which is not robust — there's a series of papers describing this for the
current IPCC
models: e.g. van Oldenborgh et al 2005
Ocean Sci., Merryfield 2005 J. Clim., Capotondi et al 2005 J. Clim., Guilyard 2005 Clim.
Chan and Liu (2004) argue that
current models are not yet sufficiently good for addressing the question regarding global warming and typhoons (A typhoon is technically the same as a hurricane, the difference being that they form over the western Pacific or the Indean
Ocean).
Many different
models have now demonstrated that our understanding of
current forcings, long - term observations of the land surface and
ocean temperature changes and the canonical estimates of climate forcing are all consistent within the uncertainties.
On the other hand, the budgeting of salinity implicit in the
ocean model used by Hatun et al. may not properly account for river run - off (freshens the water), transport from the Pacific, the Canadian Archipelago, the East Greenland
current, or melting processes.
So, if some of these ideas on termination of glaciations are correct (ice - sheet temperature,
ocean circulation and CO2), and all of these are omitted from the
current model, it leaves open the possibility that a more comprehensive
model would get a different result.
The improved computer
models also began to suggest how such jumps could happen, for example through a change in the circulation of
ocean currents.
Since paleo reconstructions are highly dependent on
ocean currents, without a proper
model of the
ocean currents, «averaging» Paleo reconstructions can lead to false conclusions.
Projections differ widely among climate
models, and differences in the solar reflection by low clouds over tropical
oceans account for much of the spread in climate projections across
current models.
Molines, G. Madec, 2014, Improvements of simulated Western North Atlantic
current system and impacts on the AMOC,
Ocean Modelling, Volume 76, Pages 1 - 19 link
Adapted for Australian
oceans, the
model simulates the effect of climate in the 2060s on temperature and
currents in the warm pool, a tuna habitat defined by warmer surface water.
Using an
ocean circulation
model for the shelf, the authors find that surface temperatures may increase by 0.5 to 2.0 °C, seasonal surface salinity may drop by up to 2 PSS in some areas, and that Haida Eddies will strengthen, as will the Vancouver Island Coastal
Current and freshwater discharges into coastal waters.
It is thought that the poor representation of
ocean upwelling in
current models has larger scale impacts reducing the accuracy of
model projections on a global scale.
Here for example is the climate
model simulation of the mixing
currents that overturn the upper layers of the
ocean across the Pacific.
Likewise, if they «blow» and «rain» observed winds and precipitation onto an
ocean model, it can reproduce the major
ocean currents.
That the prediction problem is real was clearly illustrated in the reports from a 2016 meeting at the Royal Society [Shepherd et al., 2017] where it was reported that «Our
current understanding of both the causes and consequences of reduced oxygen in the
ocean, and our ability to represent them in
models are therefore inadequate and the reasons for this remain unclear.»
We work with global
ocean circulation
models to understand issues like the thermal expansion of
ocean waters due to global warming or the effect of changing
ocean currents on regional sea levels.
And if the
oceans shed this heat on a semi-regular basis, it will have huge implications for
current GW
models.
An Earth System
Model (ESM) is a computer code that uses the mathematics and physics of fluid motion and thermodynamics to predict the Earth's temperature, winds and
currents, moisture and / or salinity and pressure in the atmosphere and
ocean.
The
current operational ensemble forecast systems
model sea ice dynamically using the LIM2
model within NEMO
ocean model to represent the dynamic and thermodynamic evolution of sea ice within the coupled forecast system.
The US CLIVAR Western Boundary
Current Working Group was charged with identifying shortcomings in the atmosphere, ocean, and coupled models that need to be addressed to accurately model western boundary current atmosphere - ocean inter
Current Working Group was charged with identifying shortcomings in the atmosphere,
ocean, and coupled
models that need to be addressed to accurately
model western boundary
current atmosphere - ocean inter
current atmosphere -
ocean interaction.
For examples deep
ocean currents and clouds are not well
modelled by any of the IPCC
models, all of which employ fudge factors to make the
models fit.