Sentences with phrase «modelers say»

When a modeler says the uncertainty in his parameters is a factor of 2, I don't tell them they are wrong.
Hansen and some other modelers says he has 99 % assurance that we are going to get 2 - 4K from a doubling of CO2 because his models match past behavior.
«You have all these old - school ice sheet modelers saying «You can't have fast responses of ice sheets,»» Siddall said.

Not exact matches

They note past ages that have been equally warm or warmer without human influence, to say nothing of repeating patterns of climate change like ice ages (though I've met one of James Hansen's computer modelers who told me with sincere conviction that there would not be another ice age).
As a former home re modeler, I have to say you did a very impressive job.
Gavin Schmidt, a climate scientist and modeler at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, said this sort of research is useful for modelers, who can take these results and see whether they show up when they run their models.
«We may have to wait 20 or 30 years before the data set in the 21st century is good enough to pin down sensitivity,» says climate modeler Gavin Schmidt of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS).
«If CO2 leaked from storage and reached the seafloor, then the environmental impact will be measurable, but very restricted in area and not catastrophic,» said Jerry Blackford, a marine system modeler at Plymouth Marine Laboratory and author of the paper, published yesterday in Nature Climate Change.
«There is no way that the models are able to directly simulate these things,» says climate modeler Stephen Zebiak of Columbia University.
Second, Barrett says, the modelers should not just slap the model together and see whether the final results make sense.
«We're trying to help patients who are the most likely to be over-diagnosed to recognize it and not be afraid to be more conservative in their treatment,» said Etzioni, a biostatistician, cancer modeler and member of the Hutch's Public Health Sciences Division.
«As many modelers as you have, you'll have that number of estimates,» he said.
It's for this reason that it's important to understand the differences in responses between geoengineering experiments, said Ben Kravitz, a climate modeler at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory who helps run the international Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project.
«Before, only programmers or experienced modelers could create rule - based models to describe details of molecular interactions,» says Loew.
«Time and again, the models are conservative, and they're underestimating the magnitude of change,» says Robert DeConto, an ice sheet modeler at the University of Massachusetts Amherst.
Andrew Monaghan, a modeler at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, says his team hasn't updated the Zika forecast it did in 2016, but suggests that next year the virus may transmit locally in U.S. locales that now have local dengue transmission.
«Nobody's evaluated what these assumptions mean at the regional scale,» says Ben Poulter, a carbon cycle modeler at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, and a leader of the project.
Keith, who has since helped launch a direct air capture company, says the modelers seized on BECCS because it was one of the few ways to simulate negative emissions — and negative emissions were one of the few ways to try to keep warming below 2 °C.
The data set is very robust, and the modelers have done an amazing job,» says Dosmann.
«One thing that's very confusing is the fact that there's a magnetic pole and a geomagnetic pole and that they're different,» says Stefan Maus, a geomagnetic field modeler at the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Geophysical Data Center.
Take Holland: It will be much more heavily influenced by Antarctic ice melt than by falling sea levels around Greenland, says Jerry Mitrovica, a geophysicist and sea level modeler at Harvard University.
Because the CO2 levels were so high, «it's not surprising to see a negative impact, since it's like putting a bird cage near a smokestack,» says climate modeler Ken Caldeira of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California.
An environmental modeler presents how the science works, but a decision scientist uses decision theory to take into account both the scientific information in a model and its uncertainty, and to help policymakers weigh that information against other factors, Crawford - Brown says.
«The only explanation that makes sense is that the deep ocean cooled,» says team member Matthew Huber, a climate modeler at Purdue University.
«We were surprised at how big the difference actually was,» said co-author and climate modeler Benjamin Cook, who works at Lamont Doherty and the Goddard Institute.
«We have detected the human fingerprint in both the Arctic and Antarctic region [s],» says Peter Stott, a climate modeler at the U.K. Met (meteorological) Office's Hadley Center, and co-author of the study published in the journal Nature Geoscience.
And, says Robert Cess, a climate modeler at the State University of New York at Stony Brook, «The smaller the scale, the bigger the disagreement.»
«We're altering the environment far faster than we can possibly predict the consequences,» says Stephen Schneider, a climate modeler at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.
«We hope this will open the door to improving ultralong - range predictions,» says co-author Adam Scaife, a climate modeler at the Met Office's Hadley Centre in Exeter, England.
«It's like weather forecasts, but for bionutrients and phytoplankton in the ocean,» said Cecile Rousseaux, an ocean modeler with Goddard's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office.
«The commitments thus far get us on the pathway, but they don't get us where we need to be,» says John Sterman, an economic modeler who focuses on climate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge.
«But in this case, says Stephen Vavrus, a climate modeler at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, who collaborates with Francis, «Jennifer and I have been forced into the uncomfortable position of defending — or at least explaining — our position before the scientific process has run its course.»»
This oversight stems in part from the fact that few plant biologists know how — or are naturally inclined — to convert their biological insights into the mathematical equations that modelers need to improve the accuracy of their work, Leakey said.
«Changes in the Arctic don't stay in the Arctic,» says Ivana Cvijanovic, an atmospheric modeler at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California and lead author of the study.
«This research shows that training people like Kevin in an interdisciplinary way allows us to break down communication barriers in science — between modelers and plant scientists, for example,» Leakey said.
«As a result, modelers have been forced to assume that the stomata of all species open and close in response to environmental conditions in the same way,» he said.
Neighboring towns like Hillwell and Quendale weren't similarly abandoned, Bigelow says, which suggests that the effects of climate change can vary widely even among places just a few kilometers away from one another — something modern climate modelers should consider, he says.
«Historically, the Arctic had a thicker, more rigid sea ice that covered more of the Arctic basin, so it was difficult to tell whether El Niño had any effect on it,» said Richard Cullather, a climate modeler at Goddard.
«I think Stacy is right in holding this up and saying [to dark matter modelers], «Look at this [correlation].
«When we think about global warming, what we should really thinking about, to be honest, is ocean warming,» said Paul Durack, a climate modeler at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL).
«Although it's too early to declare victory, there's a good chance now that science will not be sidelined as would have been the case had the chair's proposal been adopted,» says Justin Cooke, a mathematical modeler in Freiburg, Germany, who represents the International Union for Conservation of Nature at the IWC meeting.
«You can not mimic an entire human psyche in a mouse or a rat,» says Jacqueline Crawley, a behavioral neuroscientist at the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the author of the seminal mouse modeler's handbook, What's Wrong With My Mouse?
In addition, the study doesn't address larger concerns about geoengineering, says climate modeler Raymond Pierrehumbert of the University of Chicago in Illinois.
Everybody's a lot more comfortable with it these days,» said one modeler at LLNL, who requested anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the media.
«We will develop that science further so that we can provide regular and scientifically robust evidence on how the odds of these phenomena are changing,» says climate modeler Peter Stott of the U.K. Met Office.
«Today collaborating with scientists outside of your discipline is almost a requirement to solve the tough questions,» said climate modeler and co-author, Dr. Owen Doherty.
«This is much more useful to modelers because everything is built into one equation,» Millero says.
«I completely agree with that,» says epidemiologist and disease modeler Ira Longini of the University of Washington, Seattle.
«Modelers and analysts, people looking 10 or 20 years into the future can use this report to evaluate the impacts solar energy may have,» Denholm said.
«I'm a modeler and a data analyst,» he says.
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