Sentences with phrase «modeling climate changes»

By improving the understanding of how much radiation CO2 absorbs, uncertainties in modelling climate change will be reduced and more accurate predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to warm over the next few decades.
But if powering down or unplugging the computer (the only way it uses zero power) is not an option, then perhaps the most environmentally friendly use of all those wasted computing cycles is in helping to model climate change.
The study, recently published in Nature Climate Change, is the first of its kind to clearly demonstrate the importance of modeling climate change, prey availability and their interactions in the development of management plans.
According to one study that looked at eight fuel aridity metrics in the Western U.S. and modeled climate change's effects on them, human - caused climate change accounted for about 55 percent of the observed increases in fuel aridity between 1979 and 2015 (Figure 6), and added an estimated 4.2 million hectares of forest fire area between 1984 and 2015.7 Based on all eight metrics, the Western U.S. experienced an average of 9 additional days per year of high fire potential due to climate change between 2000 and 2015, a 50 percent increase from the baseline of 17 days per year when looking back to 1979.
Researchers use risk analysis and modeled climate change to assess fire risk in The Golden State's future
This > 200 % difference between «climate persistence» and «white noise» «climate» models is vitally important when designing hydropower dams, ocean breakwaters, and similar power and protective structures, and in modeling climate change.
It seems to me modeling climate change is like kicking a football into the Grand Canyon and trying to model the flight, bounce and the ultimate end of that football's trip.
A method of dealing with the lack of mass balance measurements is to estimate the changes in mass balance as a function of climate, using mass balance sensitivities (see Box 11.2 for definition) and observed or modelled climate change for glacier covered regions.
A major theme of Climatopolis is that as climate scientists continue to make progress with modelling climate change and as we individually learn about the day - to - day challenges climate change poses for different cities, their residents will take pro-active steps to adapt to changing circumstances.
I think its safe to say (broadly speaking) that modelled climate change, on centennial timescales, can only occur witth a change of forcing.
We certainly should have a sufficient appreciation by now for the holistic processes involved in global warming to know that GCMs can not effectively model climate change except perhaps in the most abstract way possible — such as by way of using the mathematics of chaos.
Cook, J. & Lewandowsky, S. Rational irrationality: Modeling climate change belief polarization using Bayesian networks.
You mean it might be harder to model climate change 20 years ahead than house prices 5 years ahead?
Rational Irrationality: Modeling Climate Change Belief Polarization Using Bayesian Networks.
His scientific background is in modelling climate change and its effects on human activities.
Accurately modeling climate change and interactive human factors — including inequality, consumption, and population — is essential for the effective science - based policies and measures needed to benefit and sustain current and future generations.
[It's] completely understandable that someone who's spent 20 years, for example, studying climate change, measuring climate change or modelling climate change, it's perfectly understandable that they don't want to stop doing that and we must respect that, and we must find a place for them in the rest of the innovation system, perhaps in an university.
A land — sea surface warming ratio (or φ) that exceeds unity is a robust feature of both observed and modelled climate change.

Not exact matches

He dug into the numbers, consulting with a friend from NASA, and concluded that some of Al Gore's models were too conservative about the rate and impact of climate change.
Darin Kingston of d.light, whose profitable solar - powered LED lanterns simultaneously address poverty, education, air pollution / toxic fumes / health risks, energy savings, carbon footprint, and more Janine Benyus, biomimicry pioneer who finds models in the natural world for everything from extracting water from fog (as a desert beetle does) to construction materials (spider silk) to designing flood - resistant buildings by studying anthills in India's monsoon climate, and shows what's possible when you invite the planet to join your design thinking team Dean Cycon, whose coffee company has not only exclusively sold organic fairly traded gourmet coffee and cocoa beans since its founding in 1993, but has funded dozens of village - led community development projects in the lands where he sources his beans John Kremer, whose concept of exponential growth through «biological marketing,» just as a single kernel of corn grows into a plant bearing thousands of new kernels, could completely change your business strategy Amory Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute, who built a near - net - zero - energy luxury home back in 1983, and has developed a scientific, economically viable plan to get the entire economy off oil, coal, and nuclear and onto renewables — while keeping and even improving our high standard of living
It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.
From those models, they can make estimates about whether a storm's wind or rain output was influenced by climate change.
Scientists will run a model of the storm but adjust for climate change — derived changes in CO2.
It would be like trying to model 1000 years of global climate change on a TRS - 80 computer when it takes a modern 16,000 processor supercomputer a week to process the data.
Computer models being investigated both in the US and in the Soviet Union were demonstrating that a nuclear war involving the exchange of a small fraction of the total American and Russian bombs could change the climate of the entire Northern Hemisphere, shifting it abruptly from its present seasonal state to a long, sunless, frozen night.
An upcoming article in the journal Climatic Change (1) modeled what could happen to coffee production in Veracruz, Mexico if observed trends in climate change continue and coffee prices remain sChange (1) modeled what could happen to coffee production in Veracruz, Mexico if observed trends in climate change continue and coffee prices remain schange continue and coffee prices remain steady.
I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.
This study looked at genetic (varieties) and management (row spacing and nitrogen) options to minimise the impact of climate change, using rain - out shelters to control rainfall; the results provided a platform to model wheat production in future climates.
Ribal et al. (2015) describe an optimization model (goal programming), which was used to design meals for school canteens by taking into account nutritional, climate change, and economic aspects.
With your support, we will create a wildlife sanctuary for exploration and education, which will become a national model for protecting restored lands and showcasing promising response to climate change.
The two - year project, called Building Climate Action Communities, will create a regional model of community - based climate change education programs, with a specific emphasis on moving people to Climate Action Communities, will create a regional model of community - based climate change education programs, with a specific emphasis on moving people to climate change education programs, with a specific emphasis on moving people to action.
«This document presents science - driven predictions, based on sophisticated climate - change models, regarding how we think bird distributions in Massachusetts might change during the next 30 years,» said Jon Atwood, Mass Audubon Director of Bird Conservation and a report author
You are saying, the model says that we could run the risk at two degrees of climate change and these are reasons why we might do that, or you could run it at 1 % and these are the political implications.
But the critical thing is to know what this algorithm is predicting; how to justify it; what is the model of climate change built into the algorithm; what risks of error are built into the algorithm that is predicting climate change?
The East River Blueway Plan is a model for resiliency as it provides a vision of an accessible and dynamic waterfront that also addresses the urgency of climate change and its effects.
The lawsuits are the latest legal challenges against oil companies over climate change and come as the firms are searching for new business models amid pressure by governments and consumers for cleaner energy.
Roger Helmer MEP (TP, December) lists a series of «facts» on climate change which apparently shows that «reality defies computer models».
Even Adair Turner, who on all other topics is a model of objectivity, ignores recent developments when discussing climate change, in the section of his letter to the Treasury summarising recent developments.
«It would repeal a national model to fight climate change and replace it with more expensive, dirty fuel and fracked gas.»
Without green taxes to shift our cars to lower emission models, and to limit the growth of aircraft greenhouse gas emissions, no climate change policy is worth the name.
If the effects of climate change weren't included in the model, the trends toward bigger seasonal variations in CO2 at Arctic latitudes disappeared, researchers report online today in Science.
The model has novel implications both for when people choose to obtain or avoid information, and it sheds light on phenomena, such as political polarization and emotionally charged beliefs relating to topics like the cause of autism and the reality of climate change.
«Models are used to predict how soil processes change, for example, in response to climate change,» said Steve Allison, coauthor from the University of California, Irvine.
So Jones and his colleagues combined data from 11 standard climate change models with their own models on projected population patterns.
The new proposed model could allow a better quantification of the impacts that will likely occur under changing climate and could be considered in future ocean resources and land use management.
«We have to think of religious identity as the central mental model and framework and belief system by which many Americans, if not a majority of Americans, are going to come to understand climate change,» he said.
Importantly, when modern climate models — the same as those used in the United Nations» recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these ficlimate models — the same as those used in the United Nations» recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these fiClimate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these findings.
Meanwhile, the new study suggests the effect will intensify in the future with continued climate change, based on computer models that attempt to project how rising temperatures would affect the Arctic's chemical reservoirs.
Polar latitudes hold secrets into the earths's past climate, secrets Berry Lyons believes may provide insights into the implications of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and better models of future climate change.
For Polly and Lawing, rattlesnakes make a good model organism for tracking how species respond to climate change.
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z