Nevertheless
some modellers like to believe that their models are based on fundamental laws, as this belief excuses them for not validating each of the formulas they put into the models».
But
the modellers like the money, the fame, that everyone takes them seriously.
What you are not being told is that these «tunings», «adjustments», «calibrations» and «tinkerings» are being used to cover up failings in the models, or «biases» as
the modellers like to describe them.
Not exact matches
[Response: That «
modeller» is me (I don't
like that label, as I've done sea - going measurements and published papers on data analysis and theory — my topic is climate, and models are just one tool for its investigation).
Similarly, a climate
modeller, can report whatever he
likes.
And don't forget that the best evidence seems to be that in climate there are cycles within cycles, not all by any means of known regularity, and those can't be easily replicated by
modellers who
like linear projections.
Judith, as you obviously know NS and fluid dynamics well and in any case better than most
modellers, I would
like to have your take on what seems to me really the basic problem of the models.
Perhaps you'd also
like a copy of last years Met office advert requesting an ice
modeller, admitting there were great uncertanties in the science?
Here is my question to Gavin
like Sea ice
modellers; Given that Cecilia Bitz 2007 projection was uncannily right, (by the way congrats to Cecilia and colleagues)
For instance, it is not at all clear which side this will break on, skeptic (my guess) or
modeller (there is evidence there too), but to read the press accounts, one would think that a new club to bash «deniers» has been found
like a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow.
I'd be reassured to see climate
modellers hammering on how detailed interesting regularities in experimental data (existing or wished - for) are explained or predicted by their model: something
like the (honestly exasperated) way biologists refer to all the megabytes of detail revealed by DNA sequencing and other molecular biology which just keeps matching the constraints of Darwin's model.