Sentences with phrase «modelling of climate»

Van der Mensbrugghe, D. (1998), A (Preliminary) Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol: Using the OECD GREEN Model, Presented at the OECD Workshop on the Economic Modelling of Climate Change, 17 - 18 September, Paris.

Tulpulé, V., S. Brown, J. Lim, C. Polidano, H. Pant and B.S. Fisher (1998), An Economic Assessment of the Kyoto Protocol Using the Global Trade and Environment Model, Presented at the OECD Workshop on the Economic Modelling of Climate Change, 17 - 18 September, Paris.

A point I've not seen mentioned anywhere yet is that if Anthony Watts» paper is accepted then it blows a massive hole in the regional modelling of the US and hence the global modelling of climate, because the models have to hindcast as well as forcast.

As to models, I agree that the kind of and complexity of the modelling of the climate is a different kettle of fish from the usual models in biology, which is the area in which I have most knowledge (although not expert).

I think one of the important issues is to be doing modelling of the climate system consequences of fully 1.5 C pathways and maybe even more than that.

For example, scenarios that rely on the results from GCM experiments alone may be able to represent some of the uncertainties that relate to the modelling of the climate response to a given radiative forcing, but might not embrace uncertainties caused by the modelling of atmospheric composition for a given emissions scenario, or those related to future land - use change.

I could imagine (at a push) that say the modelling of the climate over a vast flat area of ocean might be achievable in a few less grid points than over say the Himalayas or Rockies.

Studies of the link between orbital parameters and past climate changes include spectral analysis of palaeoclimatic records and the identification of orbital periodicities; precise dating of specific climatic transitions; and modelling of the climate response to orbital forcing, which highlights the role of climatic and biogeochemical feedbacks.

The International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy is organizing the ICTP Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modelling of Climate Dynamics: Multiple Equilibria

But the critical thing is to know what this algorithm is predicting; how to justify it; what is the model of climate change built into the algorithm; what risks of error are built into the algorithm that is predicting climate change?

Such studies will help researchers make better models of the climate cycle on Mars.

The models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, called Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP - 5), are the best physical models of climate change available.

They said the real strength of the Jacobson study — now in press at the Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres — is that it relies on a new computer model of climate, air pollution and weather that accounts for several different ways black carbon influences the environment.

Over the next decade a few scientists devised simple mathematical models of the climate, and turned up feedbacks that could make the system surprisingly variable.

The massive projects needed now — such as devising a model of climate change detailed enough to be truly predictive or batteries efficient enough to compete with gasoline — can not wait or depend on chancy funding, he believes.He added that a strong national commitment to goal - centered basic science could help solve other important problems by drawing America's talented young people into scientific work and providing them with better opportunities for aspiring researchers to build careers with a realistic chance of making both a significant scientific contribution and a decent living.

The findings are based on analyses of ancient plant leaf wax found in the sediments of the Gulf of Guinea in combination with computer models of the climate system.

The group has already begun a follow - up study, looking at sediment from Indonesia's Lake Towuti to develop data that can be used to further improve models of climate and water cycling for the region.

Wiedinmyer also wants to put her estimates into models of climate and air movement and see if they match up with current air observations.

Brian Ryan, Ian Watterson and Jenni Evans of the CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research ran a computer model of climate in a world where the atmosphere's carbon dioxide content has doubled.

Models of climate change can predict and explain shifting rainfall patterns globally, says a new study.

Ultimately, we'd like to be able to reproduce the global signatures of these abrupt climate events with numerical models of the climate system, and investigate the physics that drive such events.»

PNNL researchers play a key role in reducing uncertainty through improved process understanding and modeling of climate processes such as clouds and aerosols.

Computer models of climate are one tool for specialists but what we currently lack is not a better model but expertise on how to use them most appropriately.

Previously, computer models of climate didn't predict that a shutdown in this current would occur.

One by Christopher Monckton (a viscount, no less, with obviously too much time on his hands) which comes complete with supplementary «calculations» using his own «M» model of climate, and one on JunkScience.com («What Watt is what»).

Example of a simple linear regression model of climate change.

-- 1) Improved understanding of adaptive genetic and phenotypic forest characteristics that would provide better guidance for breeding programs and management actions to maximize resilience to both direct and indirect climate impacts to forests; 2) Long - term studies to better understand effects of CO2 fertilization in Montana's forests; 3) Improved models of climate and vegetation effects on evapotranspiration and water balances throughout forested systems.

We used linear models of climate variables to estimate ln - transformed [49], [54] nest surveys.

(This genre of one - dimensional and two - dimensional models lay between the rudimentary, often qualitative models covered in the essay on Simple Models of Climate and the elaborate three - dimensional General Circulation Models of the Atmosphere.)

Using mathematical models of the climate shifts he calculated the probability of the periodicity.

The consensus model of climate has a long track record of successful predictions — that makes it very unlikely that it is fundamentally wrong.

Carter's thinking is dangerous not only because it's bad logic, but because it encourages a linear mental model of climate change that implies that as soon as we start reducing emissions, temperature will respond by falling.

Understanding public complacency about climate change: adults» mental models of climate change violate conservation of matter

Ljungqvist said many existing scientific models of climate change over-estimated assumptions that rising temperatures would make dry areas drier and wet areas wetter, with more extreme heatwaves, droughts, downpours and droughts.

Finally, since I feel compelled to complete the trifecta, there's this paper («Understanding Public Complacency About Climate Change: Adults» mental models of climate change violate conservation of matter «-RRB- finding that a substantial majority of intelligent humans (the group studied was MIT grad students) have no grasp of stock and flow.

As I've said elsewhere, there is no physically coherent model of climate change that is linear, magic jump, then linear again.

Harold Brooks, a research meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's national severe storms laboratory, said that models of climate change suggest that over the next 100 years, a warming earth will provide more energy for storms, so «we expect there will be more environments that are favorable for severe thunderstorms.»

That's a really simplistic model of the climate in equilibrium.

So, what about deterministic modeling of the climate system?

To wit: Those who work with computer models of climate trust them more than is warranted by the validation that can be done against the (limited) available observations.

I'm not claiming this is or isn't a realistic numerical model of climate response, I'm just trying to accurately describe how the model works.

It details the history of Climate Science, but it doesn't restrict itself to pure science — it also looks at how the public has responded to reports in the press, how the Government has reacted, and includes models of climate change.

model of climate that is able to capture events of D - O type the hypothesis of non-chaotic climate amounts to wishful thinking.

In their research, team members used advanced computer models of the climate system to estimate changes in the tropopause height that likely result from anthropogenic effects.

Professor William Happer of Princeton, one of the world's foremost physicists, says computer models of climate rely on the assumption of the CO2's direct warming effect that is about a factor two higher, owing to incorrect representation of the microphysical interactions of CO2 molecules with other infrared photons.

PAGE09 and DICE2013 have different models of the climate - economics interface and different assumptions about social values, but they agree on what low climate sensitivity does in relative terms to the social cost of carbon.

Each of the four authors of the Science Bulletin paper has a lively and expert academic interest in our subject, and we wrote our paper because we considered — rightly, as events have turned out (for there have already been more than 22,500 downloads either of the abstract or of the full paper)-- that other researchers would find our simple model of the climate interesting and helpful.

(This essay is supplementary to the core essay on The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect For the most important greenhouse gas, water vapor, see the essay on Simple Models of Climate.)

To start in, for the scientific story, a good starting - point is the keystone essay on the basic discoveries about The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect, followed perhaps by attempts to explain changes with Simple Models of Climate.

We modify the Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (DICE), and use it in a cost - benefit analysis of climate engineering specifically deposition of sulphur in the stratosphere.