Sentences with phrase «modelling of climate changes»

But the critical thing is to know what this algorithm is predicting; how to justify it; what is the model of climate change built into the algorithm; what risks of error are built into the algorithm that is predicting climate change?

The models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, called Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP - 5), are the best physical models of climate change available.

The massive projects needed now — such as devising a model of climate change detailed enough to be truly predictive or batteries efficient enough to compete with gasoline — can not wait or depend on chancy funding, he believes.He added that a strong national commitment to goal - centered basic science could help solve other important problems by drawing America's talented young people into scientific work and providing them with better opportunities for aspiring researchers to build careers with a realistic chance of making both a significant scientific contribution and a decent living.

Models of climate change can predict and explain shifting rainfall patterns globally, says a new study.

Example of a simple linear regression model of climate change.

Carter's thinking is dangerous not only because it's bad logic, but because it encourages a linear mental model of climate change that implies that as soon as we start reducing emissions, temperature will respond by falling.

Understanding public complacency about climate change: adults» mental models of climate change violate conservation of matter

Ljungqvist said many existing scientific models of climate change over-estimated assumptions that rising temperatures would make dry areas drier and wet areas wetter, with more extreme heatwaves, droughts, downpours and droughts.

Finally, since I feel compelled to complete the trifecta, there's this paper («Understanding Public Complacency About Climate Change: Adults» mental models of climate change violate conservation of matter «-RRB- finding that a substantial majority of intelligent humans (the group studied was MIT grad students) have no grasp of stock and flow.

As I've said elsewhere, there is no physically coherent model of climate change that is linear, magic jump, then linear again.

Harold Brooks, a research meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's national severe storms laboratory, said that models of climate change suggest that over the next 100 years, a warming earth will provide more energy for storms, so «we expect there will be more environments that are favorable for severe thunderstorms.»

It details the history of Climate Science, but it doesn't restrict itself to pure science — it also looks at how the public has responded to reports in the press, how the Government has reacted, and includes models of climate change.

A Ricardian model of climate change in Canad.

Gernot Wagner, Ph.D., works closely with EDF's Office of the Chief Economist, participating in projects relating to climate damages and tipping points, the social cost of carbon, empirical modeling of climate change and human activity, and others.

Additionally, the idea that a carbon tax can offset the federal income tax or payroll taxes is shaky because the taxes are based on separate tracks: a carbon tax (according to its supporters) provides the «optimal» disincentive for emissions based on models of climate change, while a payroll tax is based on Social Security demographics.

Models of climate change must take these feedbacks into account to predict future atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.»

Dr. Lomborg believes that when it comes to computer models of climate change, the International Panel on Climate Change deals all four wild cards in a way that exaggerates the effect of greenhouse gases.

Brown follows this blunder with another: «Contrary to recent claims in the media, there is remarkably good agreement between models of climate change and the temperature data.»

Thematic Guide to Integrated Assessment Modeling of Climate Change.

Interview with Jack Eddy Ocean Currents and Climate Theory Simple Models of Climate Change Chaos in the Atmosphere Venus & Mars General Circulation Models of Climate Basic Radiation Calculations Arakawa's Computation Device GCM Family Tree (P. Edwards)

If you have time you may want to look at «Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change» by Fildes and Kourentzes (see http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207011000604) and the comment by Noel Keenlyside in the same issue.

Tulpulé, V., S. Brown, J. Lim, C. Polidano, H. Pant and B.S. Fisher (1998), An Economic Assessment of the Kyoto Protocol Using the Global Trade and Environment Model, Presented at the OECD Workshop on the Economic Modelling of Climate Change, 17 - 18 September, Paris.

If we're going to go along with Roy Spencer, we have to reject a basic model of climate change that explains the data over widely divergent timescales, and replace it with... a big, fat nothing.

Van der Mensbrugghe, D. (1998), A (Preliminary) Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol: Using the OECD GREEN Model, Presented at the OECD Workshop on the Economic Modelling of Climate Change, 17 - 18 September, Paris.

Current models of climate change include sea level rise, land degradation, regional changes in temperature and precipitation patterns, and some consequences for agriculture, but without modeling the feedbacks that these significant impacts would have on the Human System, such as geographic and economic displacement, forced migration, destruction of infrastructure, increased economic inequality, nutritional sustenance, fertility, mortality, conflicts, and spread of diseases or other human health consequences [135,136].

If the satellite data was correct, it meant there was something wrong with the existing models of climate change.

On one side are economists who have been working for many years on so - called integrated - assessment models, which combine models of climate change with models of both the damage from global warming and the costs of cutting emissions.

The project titled, «Strengthening the Resilience of Post Conflict Recovery and Development to Climate Change Risks in Sri Lanka,» will focus on building models of climate change adaptation in three districts - Puttlam, Kurunegala and Ratnapura Climate change threatens the sustainability of both these programmes.

Every locality is different; experts emphasize that there is no one - size - fits - all model of climate change adaptation.

Not exact matches

He dug into the numbers, consulting with a friend from NASA, and concluded that some of Al Gore's models were too conservative about the rate and impact of climate change.

Darin Kingston of d.light, whose profitable solar - powered LED lanterns simultaneously address poverty, education, air pollution / toxic fumes / health risks, energy savings, carbon footprint, and more Janine Benyus, biomimicry pioneer who finds models in the natural world for everything from extracting water from fog (as a desert beetle does) to construction materials (spider silk) to designing flood - resistant buildings by studying anthills in India's monsoon climate, and shows what's possible when you invite the planet to join your design thinking team Dean Cycon, whose coffee company has not only exclusively sold organic fairly traded gourmet coffee and cocoa beans since its founding in 1993, but has funded dozens of village - led community development projects in the lands where he sources his beans John Kremer, whose concept of exponential growth through «biological marketing,» just as a single kernel of corn grows into a plant bearing thousands of new kernels, could completely change your business strategy Amory Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute, who built a near - net - zero - energy luxury home back in 1983, and has developed a scientific, economically viable plan to get the entire economy off oil, coal, and nuclear and onto renewables — while keeping and even improving our high standard of living

It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.

Scientists will run a model of the storm but adjust for climate change — derived changes in CO2.

It would be like trying to model 1000 years of global climate change on a TRS - 80 computer when it takes a modern 16,000 processor supercomputer a week to process the data.

Computer models being investigated both in the US and in the Soviet Union were demonstrating that a nuclear war involving the exchange of a small fraction of the total American and Russian bombs could change the climate of the entire Northern Hemisphere, shifting it abruptly from its present seasonal state to a long, sunless, frozen night.

I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.

This study looked at genetic (varieties) and management (row spacing and nitrogen) options to minimise the impact of climate change, using rain - out shelters to control rainfall; the results provided a platform to model wheat production in future climates.

The two - year project, called Building Climate Action Communities, will create a regional model of community - based climate change education programs, with a specific emphasis on moving people to Climate Action Communities, will create a regional model of community - based climate change education programs, with a specific emphasis on moving people to climate change education programs, with a specific emphasis on moving people to action.

«This document presents science - driven predictions, based on sophisticated climate - change models, regarding how we think bird distributions in Massachusetts might change during the next 30 years,» said Jon Atwood, Mass Audubon Director of Bird Conservation and a report author

You are saying, the model says that we could run the risk at two degrees of climate change and these are reasons why we might do that, or you could run it at 1 % and these are the political implications.

The East River Blueway Plan is a model for resiliency as it provides a vision of an accessible and dynamic waterfront that also addresses the urgency of climate change and its effects.

Roger Helmer MEP (TP, December) lists a series of «facts» on climate change which apparently shows that «reality defies computer models».

Even Adair Turner, who on all other topics is a model of objectivity, ignores recent developments when discussing climate change, in the section of his letter to the Treasury summarising recent developments.

Without green taxes to shift our cars to lower emission models, and to limit the growth of aircraft greenhouse gas emissions, no climate change policy is worth the name.

If the effects of climate change weren't included in the model, the trends toward bigger seasonal variations in CO2 at Arctic latitudes disappeared, researchers report online today in Science.

The model has novel implications both for when people choose to obtain or avoid information, and it sheds light on phenomena, such as political polarization and emotionally charged beliefs relating to topics like the cause of autism and the reality of climate change.

«Models are used to predict how soil processes change, for example, in response to climate change,» said Steve Allison, coauthor from the University of California, Irvine.

The new proposed model could allow a better quantification of the impacts that will likely occur under changing climate and could be considered in future ocean resources and land use management.

«We have to think of religious identity as the central mental model and framework and belief system by which many Americans, if not a majority of Americans, are going to come to understand climate change,» he said.

Polar latitudes hold secrets into the earths's past climate, secrets Berry Lyons believes may provide insights into the implications of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and better models of future climate change.