This report reviews a range of
modelling scenarios for future GHG emissions, identifies opportunities and recommends lines of action to harmonize energy policy objectives with climate goals that meet the needs for a limited global carbon budget.
By combining all the data, they can
model scenarios for the future, which can help regional managers to make informed decisions.
In other words, even after the climate has hit bottom, IPCC will still be prattling on about the good old days (or general climate
model scenarios for 2100).
Not exact matches
In most
models the ideal
scenario for organizations is to get as many engaged employees as possible.
Our
models compare and contrast multiple forecast
scenarios so clients can assess the valuation impact of different forecasts
for revenue growth, margins and capital allocation strategies.
Though it's anyone's guess how the data might influence the Fed's thinking about the pace of rate hikes, the contrasting views of policymakers suggest that now may be time
for investors to
model the impact of the three
scenarios on their portfolios.
Finally, we inverted our
model to calculate the sustainable withdrawal rate (the maximum rate at which a given portfolio may be drawn down without depleting the portfolio before the end of the 35 - year retirement horizon)
for each of the 100
scenarios.
The Bank's usual practice is to assume
for our projection that oil prices will remain stable and use our economic
models to test alternative
scenarios.
MS&T utilizes high tech tools
for training combat soldiers, assessing medical practitioners, and simulating computer programs and
models for how they would perform in real world
scenarios.
It
modeled the implications
for the company of a requirement
for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative
scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.
The Conference Board and Georgetown University's McDonough School of Business, in partnership with The SAIS Center
for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University, developed a
scenario model that companies can use to enhance the gender diversity of their boards.
Expecting this
scenario to unfold is highly optimistic
for any company, much less one with a broken business
model.
Given the above «status quo»
scenario, the VALUATION
model I developed
for silver prices over the past century is relevant.
Lead generation, lead nurturing, and content marketing can each be enhanced
for effectiveness with buyer
scenario modeling.
After adjusting
for these hidden liabilities, we can
model multiple purchase price
scenarios.
The
model linked here details a hypothetical payback
for investors, with several variables, such as revenue and net income margins, which can be altered
for a number of potential
scenarios for a Profit Sharing Unit.
However, in order to both keep the
model as simple as possible and give predictions that are in reality a best - case
scenario, our
model simply assumes that each household's income grows at a steady, fixed rate each year, that retirement savings grow and accumulate returns at a steady pace, etc. (
For more detail on the values used in the model for growth in home values, retirement assets, etc., see the Methodology Appendix belo
For more detail on the values used in the
model for growth in home values, retirement assets, etc., see the Methodology Appendix belo
for growth in home values, retirement assets, etc., see the Methodology Appendix below).
Accessing CSIRO's expertise in energy research and
modelling capabilities through the
scenario planning process enabled the partner to identify multiple new business opportunities resulting in competitive advantages
for their business today and into the future.
A
modelling exercise
for the Resolution Foundation by the Institute
for Employment Research and the Institute
for Fiscal Studies finds that on the basis of annual average UK growth of 2.5 per cent from 2015 - 2020 — an optimistic
scenario — and no further cuts in public spending, living standards will fall
for low and middle income households by between 3 and 15 per cent (Brewer et al., 2012).
For the study, Dr. Toohey and his colleagues from GEOMAR and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg have used an aerosol - climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the distribution of the sulfur particl
For the study, Dr. Toohey and his colleagues from GEOMAR and the Max Planck Institute
for Meteorology in Hamburg have used an aerosol - climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the distribution of the sulfur particl
for Meteorology in Hamburg have used an aerosol - climate
model to track 70 different eruption
scenarios while analyzing the distribution of the sulfur particles.
This weather - based
model was then used to predict the impact on severity of the disease of future weather
scenarios for the period from 2020 to 2050.
A study released last month in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres used three different
models to run the same SSCE
scenario in which sea - salt engineering was used in the low - latitude oceans to keep top - of - atmosphere radiative forcing at the 2020 level
for 50 years and was then abruptly turned off
for 20 years.
As
for matching the Lake Ryuuoo geologic record, she adds, «Our
model earthquake
scenarios showed the Bungo Channel region subsiding seven feet and lowering Lake Ryuuoo's barrier beach from 13 to six feet, such that a tsunami with a feasible height
for an inland region easily flooded the lake.»
This enabled the team to estimate how temperature - related mortality rates will change under alternative
scenarios of climate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
for climate
modelling and research in 2014.
The study used simulations from the Community Earth System
Model (CESM) run at the National Center
for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and examined warming
scenarios ranging from 1.5 degrees Celsius all the way to 4 degrees Celsius (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century.
The
model produces different jobs and growth projections
for a business - as - usual
scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits
for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.
To better plan
for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution
modeling, to assess geographic range shifts
for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change
scenarios through the end of the century.
The second was a
scenario modeled for a future of increased expansion of industrial farms growing crops like oil palm, a product that is blamed
for significant forest losses in other nations like Indonesia.
A new study by Duke University researchers suggests that this type of
scenario makes a person less likely to remember what halted the action —
for example, the make and
model of the car in the blind spot.
To produce visualizations that show temperature and precipitation changes similar to those included in the IPCC report, the NASA Center
for Climate Simulation calculated average temperature and precipitation changes from
models that ran the four different emissions
scenarios.
Most
model scenarios make a big assumption: that rising agricultural productivity and vegetable - based diets will limit the need
for new farmland.
Intrigued, Schneider took a summer job as a computer programmer
for planetary scientist S. I. Rasool, who asked him to
model both grim
scenarios.
To date, the group, known as the Global Human Body
Models Consortium (GHBMC), has created a 173 - pound adult
model and continues to make updates
for a broader range of body types and
scenarios.
Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming
scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons
for the observed outcomes.
Then we told the
model, given our
scenario for 2035, tell us the most economical way to meet the total energy demand of the community.»
In the new work, Surabi Menon of the NASA Goddard Institute
for Space Studies and colleagues used aerosol data collected from 46 ground stations in China to assess four different climate
modeling scenarios.
His next project is to run the
model for a future - case
scenario.
The international team of co-authors, led by Peter Clark of Oregon State University, generated new
scenarios for temperature rise, glacial melting, sea - level rise and coastal flooding based on state - of - the - art climate and ice sheet
models.
The research team then
modelled three different
scenarios of seasonal suitability
for mosquito - borne transmission of Zika virus.
In their newly published study, the U-M researchers examined cost, energy use and greenhouse gas emissions
for different types of 60 - watt - equivalent bulbs and created a computer
model to generate multiple replacement
scenarios, which were then analyzed.
Still, «no matter what you do it's very, very hard in our
model to find a
scenario where dye is kept within the Gulf
for a period of longer than six months.»
He said Brazil's Ministry of Foreign Affairs currently is leading an emissions
modeling effort that is devising
scenarios for ways both Brazil and others can achieve maximum ambition in the years after 2020, and said «our expectation is to have some very good ideas by the end of 2014.»
For assessing the global ocean - carbon sink, McKinley and her co-authors from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, NCAR and the University of Colorado Boulder used the
model to establish a long - running climate
scenario from historical data.
Including the elevation effects in the
model increases the estimated sea - level rise by a small but significant amount (5 % enhancement of melt by 2100 and 10 % by 2200
for a climate warming
scenario).
For her study on geologic storage, Lord and her colleagues analyzed and reworked the geologic storage module of Argonne National Laboratory's Hydrogen Delivery
Scenario Analysis
Model.
The most catastrophic
scenario for such planet migration, dubbed the Nice
model (after the French city), has been gaining ground of late.
In using the
model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5
scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.
Goodfellow has been working on machine - learning
models to let computers invent more dynamic narratives, which could go beyond limited
scenarios such as planning out a series of chess moves — something computers have done extremely well
for decades.
The new study relies on the IIASA energy system
model MESSAGE in order to explore a variety of long - term
scenarios for the development of oil prices up to 2050.
For example, in a simulated world where the atmospheric CO2 levels were double today's values — a
scenario many scientists believe likely —
models predict that Earth will warm by more than 2 °C.