The Problem Re-stated IPCC's Government Draft attempt to frame the discrepancy between
models and observations as due to «natural variability» is ultimately a statistical problem — never a strong point of IPCC authors.
I see the growing disagreement between
models and observations as climate science's version of the ultraviolet catastrophe.
Not exact matches
As used in science, a theory is an explanation or model based on observation, experimentation, and reasoning, especially one that has been tested and confirmed as a general principle helping to explain and predict natural phenomen
As used in science, a theory is an explanation or
model based on
observation, experimentation,
and reasoning, especially one that has been tested
and confirmed
as a general principle helping to explain and predict natural phenomen
as a general principle helping to explain
and predict natural phenomena.
As used in science, however, a theory is an explanation or model based on observation, experimentation, and reasoning, especially one that has been tested and confirmed as a general principle helping to explain and predict natural phenomen
As used in science, however, a theory is an explanation or
model based on
observation, experimentation,
and reasoning, especially one that has been tested
and confirmed
as a general principle helping to explain and predict natural phenomen
as a general principle helping to explain
and predict natural phenomena.
That said, the case has been made that if the Christian god exists, then «God should be detectable by scientific means simply by virtue of the fact that he is supposed to play such a central role in the operation of the universe
and the lives of humans», with the conclusion that» [e] xisting scientific
models contain no place where God is included
as an ingredient in order to describe
observations.»
It is not surprising that the positivist finds in quantum physics support for his conviction that we should discard all
model;
and treat theories
as mere calculational devices for correlating
observations.
You stated: «
As used in science, however, a theory is an explanation or model based on observation, experimentation, and reasoning, especially one that has been tested and confirmed as a general principle helping to explain and predict natural phenomena.&raqu
As used in science, however, a theory is an explanation or
model based on
observation, experimentation,
and reasoning, especially one that has been tested
and confirmed
as a general principle helping to explain and predict natural phenomena.&raqu
as a general principle helping to explain
and predict natural phenomena.»
This
model is well understood theoretically
and strongly supported by recent high - precision astronomical
observations such
as WMAP.
Some, such
as the «double - helix»
model of the DNA molecule, are closer to
observations and can be taken more literally.
With babies
and toddlers,
modeling observation making is
as simple
as talking to them about what you see, hear, smell, touch,
and taste.
The programs that were identified
as having promise for implementation were kangaroo care, infant message, guided
observation of child behaviour with
modelling and parent - child interaction time along with parent group discussion / support.
Combining
observations from satellites
and ground stations with climate
models, they evaluated different factors that affect telescope vision, such
as the amount of water vapour, wind speeds
and atmospheric turbulence.
Survey data gathered voluntarily from homeless youth in Los Angeles,
as well
as behavioral theories
and observations of previous interventions, were used to build a computational
model of the interventions.
Bajcsy uses non-invasive
observations of movement
and devises algorithms to
model the features
and properties of patients» movements, known
as kinematics.
This
modeling would be aided by
observations that somehow capture the direction of the magnetic field within the CME
as it leaves the sun
and by «a better understanding of how the magnetic field will change
and evolve
as the CME makes its multiday transit from the sun to Earth,» Viereck says.
Two years out of graduate school
and keen on becoming a professor, Kaltenbacher was passionate about her work on inverse problems, which she describes
as «mathematical
modeling in a reverse way,» starting with
observation rather than first principles.
These dust particles have surprisingly diverse mineral content
and structure
as compared with
models of interstellar dust based on previous astronomical
observations.
What he found was that not only were the simulations much closer to actual
observations, but the high - resolution
models were far better at reproducing intense storms, such
as hurricanes
and cyclones.
«However, knowing it will increase is one thing, but having a confident statement about how much
and where
as a function of location requires the
models do a better job of replicating
observations than they have.»
As the filament waned, the
model demonstrates heat
and energy were released into the solar atmosphere, matching the initial
observations.
Changes in fall - winter rainfall from
observations (top panel)
as compared to
model simulation of the past century (middle panel),
and a
model projection of the middle of the 21st century.
«We compare
observations and models to figure out how well our
models are performing,
as well
as how we should interpret our space - based
observations.»
The
observation «confirmed several key astrophysical
models, revealed a birthplace of many heavy elements
and tested general relativity
as never before,» said Cho.
Zebrafish have emerged
as an important vertebrate
model for cardiovascular research for a number of reasons, including the ability to regenerate its heart if damaged,
and because the transparency of the embryos allows easy
observation of internal processes like blood vessel development.
The UM Rosenstiel School researchers used historical
observations of cloud cover
as a proxy for wind velocity in climate
models to analyze the Walker circulation, the atmospheric air flow
and heat distribution in the tropic Pacific region that affects patterns of tropical rainfall.
«
As astrophysical
observations and simulations improve, we're doing increasingly precise comparisons between the
models of how galaxies form
and the
observations of what galaxies actually look like,» Carroll says.
The
observations fit well with computer simulations,
and can be used to refine
models of how large - scale patterns, such
as the distributions of galaxies
and clusters of galaxies, came to be.
My view,
and that of my colleagues at Chicago, Brian Fields
and Craig Copi, is that the quality of the latest
observations places strict constraints on all cosmological
models and requires any new cosmological
model to be
as precise
as the big bang
model itself.
«Given our
observations and modelling, we infer that P / 2013 P5 might be losing dust
as it rotates at high speed,» says Agarwal.
To check their
model forecast,
as the dry season has gotten underway, the researchers have compared their initial forecast with
observations coming in from NASA's precipitation satellite missions» multisatellite datasets,
as well
as groundwater data from the joint NASA / German Aerospace Center Gravity Recovery
and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission.
In this technique, scientists initiate a computer
model with data collected before a past event,
and then test the
model's accuracy by comparing its output with
observations recorded
as the event unfolded.
Though the scientists don't know if such individual
and pack behavior is a common occurrence,
observations like these on Isle Royale provide insight into how animal societies function
as well
as the vicissitudes of the food chain cycle on Isle Royale, also helping to inform other
models of the natural world.
«Our job is to collect
as many
observations as we can to send to the National Hurricane Center in Miami,
and to NOAA's numerical
models center in Washington.»
Now it turns out that the gap between
models and observations isn't
as big
as scientists thought.
Using NASA satellite
observations in tandem with supercomputer processing power for
modeling systems, scientists have a comprehensive suite of tools to analyze El Niño events
and their global impacts
as never before.
The proportion of dwarf novae may be lower than found in catalogs, or they may have a much smaller duty cycle in general
as proposed by some population synthesis
models and recent
observations in the field.
Right now, all of the
models that forecasters use,
as well
as observations of what's currently happening in the tropical Pacific, are indicating that this El Niño is going to be a strong one come late fall
and winter, when it usually peaks.
Ongoing radio
observations (SMA, JCMT, VLA) of Sirius A are being used to set an observationally determined standard for stellar atmosphere
modeling and debris disk studies around A stars,
as well
as to take the first step toward characterizing potential intrinsic uncertainty in stellar emission at these wavelengths.
Methods:
As reported in Geophysical Research Letters, the team led by scientists from PNNL
and the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic
and Meteorological Laboratory used both
observations and models to derive their new formula.
Primary neonatal cerebellar neurons have been used
as a suitable
model to evaluate developmental neurotoxicity because they allow for the
observation of the various stages of neurodevelopment, including proliferation, migration, differentiation,
and morphological
and functional maturation [18].
Rather than use a
model - based estimate,
as did Hansen (2005)
and Trenberth (2009), the authors achieve this by calculating it from
observations of ocean heat content (down to 1800 metres) from the PMEL / JPL / JIMAR data sets over the period July 2005 to June 2010 - a time period dominated by the superior ARGO - based system.
In contrast to this observational approach, Schmittner (
as well
as a number of other papers, like reference # 4 in this post) take advantage of both
models and observations,
and try to use the
observations to constrain which feedback parameters in the
model are consistent (e.g., an overly sensitive
model with the same forcings
as another
model will produce too big of a temperature change than
observations allow).
Over the last five years, the BAMS report has examined more than 100 events
as part of a burgeoning sub-field of climate science that uses
observations and climate
models to show how human - caused warming has already affected the odds or severity of many of the weather extremes we experience now.
As has become a habit (2009, 2010, 2011), here is a brief overview
and update of some of the most discussed
model /
observation comparisons, updated to include 2012.
Current theories derived from computer
models and astronomical
observations indicate that a star
and its planets form from a collapsing cloud of dust
and gas within a larger cloud know
as a nebula, according to the Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore.
The biogeochemical impacts of this «fertilization» remain unclear,
as direct oceanic
observations of atmospheric deposition are limited
and models often can not resolve the important processes.
Such
observations prompted us to use human NSCs expressing c - Myc,
as a
model to facilitate the generation of iPSCs
and to study the reprogramming steps.
Abstract: We summarise recent progress in the understanding of the rotational evolution of low - mass stars (here defined
as solar mass down to the hydrogen burning limit) both in terms of
observations and modelling.
Scientists worldwide use the agency's field data, together with satellite
observations and computer
models, to tackle environmental challenges
and advance our knowledge of how the Earth works
as a complex, integrated system.
The team relied on climate
modeling as well
as observations to show that the effect is already occurring in the Arctic
and is expected to increase in the future
as the climate warms.