Sentences with phrase «models and observations lies»

Not exact matches

It looks to me like they mistakenly constrained the models to start in line with the 1990 value of the smoothed series rather than the actual series, and the smoothed series value lies below the 1990 observation.

If you are trying to test the hypothesis that climate models have not predicted the pause since 1998, then you should be comparing trends between models and observations, rather than seeing if the observed temperature anomalies lie within a broad envelope of climate model simulations.

«It is unlikely that coastal cities or low - lying areas such as Bangladesh, European lowlands, and large portions of the United States eastern coast and northeast China plains could be protected against such large sea level rise,» states a report co-authored by Hansen, titled «Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous».

If a model ensemble was perfect such that the true observed climatic variable can be regarded as indistinguishable from a sample of the model ensemble, then the rank of each observation lies with equal probability anywhere in the model ensemble, and thus the rank histogram should have a uniform distribution (subject to sampling noise).