Sentences with phrase «models average closer»

Those based on instrumental temperature records (e.g., thermometer measurements over the past 150 years or so) have a mean sensitivity of around 2.5 C, while climate models average closer to 3.5 C.

Not exact matches

To be more specific, the models project that over the next 20 years, for a range of plausible emissions, the global temperature will increase at an average rate of about 0.2 degree C per decade, close to the observed rate over the past 30 years.

Unlike previous Pliocene models, this «no ice» version returned temperatures 18 to 27 F warmer than today's average annual temperatures for the Canadian Arctic and Greenland, coming closer to what the historical data pulled from the ground said.

The finding that Neandertals are on average closer to individuals in Eurasia than to individuals in Africa thus presents a challenge to the strictest version of the «Out of Africa» model; however variations of this model are plausible.

Variable Speed Intermittent Wipers Basic Information Stock Number: 93433 VIN Number: 2T3DFREV3FW345617 Style Name: All - Wheel Drive Limited Make: Toyota Model: RAV4 Model Year: 2015 Vehicle Type: SUV Vehicle Trim: Limited Exterior Color: Orange Body Type: SUV Interior Color: Black Engine MPG Automatic City: 22 MPG Automatic Highway: 29 Engine Description: I - 4 Cyl Fuel Type: Gas Fuel Induction: Sequential MPI Valves Per Cylinder: 4 Aspiration: Normal DriveTrain 4WD Type: Automatic Full - Time Driven Wheels: All - Wheel Drive Locking Hubs: Permanent Transfer Case: Electronic Transmission: Automatic Wheels Rims: Silver Aluminum Wheels Spare Rim Type: Steel Drive Train Type: All - Wheel Drive Suspension Independent Suspension: Four - Wheel Stabilizer Bar: Front And Rear Instrumentation Clock External Temp Low Fuel Level Tachometer Trip Computer Roof and Glass Front Wipers: Variable Intermittent Privacy Glass: Deep Rear Defogger Rear Wiper: Fixed Interval Roof Rack: Rails Only Sunroof: Express Open / Close Glass In Car Entertainment Antenna Type: Integrated Roof Audio System: Siriusxm AM / FM / HD / Satellite Speakers: 6 Seats Drivers: Multi-Level Heating Drivers Height: Power Drivers Lumbar: Power 2 - Way Drivers Power: 8 Passenger: Multi-Level Heating Seating Capacity: 5 Front Seat Type: Sport Upholstery: Leatherette Center Armrest Folding: Fold Forward Seatback Convenience Center Console: Full With Covered Storage Cruise Control Cupholders: Front And Rear Door Pockets: Driver And Passenger Overhead Console: Mini Power Outlets: 2 Seatback Storage: 2 Steering Adjustment: Tilt And Telescopic Steering Power: Speed - Proportional Electric Power Steering Power Mirrors: Power Remote Power Door Locks Windows: Power Windows Navigation System: With Voice Activation Memory Features Exterior Mirrors Memory Features Number of Drivers: 2 Comfort Air Conditioning: Automatic Air Filtration: Interior Air Filtration Trunk Lights: Cargo Area Light Dash Trim: Metal - Look Door Trim: Metal - Look Reading Lights: Front Shift Knob: Leather / Metal - Look Steering Wheel Trim: Leather Vanity Mirrors: Dual Vanity Mirrors Features Aux Transmission Cooler: Regular Bumpers: Body - Colored Door Reinforcement: Side - Impact Door Beam Safety NHTSA Passenger Grade: Average NHTSA Driver Grade: Good NHTSA Side Impact Front Grade: Excellent NHTSA Side Impact Back Grade: Excellent Turning Circle: 36.8 ABS: 4 - Wheel Head Airbags: Curtain 1St And 2Nd Row Brake Assist: Braking Assist Safety Locks: Manual Daytime Running Light Engine Immobilizer Headlights Dusksensor: Dusk Sensing Front Headrests: Manual Adjustable Rear Headrests: 3 Rear Center Seatbelt: 3 - Point Belt Safety Signal Mirrors: Turn Signal In Mirrors Safety Stability Control Driver and Passenger Airbag Side Airbag Stability Control Door Reinforcement: Side - Impact Door Beam Towing and Hauling Tie Downs: Cargo Tie Downs Doors Rear Door Type: Power Liftgate Side Door Type: Conventional Dimensions Front Head Room: 38.9 Inches Front Hip Room: 54.3 Inches Front Shoulder Room: 57.3 Inches Front Leg Room: 42.6 Inches Rear Head Room: 38.9 Inches Rear Hip Room: 48.9 Inches Rear Leg Room: 37.2 Inches Rear Shoulder Room: 55.4 Inches Luggage Capacity: 38 Cu.Ft.

Generally speaking, Microsoft has taken the closest aim at business customers (who are usually willing to pay a higher price as compared to the average mobile consumer), but having a less expensive model makes it tremendously more appealing for those wanting to outfit their families with the same device they use at the office.

Following our January 2015 report, we ran a comprehensive comparison of Amazon sales prices for the entire 120,000 - title dataset against the publisher - set digital list prices on B&N.com, and determined that Amazon was on average discounting Big - 5 and other traditionally - published books far more steeply than our 80 % modeled, and that Amazon's profit was very close to 0 %, rather than 20 %.

But the sector remains on my radar, as I suspect it's now close to a consolidation point where a dividend / yield - driven REIT business model takes over (average large - cap dividend yield's now only 2.2 %), which could trigger a new wave of investor sentiment & demand.

You can certainly model in advance the consequences of some extra months added to the average LE (because months, even weeks, are quite an achievement when you're closing in on 100 yrs of age!).

The model is invested in a portfolio asset when the adjusted close price is greater than the moving average and the allocation is moved to cash when the adjusted close price is less than the moving average.

The model is invested in the asset when the adjusted close price is greater than the moving average and the model moves to cash when the adjusted close price is less than the moving average.

Secondly, the eyeball average of the model outputs does not fall particularly close to the endpoint of the temperature record.

Do you think knowledge of «absolute truth» global average temperature would help to evaluate which model projections are closer to reality?

I have no way of knowing the influence of «family relationships» between models, but it is clear that a large part of the apparent correlation of projected warming rate with average surface temperature is due to more runs for some models than for others, combined with the close relationships between certain models.

Figure 6: Easterbrook's two global temperature projections A (green) and B (blue) vs. the IPCC TAR simple model projection tuned to seven global climate models for emissions scenario A2 (the closest scenario to reality thus far)(red) and observed global surface temperature change (the average of NASA GISS, NOAA, and HadCRUT4)(black) over the period 2000 through 2011.

Tom, If you accept that the pauses, previously occurring and the one at the present, are part of long period cycles whose long term average is related to the actual long term trend of temperature (rather than the far steeper slope of rise from just 1980 to 1999), you are admitting that the rise (from whatever cause) has a slope of closer to 0.4 C per century than the super inflated values of 2C to 6C per century claimed by the models and supporters of CAGW.

While global temperatures were running a bit below climate models between 2005 and 2014, the last few years have been pretty close to the model average.

However, temperatures in recent years — both during the El Niño event and, more importantly, now that the El Niño event is over — are tracking rather close to the average projection of the climate models included in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the CMIP5 models).

If the question ever was asked, the point of it was probably practice on the distinction between having a location and occupying space at a location, which is actually very close to our modern distinction between intensive properties and extensive properties, which is to say that the frequent claim here that temperatures can't be averaged (or models can't be averaged) is closer to the question about angels than Dr Bob might be comfortable with.

Then an average sensitivity based on the latitudinal trends being 1.48 C per doubling might be some indication of future response to CO2, which appears to be somewhat less than 0.2 C per, though still within the confidence interval of the model predictions, just closer to scenario C.

Now, one model result, within or outside the arbitrary range, is going to be close to average temperature in 2100.

... why we aren't using empirical evidence (as it accumulates) to reject failing models and concentrate on the ones that come closest to working, while also not using the models that are obviously not working in any sort of «average» claim for future warming.

So I would recommend — modestly — that skeptics try very hard not to buy into this and redirect all such discussions to questions such as why the models are in such terrible disagreement with each other, even when applied to identical toy problems that are far simpler than the actual Earth, and why we aren't using empirical evidence (as it accumulates) to reject failing models and concentrate on the ones that come closest to working, while also not using the models that are obviously not working in any sort of «average» claim for future warming.

Is average trend of models running close to actual absolute temperatures different from those running too low or too high?

And there is an obvious selection effect that on average, the selected published models will be close to the observations, but that the disagreements may more or less cancel statistically: I wouldn't be surprised if ON AVERAGE, astrological predictions would be shown to give a reasonable rate of various catastrophes, earthaverage, the selected published models will be close to the observations, but that the disagreements may more or less cancel statistically: I wouldn't be surprised if ON AVERAGE, astrological predictions would be shown to give a reasonable rate of various catastrophes, earthAVERAGE, astrological predictions would be shown to give a reasonable rate of various catastrophes, earthquakes,

Gavin notes that the average of many models is frequently «closer to the observations» than any individual model.

All six individual runs with bias - adjusted SST (only the average is shown) give simulated land air temperatures close to those observed so that internal model variability is small on decadal time - scales compared to the signal being sought.

Blue: 15 - year average trends from CMIP5 runs where the model Niño3.4 trend is close to observations.

Benchmarks for Apple's new 13 - inch MacBook Pro without the Touch Bar are beginning to collect on Geekbench, providing a closer look at the notebook's performance improvements and energy efficiency.The entry - level model, powered by a Skylake - based 2.0 GHz dual - core Intel Core i5 processor, currently has an average multi-core score of 6,970, indicating the notebook is only up to 7 % faster than the early 2015 base model 13 - inch MacBook Pro.

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