Sentences with phrase «models get it wrong»

You may claim my comments are veering «off topic», but I am supporting the use of OHC as a metric and showing how climate models get it wrong.

A group of scientists argues our current climate change models get it wrong.

How long does the current rate have to hold for you to agree the models got it wrong?

It may still be too low, but it's hard for me to judge, or to state that the models all got it wrong.

Not exact matches

Don't let an innovative solution and a great business model get lost in the wrong channel.

To be fair — and this gets a bit into question # 2 (why are the models systematically wrong)-- no one really knows the timing of how this kind of dynamic plays out in the macroeconomy.

Don't get me wrong, the capitalist model is far from perfect, it has many problems, but i've never been able to come up with a better system.

When we get it wrong, we fix the model — to a new order of approximation.

We've moved toward the model of everything is relative and nobody gets to define right and wrong.

What most fans on here forget is in the long term we might have a sustainable model (which is brilliant, don't get me wrong), but we might lose clientèle.

This is an incredibly difficult question to answer for a variety of reasons, most importantly because over the years our once vaunted «beautiful» style of play has become a shadow of it's former self, only to be replaced by a less than stellar «plug and play» mentality where players play out of position and adjustments / substitutions are rarely forthcoming before the 75th minute... if you look at our current players, very few would make sense in the traditional Wengerian system... at present, we don't have the personnel to move the ball quickly from deep - lying position, efficient one touch midfielders that can make the necessary through balls or the disciplined and pacey forwards to stretch defences into wide positions, without the aid of the backs coming up into the final 3rd, so that we can attack the defensive lanes in the same clinical fashion we did years ago... on this current squad, we have only 1 central defender on staf, Mustafi, who seems to have any prowess in the offensive zone or who can even pass two zones through so that we can advance play quickly out of our own end (I have seen some inklings that suggest Holding might have some offensive qualities but too early to tell)... unfortunately Mustafi has a tendency to get himself in trouble when he gets overly aggressive on the ball... from our backs out wide, we've seen pace from the likes of Bellerin and Gibbs and the spirited albeit offensively stunted play of Monreal, but none of these players possess the skill - set required in the offensive zone for the new Wenger scheme which requires deft touches, timely runs to the baseline and consistent crossing, especially when Giroud was playing and his ratio of scored goals per clear chances was relatively low (better last year though)... obviously I like Bellerin's future prospects, as you can't teach pace, but I do worry that he regressed last season, which was obvious to Wenger because there was no way he would have used Ox as the right side wing - back so often knowing that Barcelona could come calling in the off - season, if he thought otherwise... as for our midfielders, not a single one, minus the more confident Xhaka I watched played for the Swiss national team a couple years ago, who truly makes sense under the traditional Wenger model... Ramsey holds onto the ball too long, gives the ball away cheaply far too often and abandons his defensive responsibilities on a regular basis (doesn't score enough recently to justify): that being said, I've always thought he does possess a little something special, unfortunately he thinks so too... Xhaka is a little too slow to ever boss the midfield and he tends to telegraph his one true strength, his long ball play: although I must admit he did get a bit better during some points in the latter part of last season... it always made me wonder why whenever he played with Coq Wenger always seemed to play Francis in a more advanced role on the pitch... as for Coq, he is way too reckless at the wrong times and has exhibited little offensive prowess yet finds himself in and around the box far too often... let's face it Wenger was ready to throw him in the trash heap when injuries forced him to use Francis and then he had the nerve to act like this was all part of a bigger Wenger constructed plan... he like Ramsey, Xhaka and Elneny don't offer the skills necessary to satisfy the quick transitory nature of our old offensive scheme or the stout defensive mindset needed to protect the defensive zone so that our offensive players can remain aggressive in the final third... on the front end, we have Ozil, a player of immense skill but stunted by his physical demeanor that tends to offend, the fact that he's been played out of position far too many times since arriving and that the players in front of him, minus Sanchez, make little to no sense considering what he has to offer (especially Giroud); just think about the quick counter-attack offence in Real or the space and protection he receives in the German National team's midfield, where teams couldn't afford to focus too heavily on one individual... this player was a passing «specialist» long before he arrived in North London, so only an arrogant or ignorant individual would try to reinvent the wheel and / or not surround such a talent with the necessary components... in regards to Ox, Walcott and Welbeck, although they all possess serious talents I see them in large part as headless chickens who are on the injury table too much, lack the necessary first - touch and / or lack the finishing flair to warrant their inclusion in a regular starting eleven; I would say that, of the 3, Ox showed the most upside once we went to a back 3, but even he became a bit too consumed by his pending contract talks before the season ended and that concerned me a bit... if I had to choose one of those 3 players to stay on it would be Ox due to his potential as a plausible alternative to Bellerin in that wing - back position should we continue to use that formation... in Sanchez, we get one of the most committed skill players we've seen on this squad for some years but that could all change soon, if it hasn't already of course... strangely enough, even he doesn't make sense given the constructs of the original Wenger offensive model because he holds onto the ball too long and he will give the ball up a little too often in the offensive zone... a fact that is largely forgotten due to his infectious energy and the fact that the numbers he has achieved seem to justify the means... finally, and in many ways most crucially, Giroud, there is nothing about this team or the offensive system that Wenger has traditionally employed that would even suggest such a player would make sense as a starter... too slow, too inefficient and way too easily dispossessed... once again, I think he has some special skills and, at times, has showed some world - class qualities but he's lack of mobility is an albatross around the necks of our offence... so when you ask who would be our best starting 11, I don't have a clue because of the 5 or 6 players that truly deserve a place in this side, 1 just arrived, 3 aren't under contract beyond 2018 and the other was just sold to Juve... man, this is theraputic because following this team is like an addiction to heroin without the benefits

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

Dr. Deb Pontillo: Parents have to be you know, especially careful about how they resolve conflict because even just between husband and wife or partners, that the modeling goes a wrong way and so if you get angry and frustrated and you yell how do you think your kids are going to resolve their conflicts.

The major poll - based forecasts, a lot of models, the prediction markets, even the superforecaster crowd all got it wrong.

«It's like if we have a weather forecast model that gets the rain right in Boston today, but for the wrong reasons,» Follows says.

«Climate sceptics like to criticize climate models for getting things wrong, and we are the first to admit they are not perfect, but what we are finding is that the mistakes are being made by those models which predict less warming, not those that predict more,» said Prof. Sherwood.

Even worse, most models got the timing of soot distribution wrong.

«Without reproducing this size distribution for the right reasons, models are likely to get the wrong answer when used to predict into the future,» Farrior said.

In the past, the model and cookbook author has taken to her social platforms to get real about everything from stretch marks and period skin to the occasional spray tan gone wrong.

Hypochondria is a diagnosis I take great offense to because it ignores the patient's intuition that there is something wrong and often leads to shame, disempowerment, helplessness and destroys the trust we have in the healthcare model and of ever getting well.

So this is another thing Atkins and other VLCers get wrong if in any way thinking they are modeling some natural, proven healthy diet by claiming it's not and should not be very high protein.

Bought by the owners of Match.com, the app took too long to monetise, and chose the wrong model — rightly charging people to undo «left swipes» (where users had got rid of a match)- but wrongly expecting users to pay a monthly fee for the privilege, rather than just a small amount each time.

Don't get me wrong, they're both very attractive wanna - be models, but I can't imagine wanting to be close to someone who hasn't brushed their teeth or showered in weeks.

Things start to feel forced when Grigris gets involved with wannabe - model sex worker Mimi, his uncle becomes sick, and he volunteers for a get - rich - quick crime spree that, predictably, goes wrong.

The abstract shapes help them understand that there is no wrong and helps them focus on getting the 3D modelling right.

World renowned author, speaker and education theorist, Sir Ken Robinson explains why he thinks modern education systems get it wrong and what needs to be done to provide a new model.

If I were your average principal or tech director walking around the exhibit hall without much knowledge of the model, or a misconception of the model, I could really end up getting the wrong information.

2017: Math is Power, Not Punishment 2016: Beyond Relevance & Real World: Stronger Strategies for Student Engagement 2015: Fake - World Math: When Mathematical Modeling Goes Wrong and How to Get it Right 2014: Video Games & Making Math More Like Things Students Like 2013: Why Students Hate Word Problems

There was actually not much wrong with the LA model in the first place and what we've got instead is not demonstrably any better and arguably worse.

I love the tech, he'd take me into the garage or lot, show me what was wrong, explain things thoroughly, and be very candid about the state of some vw parts at the time (such as the MKIV MAF being on revision «R» in late 2001 after the model was only introduced in «99.5) which greatly earned my trust in him and his ability to work «for me and my car» not just «for the dealer, on my car»... I probably should have been able to get my car classified as a lemon, but his service manager didn't even stand behind what he said.

Don't get me wrong: lots of people will, rightly, love this car, and the 300 - hp V - 6 model, especially, has a lot going for it.

Given that legacy and the model's popularity, Ford couldn't afford to get it wrong.

Last month Audi TT OffRoad PHEV concept, presented at China show, with 12KWH capacity (Not clear if available for EV range or total), and almost everything else set «rightly», gave me a hope WW Group had understood this < 10KWH was «just too small», and I was hoping final model would come with closer to 20KWH pack, and behind them the future Porsche Macan PHEV could get even a little more like 30KWH... But now again I'm confused and think WW just did not get it, hence the other models will likely be wrong sized again and again.

Don't get me wrong, I am excited about the high tech models coming out, but that software issue has yet to be resolved as far as I know.

Don't get me wrong, it can deliver stunning visuals, but it also has a price more suited for... suits, so to say, as the cheapest model, with a 32 GB SSD, costs around $ 1.000.

We've spent a lot of time with the two flagship models (and the non-touch Kindle 4), and we got ta say: We called it wrong.

Those following simple Keynesian models get things wrong when borrowing parties are overindebted, because every debt involves a promise to pay that other parties rely on.

If the Buy - and - Hold Model gets the retirement numbers wildly wrong, Buy - and - Hold has failed us and needs to be replaced.

Most consultants, and most academics, would rather have a wrong model that allows them make money, or publish, than get things right.

This doesn't mean his model is wrong, but that the odds of it forecasting well in the future are lower because each model adjustment effectively relies on less data as the model gets «tuned» to eliminate past inaccuracies.

Don't get me wrong, the game looked great with an incredible atmosphere and detailed environments, but the in - game character models weren't anything super special and in stark contrast to the Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within-esque models shown during loading screens.

Don't get me wrong, the gun models and everything close up looks great in VR, it just when you're looking in the distance is where the cracks show.

Don't get me wrong, I still see a need for all kinds of agency models.

There is nothing wrong per se in splicing records together to get a continuous series — for instance I have just done the exact same thing in creating a series of solar forcing functions for climate model runs — but these things should be clearly explained.

If any specific model is getting it badly wrong, that will simply manifest through a scaling factor very different from 1 without changing the total attribution.

My beef is not with the models being wrong, that's to be expected the issue is with people trying to gloss over the discrepancy as a minor issue When David Hataway, leading light of solar physic got his prediction spectacularly wrong on Solar cycle 24.

What I am saying is that they used a regional climate model which did not include the changes in the Arctic region, and the boundary conditions they used were those predicted using GCMs that we know got the Arctic ice wrong!

Don't get me wrong I know the data entered into the model is intense and has to bear a lot of scrutiny but with hackers and binary knowledge of computers there is no way I could be convinced that a model couldn't be manipulated by an Expert Programmer.

A model might be «okay» if it mistreats a minor piece of the puzzle, but if it gets a major piece wrong, our chance of drawing any solid conclusions are likely doomed.

The impression one gets from the literature is unfortunately quite wrong about the accuracy of these models.