Sentences with phrase «models have predicted»

Climate scientist Claire Parkinson, from NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, says, «Climate models have predicted a retreat of the Arctic sea ice; but the actual retreat has proven to be much more rapid than the predictions.
By James M. Taylor NASA satellite data from the years 2000 through 2011 show the Earthâ $ ™ s atmosphere is allowing far more heat to be released into space than alarmist computer models have predicted, reports a new study in the peer - reviewed science journal Remote Sensing.
Unfortunately climate models regarding rainfall in the region have told two different stories: some models have predicted more rainfall in the region, while others have less.
«Climate models have predicted a retreat of the Arctic sea ice; but the actual retreat has proven to be much more rapid than the predictions,» said Claire Parkinson, a climate researcher at NASA Goddard.
Or maybe, «As shown in Figures 1.4 and 1.5, since the end of the 1992 Pinatubo volcano, models have predicted a steady upward trend in global average temperatures, but the observed series have been comparatively trendless, and thus the range of model warming predictions since the early 1990s can be seen to have been biased towards more warming than was subsequently observed.»
For a long time the models have predicted just that.»
Arctic sea ice has declined at a rate significantly faster than global climate models have predicted.
And since crops will be facing not just heat stress but also extreme events such as wide - ranging droughts, flooding, or pest outbreaks, the losses could easily turn out to be more severe than the models have predicted.
NASA satellite data from the years 2000 through 2011 show the Earth's atmosphere is allowing far more heat to be released into space than alarmist computer models have predicted, reports a new study in the peer - reviewed science journal Remote Sensing.
In addition to finding that far less heat is being trapped than alarmist computer models have predicted, the NASA satellite data show the atmosphere begins shedding heat into space long before United Nations computer models predicted.
The «consensus» believers have been having kittens because all of the Horrible and Rapid Changes they and their models have predicted for right now... have failed to occur.
These results, while confirming that anthropogenic - added climate forcing might have progressively played a dominant role in climate change during the last century, also suggested that the solar impact on climate change during the same period is signficantly stronger than what some theoretical models have predicted
Some theoretical models have predicted that dark galaxies were common in the early universe when galaxies had more difficulty forming stars — partly because their density of gas was not sufficient to form stars — and only later did galaxies begin to ignite stars, becoming like the galaxies we see today.
Until now, models have predicted something for the future... but it was something that seemed very distant,» said Oltmanns, the lead scientist behind the research, which was published this week in Nature Climate Change.
Climate models have predicted the least temperature rise would be on average 1.65 °C (2.97 °F), but upper estimates vary a lot, averaging 5.2 °C (9.36 °F).
The researchers found that the dusty disks around some protostars, as young stars are called, are even bigger than theoretical models have predicted.
Models have predicted that planets forming here should quickly reach a mass of 10 Earth masses by accumulating most of the solid material in the vicinity.
But the Jupiter - like exoplanets that have been discovered so far are much hotter than models have predicted, hinting that they could have formed much faster as material collapses quickly to make a very hot planet.
And again, does Freeman Dyson, assuming he is willing to get on an airplane even though models have been used to test the performance of the airplane, assuming he does and he knows he's going somewhere where they've predicted, where weather models have predicted rainfall for the next seven days, does he not pack his umbrella because he doesn't believe the models?
If conditions are particularly wet in coming decades, as some regional climate models have predicted, New Haven's groundwater levels could rise even farther.
Testing that has been completed on components of the system, dubbed KRUSTY, has been «greatly successful — the models have predicted very well what has happened, and operations have gone smoothly,» said Dave Poston, chief reactor designer at the Los Alamos National Laboratory.
And I would say that was because — this is just one example — the field of economics, for many years, did not incorporate the fact that humans don't make decisions generally on a one - to - one level the way that their models would predict.
The timing of the 1998 peak suggests that curbs on industrial production were responsible, at least in part, for the decline, but the magnitude of the drop has baffled scientists because the best models had predicted a smaller decline.
The experiment showed that the laser pulse created an energy oscillation in the harvester that lingered for longer than either model would predict.
«The news is that the Standard Model has predicted that this B - sub-s meson will decay to two muons very, very rarely, and that is what we've seen.»
But in the real world, the 27 % reduction in international air - travel volume after 9/11 appears to have caused a 13 - day delay in the 2001 — 02 influenza season — considerably more than the models would predict, say John Brownstein and Kenneth Mandl of Children's Hospital Boston and Harvard Medical School in a paper released on 11 September by PLoS Medicine.
That's when they discovered that two neighboring stations on the east coast were uplifting far more rapidly than standard models had predicted.
It's not clear exactly what dark matter models would predict, McGaugh says.
The panel reported that the world is warming throughout the lower atmosphere, as climate models had predicted, and acknowledged «clear evidence of human influences on the climate system.»
(For example, the Standard Model would predict that the probability of two particles having very high energies colliding with one another would be greater than one, a physical impossibility!)
Krypton trapped in Earth's mantle appears not to have been captured from the sun, as some models would predict
In fact, five fault segments failed simultaneously, producing a quake much larger than the model had predicted.
The model had predicted an increase to 2.25 % for individuals assigned the sentence usually given to blacks, and 0.34 % for a shorter sentence handed to whites.
Extensive study of agricultural and laboratory model organisms have shown that the genotype - phenotype map is much more complicated than Fisher's additive model would predict.
In a model that jointly considers neighborhood characteristics with a strong or moderate correlation with boundary participation and controls for the Wilson HS feeder pattern, there are three schools that have higher boundary participation rates than our models would predict and six schools that have lower boundary participation rates than expected (see Figure 15).
However, they can still provide a service to artists, clients, and the public, much as a market model would predict.
So if you just took the relative change since 1999, not the absolute numbers as compared to the red curve, their new model would predict the same warming as a standard scenario run (i.e. the black one), which would hardly have been a reason to go to the worldwide media with a «pause in warming» prediction.
If the authors had adopted a volume shift rather than a time - shift, the models would predict zero ice volume around 2060.
-- snip - «Arctic temperature increases between 1971 and 2003 might spell trouble if they continued, even though the rise was below what computer models had predicted: 1.4 degrees F per half century.
Now if your model had predicted the gravity in let's say 3000 points, then it would necessarily have found such errors in 10 of those points.
New research indicates that pika populations are developing more resilience to increases in temperature than previous models had predicted.
A team of scientists from the National Snow and Ice Data Center and the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which has compiled data on Arctic Ocean summer ice melting from 1953 to 2006, concluded that the ice is melting much faster than climate models had predicted.
Refuting lower - resolution results, high - resolution ocean modelling has predicted climate change will have little impact on western Pacific tuna fisheries in the 2060s.
Occam's razor would have told Hansen from the start that since the observations only showed half as much warming as his models had predicted, his models were obviously wrong (assumed climate sensitivity = too high).
Such damage is already more common than most climate models had predicted, with the boreal belt especially hard hit.
Either Houston is incredibly unlucky or the risk of severe flooding is a lot more serious than the FEMA modeling has predicted — and the odds of a flood as bad as the ones Houston has seen for the past few years are actually much higher than 1 in 500.
To describe the difference between what we observed and what our models had predicted as «noise» seems perverse.
A team of scientists from the National Snow and Ice Data Center and the National Center for Atmospheric Research concluded that the ice is melting much faster than climate models had predicted.
req'd), found Artic temperatures almost beyond imagination — above 23 °C (74 °F)-- temperatures more than 18 °F warmer than current climate models had predicted when applied to this period.
The loss of Arctic summer sea ice was happening faster than CO2 driven models had predicted, suggesting flawed models.
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