And most
models looking at future climate change scenarios did not account for aerosols in the stratosphere.
For each year,
the model looks at the future incomes and environmental losses for the business - as - usual case and compares it with one with higher CO2 emissions.
Not exact matches
The key to the success for many of these companies — and what companies of all sizes can learn from — has been to not only
look at metrics retroactively to analyze what happened, but also to develop
models to predict optimal offerings for the
future.
This study
looked at genetic (varieties) and management (row spacing and nitrogen) options to minimise the impact of climate change, using rain - out shelters to control rainfall; the results provided a platform to
model wheat production in
future climates.
This is an incredibly difficult question to answer for a variety of reasons, most importantly because over the years our once vaunted «beautiful» style of play has become a shadow of it's former self, only to be replaced by a less than stellar «plug and play» mentality where players play out of position and adjustments / substitutions are rarely forthcoming before the 75th minute... if you
look at our current players, very few would make sense in the traditional Wengerian system...
at present, we don't have the personnel to move the ball quickly from deep - lying position, efficient one touch midfielders that can make the necessary through balls or the disciplined and pacey forwards to stretch defences into wide positions, without the aid of the backs coming up into the final 3rd, so that we can attack the defensive lanes in the same clinical fashion we did years ago... on this current squad, we have only 1 central defender on staf, Mustafi, who seems to have any prowess in the offensive zone or who can even pass two zones through so that we can advance play quickly out of our own end (I have seen some inklings that suggest Holding might have some offensive qualities but too early to tell)... unfortunately Mustafi has a tendency to get himself in trouble when he gets overly aggressive on the ball... from our backs out wide, we've seen pace from the likes of Bellerin and Gibbs and the spirited albeit offensively stunted play of Monreal, but none of these players possess the skill - set required in the offensive zone for the new Wenger scheme which requires deft touches, timely runs to the baseline and consistent crossing, especially when Giroud was playing and his ratio of scored goals per clear chances was relatively low (better last year though)... obviously I like Bellerin's
future prospects, as you can't teach pace, but I do worry that he regressed last season, which was obvious to Wenger because there was no way he would have used Ox as the right side wing - back so often knowing that Barcelona could come calling in the off - season, if he thought otherwise... as for our midfielders, not a single one, minus the more confident Xhaka I watched played for the Swiss national team a couple years ago, who truly makes sense under the traditional Wenger
model... Ramsey holds onto the ball too long, gives the ball away cheaply far too often and abandons his defensive responsibilities on a regular basis (doesn't score enough recently to justify): that being said, I've always thought he does possess a little something special, unfortunately he thinks so too... Xhaka is a little too slow to ever boss the midfield and he tends to telegraph his one true strength, his long ball play: although I must admit he did get a bit better during some points in the latter part of last season... it always made me wonder why whenever he played with Coq Wenger always seemed to play Francis in a more advanced role on the pitch... as for Coq, he is way too reckless
at the wrong times and has exhibited little offensive prowess yet finds himself in and around the box far too often... let's face it Wenger was ready to throw him in the trash heap when injuries forced him to use Francis and then he had the nerve to act like this was all part of a bigger Wenger constructed plan... he like Ramsey, Xhaka and Elneny don't offer the skills necessary to satisfy the quick transitory nature of our old offensive scheme or the stout defensive mindset needed to protect the defensive zone so that our offensive players can remain aggressive in the final third... on the front end, we have Ozil, a player of immense skill but stunted by his physical demeanor that tends to offend, the fact that he's been played out of position far too many times since arriving and that the players in front of him, minus Sanchez, make little to no sense considering what he has to offer (especially Giroud); just think about the quick counter-attack offence in Real or the space and protection he receives in the German National team's midfield, where teams couldn't afford to focus too heavily on one individual... this player was a passing «specialist» long before he arrived in North London, so only an arrogant or ignorant individual would try to reinvent the wheel and / or not surround such a talent with the necessary components... in regards to Ox, Walcott and Welbeck, although they all possess serious talents I see them in large part as headless chickens who are on the injury table too much, lack the necessary first - touch and / or lack the finishing flair to warrant their inclusion in a regular starting eleven; I would say that, of the 3, Ox showed the most upside once we went to a back 3, but even he became a bit too consumed by his pending contract talks before the season ended and that concerned me a bit... if I had to choose one of those 3 players to stay on it would be Ox due to his potential as a plausible alternative to Bellerin in that wing - back position should we continue to use that formation... in Sanchez, we get one of the most committed skill players we've seen on this squad for some years but that could all change soon, if it hasn't already of course... strangely enough, even he doesn't make sense given the constructs of the original Wenger offensive
model because he holds onto the ball too long and he will give the ball up a little too often in the offensive zone... a fact that is largely forgotten due to his infectious energy and the fact that the numbers he has achieved seem to justify the means... finally, and in many ways most crucially, Giroud, there is nothing about this team or the offensive system that Wenger has traditionally employed that would even suggest such a player would make sense as a starter... too slow, too inefficient and way too easily dispossessed... once again, I think he has some special skills and,
at times, has showed some world - class qualities but he's lack of mobility is an albatross around the necks of our offence... so when you ask who would be our best starting 11, I don't have a clue because of the 5 or 6 players that truly deserve a place in this side, 1 just arrived, 3 aren't under contract beyond 2018 and the other was just sold to Juve... man, this is theraputic because following this team is like an addiction to heroin without the benefits
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you
look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real
future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their
future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business
model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality
at the striker position falls once again squarely
at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business
model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke
model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside
looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame
at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
At this point, the Obama campaign
looks like a
model that for other campaigns going into the
future, and I can't wait to talk with his online people when they're free to speak openly.
Models and theories are not crystal balls and don't show the
future, they are simply ways of
looking at what might happen in certain circumstances.
«The result is not a surprise, but if you
look at the global climate
models that have been used to analyze what the planet
looked like 20,000 years ago — the same
models used to predict global warming in the
future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist
at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.
He hopes the
model will be useful for
future predictions along these lines, such as
looking at pathways of disease progression.
The paper is «solid, exciting research,» says ecologist Chris Field of Carnegie Institution for Science in Palo Alto, California, who notes that various
models have
looked at ways different factors might affect
future plant growth.
«We see a lot of species» distributions really start to wink out after about 50 years, but it is tricky to
look at future predictions because we will have a lot of habitat loss predicted using our
models,» McGuire said.
Future studies should
look at the use of AAV2 body - wide in mice, which would better
model what happens in humans.
In this special package, we
look at recent changes TFA has embarked on as it enters a new era and the questions they raise about its
model, impact, and
future course.
Similarly
at primary, we're all
looking for teachers of reading, writing and mathematics who are excited by the ambition of the September 2014 curriculum and whose practice
models what we know enables most pupils to master the skills so vital to their
futures.
Citroen has revealed a new concept car, which could go into production, and points
at what
future models in the C - range could
look like.
The Audi TT Sportback concept provides a
look at what the
future might hold for an expanded TT family of vehicles that could include four - door
models like this along with possible shooting brakes and crossover bodystyles.
First, it's important to
look at what engines will likely power these
future go - fast
models from the land of dill lovers and high taxes.
In addition to the new
models, visitors of the show can also take a
look at advanced
future technologies.
It is a study which offers a
look at the
future generation of the sports
model.
While most entries into the Vision program of Playstation's popular Gran Turismo franchise are
at least linked to a real - world or
future production
model, the 2025 Vision Gran Turismo
looks nothing like anything Hyundai has ever done before.
At first glance you will notice that the xChangeE concept
looks like nothing more than a customized Tesla
Model S, but underneath Rinspeed has created its vision of a
future electric autonomous car.
This latest teaser provides the clearest
look yet
at the electric hatchback, which is a preview of one of the
future models from the EQ sub-brand.
All you have to do is take a
look at our informative
model research library below to learn more about each of the Nissan
models currently available here
at Continental Motors, as well as upcoming
models that will be joining the lineup in the
future.
At the show, Nissan claims that the Gripz won't serve as a direct replacement for an existing
model but previews what
future compact crossovers will
look like for the brand.
In fact, the official press materials says this car: «hints
at how a
future Fiesta ST
model might
look when it joins the Focus ST in the global small car portfolio.»
Future Acura
models could potentially
look much different, if this concept on display
at the Detroit auto show is any clue.
To be unveiled
at the 2015 Geneva Motor Show, Sway is a glimpse
at how a
future generation of small Nissan
models could
look if the company's striking new design language was applied to a European hatchback.
While the unveiling of the JaguarI - PACE gives us an initial view
at what we could be
looking at in the near
future, we don't know for sure if this is precisely the kind of
model that will hit the streets under the Land Rover moniker.
In this recent render of a
future BMW 6 Series Coupe, we take a
look at what the next
model might be had BMW never ended production on it.
Revealed
at the 2016 New York Motor Show the sleek four - door saloon gives us a clue as to how
future models from Hyundai's new premium brand could
look.
Groundbreaking drive system technology and an accentuated sporty
look:
at the 2017 Geneva International Motor Show, Audi will be presenting another concept car which demonstrates the potential of the
future Q8
model range.
With that said, let's take a better
look at the Viziv - 7 concept and talk about what we can expect from the
future model it represents.
As Nissan puts it, the Sway Concept is a glimpse
at how a
future generation of small Nissan
models could
look if the company's striking new design language was applied to a European hatchback.
Easily one of the stars of this year's Detroit Auto Show, and arguably the best
looking, the Lexus LF - LC hybrid coupe concept is a bold
look at the
future styling direction of the brand, while also hinting
at a new
model.
In the land of glitz and glamour, the 2014 LA Auto Show certainly did its part to show off the industry's hottest new
models and a
look at what we might be driving in the near
future.
I don't even know how to say what I feel about publishers
at this point — part of the problem is that they insist on acting as if we are still in the 1800's — they haven't changed their business
models in a long time and they really are almost clueless when it comes to
looking at the
future of books — I wouldn't mind paying more for an ebook or even a paper based book if the author was getting more revenue but it's not about the author
at this point it's all about the publisher.
Nintendo is
looking at the business
model of Amazon's Kindle as it considers the
future for its portable consoles, the company's president said on Friday.
Some publishers
look at this
model and see it as the
future.
We'll start back before April Fools Day, 2010 — the day that the agency
model took effect — and continue right through to today and beyond by
looking at some of the available tea leaves to see where prices, and the book business in general, are likely to go in the
future.
In Part 2, tomorrow, Christopher
looks at the
model offered by Overdrive and considers the
future of lending with the Open Book Alliance's Peter Brantley
Lenders and credit scoring
models look at past behavior as an indicator of
future behavior.
Let's take a
look at the expected real returns for a range of asset classes using the simple and reliable
model assuming that starting yields predict
future returns.
Statistical
models look at past performance and assume the
future will perform similarly — the fallacy of which can be seen in all those AAA rated mort - gage - backed securities that are now being recycled for toilet paper.
Ricarda Winkelmann et al.
modeled the response of the Antarctic ice sheet to a wide range of
future carbon emissions scenarios over the long - term (previous simulations have mainly
looked at changes that might occur on a shorter timescale).
In a paper published last year Meehl et al (2011)
looked at what a range of different climate
models predict might happen in the
future.
Michael Mann telling Congress that — he swore the world was going to end — some trees, he bored holes in said so, when he put them through a» climate math» computer «
model» — but that he couldn't let Congress take a
look at that data because that information was his own private research, and he might need that research product to make money with in the
future.»
Researchers
at the U.S. Forest Services Pacific Wildland Fire Lab
looked at past fires in the West to create a statistical
model of how
future climate change may affect wildfires.
It's also not surprising that an off - the - cuff prediction that the
future will
look like the past is not a bad way to predict the
future, but the
models were not given the benefit of that shortcut, and so what was
at issue was their ability to yield reasonable output on the basis of inputted physical principles, initial and boundary values, parametrizations, and appropriate choice of simplifying assumptions.
Regarding balance in research, today the $ 1.7 billion USGCRP budget is dominated by (1) basic carbon cycle research, which assumes AGW, and (2) applied
modeling that
looks at the following question: «given AGW, how bad will it get in the
future?»