Apparently, THAT collection of
models shows warming consistent with Mr. Steig's study.
That is, the surface
models show no warming for the preceding 30 to 40 years, just during this period.
Not exact matches
This
model from Philips Avent has a talk - back feature so you can let baby know you're still close by, a temperature sensor so you can tell if your baby might be too
warm or too cold, the ability to turn a nightlight on and off for baby, remote start for five different lullabies, a rechargeable parent unit, LED lights that
show you how much noise baby is making, and an out of range alarm.
But new
models show that at the current rates of greenhouse gas emissions,
warming seas will push these foraging grounds much farther south.
The thermodynamic
model developed by VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland research scientists
shows that under certain conditions ice
warms and melts when an item of material slides across its surface.
New
models show how global
warming may increase flooding from southeast Asia to western Europe
In a recent study, for instance, well - respected climate
models were
shown to have completely opposing estimates for the overall effect of the clouds and smoke in the southeast Atlantic: Some found net
warming, whereas others found cooling.
Climate
models show that if CO2 levels stopped rising now, the world would still
warm by a further 0.6 °C.
In February, Shindell and colleagues
showed that
models inflated the
warming because they were fed the wrong data.
Some climate change deniers have taken encouragement from the pause, saying they
show warming predictions are flawed, but Mann, a co-author on the study, notes that «there have been various explanations for why [the slowdown is happening], none of which involve climate
models being fundamentally wrong.»
The
models showed a general increase in extreme rainfall but the global
warming signal was not strong enough yet to rise above the expected natural variation.
So far, Rousseaux said, the phytoplankton forecast
models haven't
shown any collapses for the 2015 - 2016 El Nino, possibly because the
warm water isn't reaching as far east in the Pacific this time around.
Current
models don't suggest that this factor will increase as the climate
warms, but the new study
shows that it has in recent years.
«Northwest Atlantic Ocean may get
warmer, sooner: High resolution global climate
model shows much faster
warming and changing ocean circulation.»
Observations and the high - resolution climate
model CM2.6
show a strong relationship between a weakening Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and an increase in the proportion of
warm - temperate slope water entering the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf, primarily through the Gulf of Maine's Northeast Channel.
The
model shows how pools of lava could release gases and create a greenhouse effect that
warmed the planet.
Climate
modeling shows that the trends of
warming ocean temperatures, stronger winds and increasingly strong upwelling events are expected to continue in the coming years as carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere increase.
Dr Stephen Grimes of Plymouth University, who initiated the research project, highlighted the climate changes that must have caused this increase in sediment erosion and transport — «We have climate
model simulations of the effect of
warming on rainfall during the PETM event, and they
show some changes in the average amounts of rainfall, but the largest change is how this rainfall is packaged up — it's concentrated in more rapid, extreme events — larger and bigger storms.»
While Mora's
models, based on yearly average temperatures, don't forecast monthly highs, lows or precipitation changes, they do
show warming trends.
Using climate
models to understand the physical processes that were at play during the glacial periods, the team were able to
show that a gradual rise in CO2 strengthened the trade winds across Central America by inducing an El Nino - like
warming pattern with stronger
warming in the East Pacific than the Western Atlantic.
Spencer and Braswell had drawn on NASA satellite data to try to
show that the atmospheres in climate
models retain more heat than the real atmosphere does, causing the
models to predict too much
warming under a strengthening greenhouse.
Climate
model simulations
show that Pinatubo - like eruptions tend to shorten La Niñas, lengthen El Niños and lead to unusual
warming during neutral periods, the study says.
A new
modeling study to be published in the Journal of Climate
shows that stronger polar winds lead to an increase in Antarctic sea ice, even in a
warming climate.
The climate
models have been tuned / backcast to past temps that have been jiggled to
show more / faster
warming.....
Page 11 of the brief begins, «As
shown below, computer
models predicting future
warming must overestimate
warming, because they generally use an incorrect increase in carbon dioxide concentration of 1 % per year.»
We
show elsewhere (8) that a forcing of 1.08 W / m2 yields a
warming of 3/4 °C by 2050 in transient climate simulations with a
model having equilibrium sensitivity of 3/4 °C per W / m2.
A synthesis of six such experiments with different
models shows consistent hemispheric - wide atmospheric
warming, strongest in the mid-to-high-latitude lower troposphere; an intensification of the wintertime Aleutian Low and, in most cases, the Siberian High; a weakening of the Icelandic Low; and a reduction in strength and southward shift of the mid-latitude westerly winds in winter.
For the change in annual mean surface air temperature in the various cases, the
model experiments
show the familiar pattern documented in the SAR with a maximum
warming in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and a minimum in the Southern Ocean (due to ocean heat uptake)(2)
The CTD sections
show that the deeper layers are also
warmer and slightly saltier and the observed sea level can be explained by steric expansion over the upper 2000 m. ENSO variability impacts on the northern part of the section, and a simple Sverdrup transport
model shows how large - scale changes in the wind forcing, related to the Southern Annular Mode, may contribute to the deeper
warming to the south.
The climate
models had a more difficult time
showing early Mars as
warm and wet, however, even with the thicker atmosphere, clouds, and dust taken into account.
The question of whether accelerated carbon sinks on land can turn to accelerated carbon sources is something a lot of terrestrial carbon cycle modellers are interested in, but I couldn't give you an accurate read on the state of the art there, except that some
models do
show the land sink turning into a land source given sufficient
warming.
Forced by reanalysis data, the
model also
shows that the
warming of the arctic iceâ??
But of course, rather than
showing that the
models are overestimating the
warming, this would indicate that they might be underestimating, turning the brief on its head.
(2) Climate
models show a «cold blob» in the subpolar Atlantic as well as enhanced
warming off the US east coast as a characteristic response pattern to a slowdown of the AMOC.
These
models show very clearly that the
warming being measured around the world is almost certainly due to the burning of fossil fuels, and could not have happened naturally.
Climate
models show that the rate of
warming is consistent with expectations (5).
16)
models with prescribed anthropogenic forcing
show no similar circulation changes related to the North Atlantic Oscillation or associated tropospheric
warming.
Climate
model projections
show a
warmer Montana in the future, with mixed changes in precipitation, more extreme events, and mixed certainty on upcoming drought.
His
models and many that are derived from his legacy, typically
show uniform ocean
warming and completely miss the observed alternating temperatures of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).
The new data actually
shows more
warming than has been observed on the surface, though still slightly less than projected in most climate
models.
Earth's climate has been
shown by a wide range of climate
models to be bistable, which means that it can exist in both a frozen state or a
warm, ice - free state with the same amount of solar energy.
While observational data from satellites
show less
warming than predicted by most
models, Santer and his co-authors demonstrate that the observed
warming is consistent with
models including both human and natural forcings, but inconsistent with
models using only natural forcings and variability.
As we've said many times, evidence continues to
show weaknesses in climate
models used to predict future
warming.
However,
models do not get quite the same distribution of
warming seen in the observations; the observations tend to
show less tropospheric
warming and more stratospheric cooling in tropical regions (e.g. 20 South to 20 North).
Over the last five years, the BAMS report has examined more than 100 events as part of a burgeoning sub-field of climate science that uses observations and climate
models to
show how human - caused
warming has already affected the odds or severity of many of the weather extremes we experience now.
While both UAH and RSS records are
warmer than the natural forcings - only
models, they are notably cooler than the all - forcings runs as
shown in the Figure below.
This approach allowed them to compare the rate and distribution of
warming predicted by
models with those
shown in observations.
Cohen said computer
models have been «all over the spectrum,» but haven't
shown a significant connection between Arctic
warming and swings in the lower latitudes.
«The Earth goes through phases of
warming and cooling, and though all the computer
models we have
show that we are in a
warming phase, there is no way to differentiate between a natural
warming and one that is human - caused.»
In contrast, chemistry
modeling and paleoclimate records [222]
show that trace gases increase with global
warming, making it unlikely that overall atmospheric CH4 will decrease even if a decrease is achieved in anthropogenic CH4 sources.