Sentences with phrase «models simulations agree»

with respect to «It is seen from the figure with both natural and human forcing that climate models simulations agree with observations very well during the period 1970 - 2000.»

Not exact matches

I agree with one of the ideas that you've expressed in previous posts, namely, that we can't be certain that model parameters or model behavior correctly reflect the actual dynamics, so we have to take model simulation results with a grain of salt.

I agree that a priori we can't assume that the high end simulations will fall by the wayside once more validation is done, but that is my hunch (based on model valdiation that we perform at GISS and my own experience with paleo - climate modelling).

The data which are indicated as having low reliability actually agree rather too well with the model simulations, whereas the reconstruction can not closely match the data which are considered precise.»

Regarding text stating that limiting warming from anthropogenic CO2 emissions alone to likely less than 2 °C since 1861 - 1880 requires cumulative emissions to stay below 1000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Saudi Arabia urged using 1850 for consistency, to which the CLAs responded that some model simulations only begin in 1860, which delegates agreed to reflect in a footnote.

Well the take away message seems that given the large range of paleoclimate reconstructions, you can cherry pick them to agree ok with your model simulations.

Even in the warmest scenario, fewer than 5 % of model simulations of the long - term, 80 - year trend agree with observations by 2020 and fewer than 2.5 % agree by 2030.

The model simulations are therefore taken as possibilities for future realworld climate and as such of potential value to society, at least on variables and scales where themodels agree in terms of their climate distributions (Smith 2002).

'' that the «model simulations show a trend in global - mean surface temperature from 1951 to 2012 that agrees with the observed trend.»

This hardly seems to fit the IPCC description that «[m] odels reproduce observed continental - scale surface temperature patterns and trends over many decades» or is grounds for having «very high confidence» that the «model simulations show a trend in global - mean surface temperature from 1951 to 2012 that agrees with the observed trend.»

You may say that the IPCC GCMs adopt forcings and climate sensitivities characterized by huge error, and perhaps it may be possible to find a combination of parameters that would produce computer model simulations that might better agree with the temperature.

David, Wouldn't you agree that if the seasonal and geographic distributions of atmospheric temperature, water vapor, and clouds distributions of climate model simulations are a reasonably close reproduction of current climate conditions, that atmospheric dynamics is not a major obstacle or source of bias in the modeling of atmospheric effects.

In fact, despite a certain warming trend is reproduced in the model, which appears to agree with the observations, the model simulation clearly fail in reproducing the cyclical dynamics of the climate that presents an evident quasi 60 - year cycle with peaks around 1880, 1940 and 2000.