Sentences with phrase «models.yes human influence on the climate»

Although the magnitudes of future effects are uncertain, human influences on the climate are growing.
The potential consequences of climate change are great and the policies of the next few decades will determine human influences on the climate for centuries.»
These fluctuations superimpose the general global warming trend since the beginning of industrialization and thus complicate the accurate determination of human influence on the climate.
But the most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — the evidence of 600 climate researchers in 32 countries reporting changes to Earth's atmosphere, ice and seas — in 2013 stated «human influence on the climate system is clear.»
Researchers accounted for human influence on climate by estimating the present - day chances of Harvey's rainfall totals and then comparing them with 1950s greenhouse gas levels.
Human influence on the climate system is clear and growing, with impacts observed on all continents.
Over the past few years, several US states and local school boards have introduced measures that would mean teachers must include the views of those who are sceptical of a human influence on climate change in science lessons.
The panel reported that the world is warming throughout the lower atmosphere, as climate models had predicted, and acknowledged «clear evidence of human influences on the climate system.»
It is very much the mainstream view in the climate research community that you can not explain the warming of the past few decades without anthropogenic and human influences on climate.
«The human influence on the climate system has the effect of intensifying precipitation extremes,» Zwiers notes.
The study marks the first time that human influence on the climate has been demonstrated in the water cycle, and outside the bounds of typical physical responses such as warming deep ocean and sea surface temperatures or diminishing sea ice and snow cover extent.
In addition, noted climate scientist Peter Stott of the U.K. Met Office, these studies show that in many cases, human influence on climate has increased the risks associated with extreme events.
In 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, R - Texas, called Mann before Congress to testify about his now ubiquitous «hockey - stick» graph, showing temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere over the past millennia, with an abrupt spike upward at the end showing human influence on the climate.
«In the case of California's drought, the climate models do not indicate that such extremely low precipitation is an expected consequence of human influence on the climate system,» said
«Alarmist» suggests someone sticking his / her head in the sand and ignoring the data in order to justify a pre-conceived irrational notion (human influence on climate will lead us to certain disaster unless immediate action is taken).
For example, in a 1999 paper based on a speech to Exxon's European affiliates, Flannery derided the second IPCC assessment that concluded in 1995 that the scientific evidence suggested «a discernible human influence on climate
«If we were in a court of law, with human influence on the climate system in the dock, the verdict for Australia's 2013 heat wave would be guilty as charged.
However, like many other such researchers, he has become convinced by the compelling weight of evidence indicating human influence on climate that has unfolded over the past decade, remarking that «with each passing year the evidence has gotten stronger — and is getting stronger still.
The high temperatures and frequent heat waves were the combined result of natural variation and human influence on the climate.
«Denier» suggests someone sticking his / her head in the sand and ignoring the data in order to justify a pre-conceived irrational notion (there can be no human influence on our climate so no action is required).
You can't simply take one curve, look at it «by eye», and start to make claims about the validity of the idea that human influence on climate is significant
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climate.
There is increasing concern that extreme events may be changing in frequency and intensity as a result of human influences on climate.
Human influences on the climate (largely the accumulation of CO2 from fossil fuel combustion) are a physically small (1 %) effect on a complex, chaotic, multicomponent and multiscale system.
Professor Allen will explore the role of human influence on climate in recent extreme weather events.
Monday 27th February, 18.30 - 20.00 Room 1.07 Western Gateway Building Western Road, UCC, Cork Tickets free Eventbrite Professor Allen will explore the role of human influence on climate in recent extreme weather events.
Collects and analyzes climate data to develop conclusions regarding human influences on climate.
In a study published Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, researchers compared sea level and storm surge heights from 850 to 1800, before significant human influences on the climate, to the period from 1970 to 2005.
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climate.
In a November report, the panel observed that «human influence on the climate system is clear and growing, with impacts observed on all continents.»
While there is nothing physically significant about 400ppm in itself — it does not reflect any actual threshold in the climate system — it reminds us of the increasing extent of human influence on the climate.
In the TAR, quantitative evidence for human influence on climate was based almost exclusively on atmospheric and surface temperature.
It concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear and growing, with impacts observed on all continents.
Sometime this century the day will arrive when the human influence on the climate will overwhelm all other natural factors.
In the case of climate change, a clear consensus exists among mainstream researchers that human influences on climate are already detectable, and that potentially far more substantial changes are likely to take place in the future if we continue to burn fossil fuels at current rates.
Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects in particular places (what global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).
A group of Australian scientists has begun a new online effort to communicate the body of science pointing to a rising human influence on the climate system.
And earlier again, Mass blogged on July 15th about Rupp et al 2012, «Did human influence on the climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable?»
The National Academies, fulfilling a congressional request, have issued a trio of invaluable reports affirming the scientific case for a growing and largely harmful human influence on climate; proposing a path and strategies for curbing American emissions of heat - trapping gases; and urging the country to work to cut risks attending life with no new «normal» climate patterns or coastlines.
It is extremely likely that more than half of the global mean temperature increase since 1951 was caused by human influence on climate (high confidence).
While the report included strong statements pointing to a growing human influence on climate, Mr. Bush's critics asserted that the emphasis on unknowns gave the administration cover to avoid quickly pushing forward with actions to limit greenhouse - gas emissions.
Dr. Depledge described signs of a shift in the oil kingdom's stance, including its endorsement of science pointing to big impacts from a building human influence on climate and commitment of money to pursue technologies for capturing carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels and other new energy options.
Another set of statistical questions relate to a counterfactual — what are the odds of such a record or series of hot years in the absence of human influences on climate?
But Obama faces a reality that many of these groups seem slow to recognize: While the 20th - century toolkit preferred by traditional environmentalists — litigation, regulation and legislation — remains vital to limiting domestic pollution risks such as the oil gusher, it is a bad fit for addressing the building human influence on the climate system, which is driven now mainly by a surge in emissions mostly outside United States borders in countries aiming to propel their climb out of poverty on the same fossil fuels that generated much of our affluence.
«Living with the greenhouse effect» was the subtitle of my October, 1988, cover story for Discover Magazine — my first lengthy exploration of the science pointing to a growing human influence on climate.
Did the disclosed information in some substantial way undercut the broad body of evidence pointing to a rising human influence on the climate system?
It is utterly amazing to me that some people deny human influences on climate while others profess that political events influence plate tectonics, i.e. earthquakes.
Global Warming vs Climate Change,» an interesting new study of Americans» perceptions of the two dominant shorthand phrases used to describe the building human influence on the climate system.
In the last several years, the scientific case that the rising human influence on climate could become disruptive has become particularly robust.
I've been criticized by some environmentalists in recent years for writing that the long - term picture (more CO2 = warmer world = less ice = higher seas and lots of climatic and ecological changes) is the only aspect of human - caused global warming that is solidly established, and that efforts to link dramatic weather - related events to the human influence on climate could backfire should nature wiggle the other way for awhile.
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