Sentences with phrase «moderate greenhouse gas emissions scenario»

The researchers» simulations suggest that because of sea level rise, Sandy - type surges have already become three times more likely between 1800 and 2000, and will become 4.4 times more likely by 2100, even under a moderate greenhouse gas emissions scenario.

Not exact matches

Even under a more moderate scenario where greenhouse gas emissions peak in 2040, 100 - year extreme sea levels could increase by 57 centimeters, or nearly 2 feet, on average, by the end of the century, with these events occurring every few years, according to study's authors.
It adopted a moderate anthro - emissions scenario from AR4 as the AGW input, but set arbitrary constraints on its findings by excluding the greenhouse gas outputs» warming from the assessment of the permafrost's rate of melting, and by assuming that only CO2 was emitted - which allowed the projected future output to be stated in simple carbon tonnage.
Models predict that the same summertime temperatures that ranked among the top 5 % in 1950 — 1979 will occur at least 70 % of the time by 2035 — 2064 in the U.S. if global emissions of greenhouse gases grow at a moderate rate (as modeled under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario).
Under a moderate emissions scenario (RCP4.5), where greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere stabilise around the 2050s, ocean temperatures in the study area would be around 1.4 C warmer than a baseline period of the 2000s.
To the extent possible, the scenarios were mutually consistent, such that scenarios of population (United Nations medium range estimate) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP)(moderate growth) were broadly in line with the transient scenario of greenhouse gas emissions (based on the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) scenario A, see Hansen et al., 1988), and hence CO2 concentrations.
A moderate - emission scenario from the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report predicts that the continued addition of greenhouse gases from fossil...
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