(such version is able to claim being scientific, even while contradicting rather
moderate warming estimates based on IPCC consensus)
Not exact matches
However even the
moderate scenarios which have eventual stabilisation give more
warming than 0.8 C. Even in the extremely unlikely event that there is no further growth in emissions, the current planetary energy imbalance (
estimated to be almost 1W / m2)(due to the ocean thermal inertia) implies that there is around 0.5 C extra
warming already in the pipeline that will be realised over the next 20 to 30 years.
They used a number of climate models and made a «
moderate estimate» of future emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that are widely believed to be contributing to the recent
warming trend of the Earth's climate.
We
estimate that anthropogenic influence has caused a more than 60-fold increase in the likelihood of the extreme
warm 2013 summer since the early 1950s, and project that similarly hot summers will become even more frequent in the future, with fully 50 % of summers being hotter than the 2013 summer in two decades even under the
moderate RCP4.5 emissions scenario.
Furthermore it's not necessary to have reliable
estimates of the climate sensitivity, it's enough to have
moderate evidence to support the expectation of significant
warming.