Sentences with phrase «modern climate modeling»
What is more, modern climate modeling has been traditionally implemented by people with a technological background and little knowledge of ecosystem functioning.
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Indeed ACP does not have strong roots in paleo - climate, while the sister journal «Climate of the Past» does not address modern climate modeling.
Troublingly, said Evans, when the team compared their data with various modern climate models under Eocene conditions, most models underestimated polar amplification by about 50 percent.
Importantly, when modern climate models — the same as those used in the United Nations» recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these findings.
As noted above, modern climate models are used to retrospectively simulate the 20th century as well.
I can read any peer - reviewed article I like on modern climate models, but until I go through much of the process of building, running, validation, discussing with colleagues how they solved particular wrinkles etc of some models, I am unlikely to fully comprehend climate modelling as a skilled craft.
To put it another way, modern climate models are simulations of physics — thermodynamics, fluid dynamics, some chemistry, and in some cases a little simulated biology.
Does this mean that the hypothesis of nuclear winter does not survive testing by modern climate models?
They took the amount of soot (based on geologic record) and put that into a modern climate model.
I can read any peer - reviewed article I like on modern climate models, but until I go through much of the process of building, running, validation, discussing with colleagues how they solved particular wrinkles etc of some models, I am unlikely to fully comprehend climate modelling as a skilled craft.
Robock, Alan, Luke Oman, and Georgiy L. Stenchikov, 2007: Nuclear winter revisited with a modern climate model and current nuclear arsenals: Still catastrophic consequences.
A modern climate model is a remarkable tool, and definitely the best method scientists have for investigating climate change.
Modern climate models simulate the conditions of the earth fairly well, albeit not perfectly.
Despite long searches for «fatal flaws» in modern climate models, a handful of contrarians still have no supporting evidence.
As sophisticated as modern climate models are, one critical component continues to elude their precision — clouds.
It's an observation, and the observed range of natural variation in response to (say) solar cycles are incorporated into modern climate models.
I spoke to Syukuro Manabe, one of the founders of modern climate models and a researcher at the GFDL about this in Atlanta last month.»
Experiments with modern climate models suggest that such an event would be unlikely.
Not exact matches
It would be like trying to model 1000 years of global climate change on a TRS - 80 computer when it takes a modern 16,000 processor supercomputer a week to process the data.
I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.
Professor Dan Lunt, from the School of Geographical Sciences and Cabot Institute at the University of Bristol said: «Because climate models are based on fundamental scientific processes, they are able not only to simulate the climate of the modern Earth, but can also be easily adapted to simulate any planet, real or imagined, so long as the underlying continental positions and heights, and ocean depths are known.»
«Computer models find ancient solutions to modern climate problems.»
The researchers analyzed extensive modern and geological datasets, conducted theoretical calculations and examined climate model output.
«As Earth continues to warm, it may be approaching a critical climate threshold beyond which rapid and potentially permanent — at least on a human time - scale — changes not anticipated by climate models tuned to modern conditions may occur,» the report says.
Future forecasts of climate models forced with greenhouse gas levels as high as modern ones tend to result in Pliocene - like climate (~ 3 million years ago) when sea levels were estimated to be 14 meters higher than they are today.
He explains how he once thought that climate change theory was based solely on computer models, where in fact it's based on scientific measurements of both modern and ancient climates.
It's a long paper with a long title: «Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 oC global warming could be dangerous».
«Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2o C global warming could be dangerous»
The full title is: «Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 o C global warming could be dangerous ``.
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On July 23, I wrote about the rocky rollout, prior to peer review, of «Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous.»
A Science paper by Huber and Caballero (2003) on Eocene El Nino reports on similar ENSO in the Eocene warm climate as the model has in the modern climate.
Future forecasts of climate models forced with greenhouse gas levels as high as modern ones tend to result in Pliocene - like climate (~ 3 million years ago) when sea levels were estimated to be 14 meters higher than they are today.
This link can be established by computer climate models or modern observations.
in the meantime, in the absence of reliable climate models or any certainty of «how much climate may change,» how many trillions should we spend and how far backward must modern industrial civilization be propelled by imposing draconian co2 emissions cuts?
The papers questioned everything from the relative role of natural mechanisms in changes to the climate system vis - à - vis increased CO2 concentrations, the allegedly «unprecedented» nature of modern climate phenomena such as warming, sea levels, glacier and sea ice retreat, and the efficacy and reliability of computer climate models for projecting future climate states.
No, it is not based on the models - the sensitivity numbers come from multiple, independent analyses - paleoclimate, modern climate, and models.
Chris V wrote: «No, it is not based on the models - the sensitivity numbers come from multiple, independent analyses - paleoclimate, modern climate, and models.
(Modelers) It's obvious that leaders hang on every word we utter we Call anyone who disagrees a mal - contented nutter we Forecast things for foolish kings and not precocious toddlers We are the very model for all Modern Climate Modellers.
(Background chorus) They forecast things for foolish kings and not precocious toddlers They are the very model for all Modern Climate Modellers.
(M1 & M2): We are the very model for all modern Climate Modellers We forecast things for foolish kings and not precocious toddlers By using tricks that would excite a high priest of the Aztecs For example those subjective «priors» in Baysian stitastecs??
Fourth, the null hypothesis (that observed modern climate variation is due to natural causes) is NOT tested by those computer models.
Consequently, Callendar's error or bias has been a basis for accumulating other errors and biases in modern - day climate models.
Climate Models smooth the data for the past ten thousand years and then put modern warming on the end of the stick.
As we have seen, there are bad climate scientists who rig the computer models representing a huge rise in the Earth's overall average temperature and there are good climate scientists who have waged a long and increasingly successful effort to debunk the greatest hoax of the modern era.
Farmers, unions, social organizations, indigenous peoples, women and youth (at the national, regional and global level) have come together to demand climate justice and fight against the consumerist and extractivist model that, along with the capitalism and neoliberalism systems of the modern world, is harming Mother Earth.
«Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 C global warming could be dangerous» J Hansen, M Sato, P Hearty, R Ruedy, M Kelley, V Masson - Delmotte,... Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16 (6), 3761 - 3812, 2016