While there is general agreement about
the modern global warming trend (since 1850), scientific controversies increase as climate research moves further back in time, and predictions move further into the future.
Consequently, any correlation between sun and climate ended in the 1970's when
the modern global warming trend began.
Note that for each data set, the full - sample (about 30 years) trend is within the confidence interval of the 10 - year trend — so there's no evidence, from any of the data sets, that the trend over the last decade is different from
the modern global warming trend.
As the adjacent chart from the NTZ article documents, NOAA's definitive manipulations of a U.S. states climate records to enhance
the modern global warming trend is indisputable.
``... there's no evidence... that the trend over the last decade is different from
the modern global warming trend.»
This means that when
modern global warming trend began in the 1970's, the correlation between sun and climate broke down.
Note in particular the close correlation after 1980 during
the modern global warming trend.
Not exact matches
Pete # 13, I think the idea is not so much that AMO contributes to the
global warming trend, but rather that it overlays the
modern temperature record in such a way that a «naive» analysis ignoring it will find a slightly greater
trend than is really there.
If the
warming trend of the early 20th century had continued (it didn't) until the end of the 21st century (2099),
global temperatures would have increased by +1.92 °C; yet despite the huge
modern era CO2 spike, if the
warming trend represented by the last 3 decades continued (it won't), the increase by 2099 would only be +1.72 °C.
• If
modern warming were to revert to the earlier
warming trend (after the «hiatus»), by year 2100AD
global temperatures would increase by +0.65 °C.
The UN's IPCC claim that large
modern consumer / industrial CO2 emissions are causing maximum temperatures to increase across the globe proves to be without any empirical and scientific merit... NOAA's NCDC division documents U.S. maximum temperatures are exhibiting a declining
trend, not catastrophic «
global warming»...
Furthermore, see the following for an alternative account, where recent
modern temperatures were
warmer than the vast majority of the Holocene, reversing a long - term cooling
trend: «A Reconstruction of Regional and
Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years»
«
Modern science», meaning Man made
global warming is attacked because it calls a
global cooling
trend an accelerated
warming (IPCC AR4).
Responding to and in the manner of KK Tung's UPDATE (and, you can quote me): globally speaking the slowing of the rapidity of the
warming, were it absent an enhanced hiatus compared to prior hiatuses, must at the least be interpreted as nothing more than a slowdown of the positive
trend of uninterrupted
global warming coming out of the Little Ice Age that has been «juiced» by AGW as evidenced by rapid
warming during the last three decades of the 20th Century, irrespective of the fact that, «the
modern Grand maximum (which occurred during solar cycles 19 — 23, i.e., 1950 - 2009),» according to Ilya Usoskin, «was a rare or even unique event, in both magnitude and duration, in the past three millennia [that's, 3,000 years].»
The UK's HadCRUT4
global empirical evidence makes it very clear:
modern acceleration of
warming temperatures is not unprecedented, nor unusual due to CO2 emissions; nor does the
modern period exhibit any
warming trend that comes close to even 1.5 °C per century.
Wu et al. (7, 8) pointed out the importance of this mode in the
modern global temperature record with a period of 65 y: If it is interpreted as natural and related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)(9 ⇓ ⇓ — 12), then the
trend attributed to anthropogenic
warming should be significantly reduced after ∼ 1980, when the AMO was in a rising phase.