How central banks assess risks to price and financial stability will determine the pace at which they will
withdraw monetary accommodation, one of the key risks to the global growth cycle.
In contrast, most other countries can look forward to at least another year, maybe longer,
of monetary accommodation, good news for international stocks.
To be more specific, as inflation approaches the Federal Reserve's 2 percent target and unemployment remains below what we see as a sustainable rate, it is appropriate for the Fed to continue to remove
monetary accommodation by gradually raising interest rates.
«Data in the euro area, and even Japan, matter as much as economic strength in the US economy if the Fed is to be successful in
removing monetary accommodation for next year or two.»
While Wednesday's rate hike from the Fed was priced in, Odeluga says: «The lack of clear signals about plans to narrow
monetary accommodation further — none in the statement and none discernible in chair Janet Yellen's press conference — meant that some of the dollar strength actually had to be unwound.
The Federal Reserve Board is expected to provide
monetary accommodation for financial markets by lowering short - term interest rates.
Esther L. George, who was concerned that the continued high level of
monetary accommodation increased the risks of future economic and financial imbalances and, over time, could cause an increase in long - term inflation expectations.
Third, with other central banks — most importantly, the European Central Bank — signaling an end to
extreme monetary accommodation and gradual policy normalization, interest rate differentials continue to collapse.
The environment of
continuing monetary accommodation — necessary to support activity and boost inflation — may lead to a continued search for yield where there is too much money chasing too few yielding assets, pushing investors beyond their traditional habitats.
As markets shift away from the recovery era of
monetary accommodation amid synchronized global growth, some investors may be wondering where potential opportunities can be found.
It is failing to recognize its transmission from the rest of the world and it is overestimating the degree of
monetary accommodation now present and likely to be present in the future by overestimating the neutral rate.
In the meantime, the Fed will continue to jawbone the market, a favorite tactic to influence investor behavior since it embarked on years of
massive monetary accommodation to resuscitate the economy after the Financial Crisis.
But few investors have considered another potential and possibly more painful scenario: that the Fed, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan all
reduce monetary accommodation at the same time.
The truth is that global central banks can not remove extraordinary
monetary accommodation without risking a complete collapse of the system, but the longer they wait the more they risk their own credibility, and the worse that inevitable collapse will be.
Elsewhere on the policy front,
monetary accommodation remained extreme and the recently tabled proposal for a capital markets union raised hopes of a more dynamic, liquid and integrated industry.
A more likely catalyst would simply involve tighter financial conditions, potentially a result of the simultaneous withdrawal of
monetary accommodation by the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB).
«Many members judged that
additional monetary accommodation would likely be warranted fairly soon unless incoming information pointed to a substantial and sustainable strengthening in the pace of the economic recovery.»
It's no secret: Despite a favorable economic environment, investors are worried about valuations and complacency as central banks move forward with the removal of
unprecedented monetary accommodation.
Voting against the action was Esther L. George, who was concerned that the continued high level of
monetary accommodation increased the risks of future economic and financial imbalances and, over time, could cause an increase in long - term inflation expectations.
In the absence of a significant expansion
of monetary accommodation by the European Central Bank (ECB) or Bank of Japan (BOJ), market multiples are unlikely to expand.
NEW YORK, May 2 - The U.S. dollar fell from 2018 highs set earlier on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve indicated it may allow inflation to run above its 2 percent target, raising concerns that
monetary accommodation will stay loose even as they hike rates.
The FOMC can best facilitate its pursuit of both mandates by forgoing any near - term reduction in the level of
monetary accommodation.
President Mario Draghi call it his plan to «sustain the extraordinary degree of
monetary accommodation.»
As I said, the greenback's been on the decline for most of the year so far, but it slumped to a 13 - month low against the euro last week following European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi's remark that «
monetary accommodation» would continue in the European Union (EU) until at least the end of the year.
However, as the BoC has increasingly pushed the boundary of
monetary accommodation, correlations have fallen.
Combined with the recent strong eurozone earnings season, this news could help European equities regain some of their recent losses, as the ECB's
monetary accommodation has generally been good news for stocks.
There's been much speculation about when the Federal Reserve will back off
its monetary accommodation and raise interest rates.
Those hopes had been given a lift last week after the most recent FOMC minutes were released suggesting that the Fed might be moving in the direction of further
monetary accommodation.
An improving growth backdrop should eventually lead to a sustainable move higher in eurozone inflation, justifying a removal of
monetary accommodation.
In contrast, most other countries can look forward to at least another year, maybe longer, of
monetary accommodation, good news for international stocks.
However, as the BoC has increasingly pushed the boundary of
monetary accommodation, correlations have fallen.
In light of the improving economy, Mr. Hoenig was concerned that a continued high level of
monetary accommodation would increase the risks of future economic and financial imbalances and, over time, would cause an increase in long - term inflation expectations that could destabilize the economy.
«Looking ahead, there was a benefit to clear and forward - looking communication by the Governing Council, while some flexibility was required in order to appropriately prepare and calibrate the necessary degree of
monetary accommodation.
Elsewhere, there was no change in
the monetary accommodation by the European Central Bank or the Bank of Japan.