Sentences with phrase «monotonic climate»

In their analysis of temperature anomalies across the tropical North Atlantic in 2005, Trenberth and Shea [26] indicated that half of the warming (0.45 °C of the 0.9 °C anomaly vs. a 1901 — 1970 baseline) was attributable to monotonic climate change, while only 0.2 °C was attributable to the weak 2004 — 05 El Niño, and even less to the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (< 0.1 °C).

Not exact matches

To show, in a peer - reviewed scientifically defensible way that there is no reason to expect the climate to warm in a monotonic type fashion, that there is natural variability along with anthropogenic forced warming and we shouldn't expect each year to be warmer than the next or even a run of 10 years always to show warming.

This means that the heat content was «reset» to this earlier value, whereas the multi-decadal global climate model projects a more - or-less monotonic increase in ocean heat content.

During the entire period of monotonic CO2 increase the TOE has remained well within bounds of its historical range, most of which occurred during periods when anthropogenic CO2 could have had NO influence on the variations in climate.

Their article basically recycles Michael Mann and their own previous, as well as ignoring the Karlen data and those dendrochronologists who are uncertain that tree ring widths are monotonic with respect to climate.

With respect to tree ring analysis, which is the basis for the vast majority of terrestrial reconstructions, the two most primary issues are (1) whether linear relationships between driver (climate) and response (ring characteristic) can in fact be assumed monotonic (usually, linearly so).

Nobody with even a basic understanding of the science would argue for a simple monotonic linear increase in temperatures in the presence of multiple forcings and internal climate variation.

AGW as a theory does not predict monotonic increases, in fact climate models often have long periods (even decades) where cooling occurs.

If the climate is steadily accumulating heat, does this mean the ocean heat content will also show a monotonic steady trend?

Current CGMs are not a tool to predict the future state of climate (both regional and global); they are an over-complicated tool to predict a monotonic rise in global temperature, nothing more.

Thus the signature of an oscillation dominated by strong positive feedback is clear, a monotonic oscillation, and this is not seen in the climate record.

The long time scales involved suggest a boom and bust cycle of interest in addressing climate change, rather than a smooth monotonic increase in action.

For another, climate models have been tuned to a monotonic rise that is expected / predicted by precisely that empirical model to be almost precisely what was observed, making it hard to claim that it is either «unprecedented» or «unexpected».

Of course, if the climate does recover, the monotonic changes will cease, but this is beyond the timeframe of most decisions at present.

Removal of that hidden variability from the actual observed global mean surface temperature record delineates the externally forced climate signal, which is monotonic, accelerating warming during the 20th century.

This will still be a challenge for the global climate modelers to explain, since the IPCC perspective of global warming requires a more - or-less monotonic increase in Joules within the climate system, in the absence of a major volcanic eruption (i.e. see A Litmus Test For Global Warming - A Much Overdue Requirement).