The agreement among future projections has improved from CMIP3 to CMIP5, with a general tendency for slightly wetter conditions over the central part of the Sahel, drier conditions over the western part, and a delay in
the monsoon onset.
Our results reveal a marked increase in the probability of a 30 - day delay in
monsoon onset in 2050, as a result of changes in the mean climate, from 9 - 18 % today (depending on the region) to 30 - 40 % at the upper tail of the distribution.
We select a 30 - day delay in
monsoon onset as a threshold beyond which significant impact on the country's rice economy is likely to occur.
The major innovation, the authors say, is to combine the network analysis with the subtle statistical analyses of the early warning signals for
the monsoon onset and withdrawal.
Not exact matches
A new study by an international team of scientists reveals the exact timing of the
onset of the modern
monsoon pattern in the Maldives 12.9 million years ago, and its connection to past climate changes and coral reefs in the region.
However, with the
onset of the
monsoon the new ocean circulations patterns began to emerge that were not favorable to the islands» coral reefs.
The team found evidence for a period of global cooling that preceded the
onset of the
monsoon.
These reefs hold the key to the sea - level changes that took place before the
onset of the
monsoon.
The researchers limited their analysis from the day of the earthquake to June 10, 2015, the
onset of the
monsoon.
Researchers from Florida State University have created a tool for objectively defining the
onset and demise of the Indian Summer
Monsoon — a colossal weather system that affects billions of people annually.
«They then got swept up into the tropopause at the
onset of Asian
monsoons.»
04/20/2016 - The Indian
monsoon's yearly
onset and withdrawal can now be forecasted significantly earlier than previously possible.
Article: Stolbova, V., E. Surovyatkina, B. Bookhagen, and J. Kurths (2016): Tipping elements of the Indian
monsoon: Prediction of
onset and withdrawal.
The
onset of
monsoon is a date of the arrival of
monsoon over a particular region of the Indian subcontinent and represents the beginning of rainy season over the region.
In 2015, the
monsoon made its annual
onset over Kerala on June 5th, just a few days later than normal.
Temperatures often rise sharply in May before the
onset of torrential
monsoon rains but scientists say average temperatures are only likely to rise in the years ahead as a result of global warming, with damaging effects on health and productivity.
With the current La Niña strongly in place at the
onset of the Australian
monsoon and reaching predicted optimum strength at the height of the rainy season the risk of experiencing a repeat of the Queensland floods of 2010 - 2011 is... Continue reading →
It could be a simple event such as extreme precipitation or a tropical cyclone or a more complex sequence of a late
onset of the
monsoon coupled with prolonged dry spells within the rainy season.
In the Sahel the
onset of desertification involved an interplay between the position of the West African
Monsoon
My first paper [published in 1977] relate to the dates of
onset over Kerala Coast, an important event in
monsoon rains.
In other news, http://www.thehindubusinessline.com has announced «Northwest India may have to wait beyond July 6 to see the
onset of
monsoon rains, according to latest updates by international models.
A map illustrating the dates of the normal
onset of the
monsoon in India (red - dashed lines) and where the actual advance lines have been so far this season (green solid lines).
With the
onset of
monsoons, there is an outbreak of various diseases which means a surge in the hospitalization expenses.