I compute the trends as simple linear least squares fits through
the monthly global average temperature anomalies for each dataset (from Figure 1).
Just like the stock market,
monthly global average temperature numbers go up and down with a certain random variance.
Not exact matches
Daily records from Manhattan's Central Park show that
average monthly temperatures already increased by 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit from 1901 to 2000 — substantially more than the
global and U.S. trends.
Figure 2: The data (green) are the
average of the NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4
monthly global surface
temperature anomaly datasets from January 1970 through November 2012, with linear trends for the short time periods Jan 1970 to Oct 1977, Apr 1977 to Dec 1986, Sep 1987 to Nov 1996, Jun 1997 to Dec 2002, and Nov 2002 to Nov 2012 (blue), and also showing the far more reliable linear trend for the full time period (red).
This is the first time in the NOAA record that a
monthly temperature departure from
average exceeded 1 °C or reached 2 °F and the second widest margin by which an all - time
monthly global temperature record has been broken.
The June globally
averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.39 °F above the 20th century
monthly average of 61.5 °F — the highest
global ocean
temperature for June in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015 by 0.05 °F.
July 2016 had the lowest
monthly global temperature departure from
average since August 2015 and tied with August 2015 as the 15th highest
monthly temperature departure among all months (1,639) on record.
The May globally
averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.37 °F above the 20th century
monthly average of 61.3 °F — the highest
global ocean
temperature for May in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015 by 0.09 °F.
This was also the highest
monthly global land
temperature departure from
average since April 2016.
The April globally
averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.44 °F above the 20th century
monthly average of 60.9 °F — the highest
global ocean
temperature for April in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015 by 0.25 °F and besting 1998, the last time a similar strength El Niño occurred, by 0.43 °F.
The July globally
averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.42 °F above the 20th century
monthly average of 61.5 °F — the highest
global ocean
temperature for July in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015 by 0.07 °F.
The graphic displays
monthly global temperature data from the U.K. Met Office and charts how each month compares to the
average for the same period from 1850 - 1900, the same baselines used in the most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
The September globally
averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.33 °F above the 20th century
monthly average of 61.1 °F, tying with 2014 as the second highest
global ocean
temperature for September in the 1880 — 2016 record, behind 2015 by 0.16 °F.
Using
monthly -
averaged global satellite records from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP [5]-RRB- and the MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) in conjunction with Sea Surface
Temperature (SST) data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric (NOAA) extended and reconstructed SST (ERSST) dataset [7] we have examined the reliability of long - term cloud measurements.
My amateur spreadsheet tracking and projecting the
monthly NASA GISS values suggests that while 2018 and 2019 are likely to be cooler than 2017, they may also be the last years on Earth with
global average land and ocean surface
temperature anomaly below 1C above pre-industrial
average (using 1850 - 1900 proxy).
I have a question about the availability of
global monthly average temperatures (not anomalies).
This means,
monthly global temperatures have not fallen below
average for...
This February's sea surface
temperatures were 1.46 degrees above
average, which means the past nine months have been the nine highest
monthly global ocean
temperature departures on record.
Monthly and 12 - month
average global temperature development, showing (with only December data still missing) 2017 will likely rank as the third hottest year on record, despite a developing La Niña.
This southern polar zone experienced
average monthly temperatures as much as 8.7 above the
global average across a relatively broad zone.
«The latest (February 2012)
monthly global temperature anomaly for the lower atmosphere was minus 0.12 degrees Celsius, slightly less than the
average since the satellite record of
temperatures began in 1979.»
In reconstructing the changes in
global mean
temperature since 1850, Berkeley Earth has examined 16 million
monthly average temperature observations from 43,000 weather stations.
The NASA GISTEMP
global average surface
temperature data have been updated to include January 2016, which had the largest
monthly temperature anomaly ever recorded: 1.13 °C elsius above the 1951 - 1980 baseline.
I know that the data that is presented on
global temperatures daily,
monthly and yearly, is not raw data; it has had a considerable amount of processing before it is presented as an
average global temperature.
When scientists in the 1960s - 70s compiled data to build their
global average temperature series they used state
averages of
monthly mean
temperatures from weather stations around the world.
Figure 2: The data (green) are the
average of the NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4
monthly global surface
temperature anomaly datasets from January 1970 through November 2012, with linear trends for the short time periods Jan 1970 to Oct 1977, Apr 1977 to Dec 1986, Sep 1987 to Nov 1996, Jun 1997 to Dec 2002, and Nov 2002 to Nov 2012 (blue), and also showing the far more reliable linear trend for the full time period (red).
Monthly averages of
global mean surface
temperature (GMST) include natural variability, and they are influenced by the differing heat capacities of the oceans and land masses.
Running twelve - month
averages of
global - mean and European - mean surface air
temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on
monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Running twelve - month
averages of
global - mean and European - mean surface air
temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on
monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Running twelve - month
averages of
global - mean and European - mean surface air
temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on
monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
Note: Excel used to calculate the 3 - year absolute
temperature and CO2 level
averages; also used to calculate the moving 36 - month and 360 - month per century acceleration / deceleration trends (Excel slope function) as depicted on chart; the absolute temps calculated using the HadCRUT4 month anomalies and NOAA's
monthly global mean
temperature estimates; and, the 3 - year
average beginning value for CO2 was offset to a zero starting place.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php?g=47 The data (green) are the
average of the NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4
monthly global surface
temperature anomaly datasets from January 1970 through November 2012, with linear trends for the short time periods Jan 1970 to Oct 1977, Apr 1977 to Dec 1986, Sep 1987 to Nov 1996, Jun 1997 to Dec 2002, and Nov 2002 to Nov 2012 (blue), and also showing the far more reliable linear trend for the full time period (red
The National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), which is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), has maintained
global average monthly and annual records of combined land and ocean surface
temperatures for more than 130 years.
Figure 5 - A HadCRU T3 series of the
monthly Global Mean Surface
Temperature anomaly w.r.t. 1961 - 1990
average anomaly and its best approximation by three sinusoids of periods 1000 years, 210 years and 60 years.
[CAPTION: Fig. 1 Violinplots of
monthly surface
temperature results for 9 GISS ER historical model runs (1880 - 2003), their
average (orange), and the HadCRUT3
global surface
temperature dataset (red).
Fig. 1 Violinplots of
monthly surface
temperature results for 9 GISS ER historical model runs (1880 - 2003), their
average (orange), and the HadCRUT3
global surface
temperature dataset (red).
Global mean cloud properties averaged over the period 1986 - 1993 are: cloud amount = 0.675 ± 0.012, cloud top temperature = 261.5 ± 2.8 K, and cloud optical thickness = 3.7 ± 0.3, where the plus - minus values are the rms deviations of global monthly mean values from their long - term av
Global mean cloud properties
averaged over the period 1986 - 1993 are: cloud amount = 0.675 ± 0.012, cloud top
temperature = 261.5 ± 2.8 K, and cloud optical thickness = 3.7 ± 0.3, where the plus - minus values are the rms deviations of
global monthly mean values from their long - term av
global monthly mean values from their long - term
average.
Provisional estimates of
average global temperatures based on
monthly climatological land - station and sea - surface
temperature records have suggested it could be the warmest year on record.
Image to right — Looking at
Average Monthly Global Temperatures: This is a global map of unusual (anomaly) monthly - mean surface temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 1980 ba
Monthly Global Temperatures: This is a global map of unusual (anomaly) monthly - mean surface temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 1980 bas
Global Temperatures: This is a global map of unusual (anomaly) monthly - mean surface temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 19
Temperatures: This is a
global map of unusual (anomaly) monthly - mean surface temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 1980 bas
global map of unusual (anomaly)
monthly - mean surface temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 1980 ba
monthly - mean surface
temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 19
temperatures for the year 2004 relative to the 1951 - 1980 baseline.
And finally, as I understand it, Pierre and Rob have agreed that the bet is based on the 10 year
average temperature, of the
average UAH and RSS
global monthly temperature anomaly, of the two decades 2001 to 2010 and 2011 to 2020.
Average of NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4
monthly global surface
temperature anomalies from January 1970 through November 2012 (green) with linear trends applied to the timeframes Jan»70 - Oct» 77, Apr»77 - Dec» 86, Sep»87 - Nov» 96, Jun»97 - Dec» 02, and Nov»02 - Nov» 12.
RSS and UAH
monthly near -
global satellite lower - troposphere
temperature anomaly values for each month from January 2001 to April 2016 were assumed to be broadly accurate and were
averaged.
(See NCDC
Global Surface Temperature Anomalies) The same file states «The global monthly surface temperature averages in the table below can be added to a given month's anomaly (departure from the 1880 to 2004 base period average) to obtain an absolute estimate of surface temperature for that month.&
Global Surface
Temperature Anomalies) The same file states «The global monthly surface temperature averages in the table below can be added to a given month's anomaly (departure from the 1880 to 2004 base period average) to obtain an absolute estimate of surface temperature for that mo
Temperature Anomalies) The same file states «The
global monthly surface temperature averages in the table below can be added to a given month's anomaly (departure from the 1880 to 2004 base period average) to obtain an absolute estimate of surface temperature for that month.&
global monthly surface
temperature averages in the table below can be added to a given month's anomaly (departure from the 1880 to 2004 base period average) to obtain an absolute estimate of surface temperature for that mo
temperature averages in the table below can be added to a given month's anomaly (departure from the 1880 to 2004 base period
average) to obtain an absolute estimate of surface
temperature for that mo
temperature for that month.»
The earlier data that do exist may be used to construct a very uncertain estimate of Australian
temperatures, and may also be used for the construction of
global and hemispheric
temperature averages on
monthly and annual time scales.
Then there is the salient point that the September 2017
average monthly global temperature is similar to some observed during the 1997 - 99 period, as noted in this article.
However, in the same manner that Chris Essex and Ross wrote that
global average temperature is physically meaningless, so is a
monthly average temperature, T. It's a statistic, not a physical quantity.
Global average temperature The mean surface
temperature of the Earth measured from three main sources: satellites,
monthly readings from a network of over 3,000 surface
temperature observation stations and sea surface
temperature measurements taken mainly from the fleet of merchant ships, naval ships and data buoys.
Average of NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4
monthly global surface
temperature anomalies from January 1970 through November 2012 (green) with linear trends applied to the timeframes Jan ’70 — Oct» 77, Apr ’77 — Dec» 86, Sep ’87 — Nov» 96, Jun ’97 — Dec» 02, and Nov ’02 — Nov» 12.