The prices are trading nearly at spot, which is trivial for an asset with a minimum of 20 %
of monthly volatility.
The prices are trading nearly at spot, which is trivial for an asset with a minimum of 20 %
of monthly volatility.
Yet, while duration is higher by one year, the
maximum monthly volatility is about the same; neither exceeds 2.5 % for the period measured, a period that includes some of the most volatile bond market conditions since the 1970s.
The job market is clearly on the path to full employment and solid monthly gains are particularly evident once we average out
the monthly volatility in the data... Read more
Looking through
the monthly volatility, this series has shown no trend over the past few years.
Looking through
the monthly volatility, employment appears to have grown at slightly above its trend rate over the past year (Graph 41).
As illustrated in Exhibit 1,
the monthly volatility of the S&P 500 ® is negatively correlated with its monthly returns.
Despite
the monthly volatility, the trend in the share of respondents planning to buy a home within six months has been climbing.
«Although some of the decline in today's release could be attributed to
monthly volatility, the overall report was discouraging, as consumers reported being increasingly pessimistic about their current economic situations, as well as their expectations of future income growth,» according to Barclays.
Overall, despite
the monthly volatility, the trends in the shares of respondents planning to buy a new home and the shares of respondents planning to buy a lived - in home within six months are climbing up from the trough and consumer confidence remains at a relatively high level by historical standards.
The dashed line is the six - month moving average of the blue line to smooth
the monthly volatility.
As shown in the figure below, despite
the monthly volatility, the underlying trend in the share of respondents planning to buy a new home within six months has been moving upward since 2012.