They are even
more deflationary than Swiss Francs.
(From «It Never Rains in California,» 6/15)-- Stan Druckenmiller: «The Fed keeps talking about deflation, but there is nothing
more deflationary than creating a phony asset bubble, having a bunch of investors plow into it and having it pop....
The more credit creation takes the form of inflating asset prices — rather than financing purchases of goods and services or direct investment employing labor —
the more deflationary its effects are on the «real» economy of production and consumption.
Not exact matches
Pushback: customers are consolidating vendors, not unbundling: Yes, we agree that firms find it preferable to have one vendor instead of five or
more (one party to deal with, could minimize risk, etc), but we don't believe that this disputes our
deflationary thesis.
A 5 % fall (or
more accurately, the
deflationary pressures that would cause a 5 % fall) in the CPI clearly violates the mandate of the Bank of Canada:
Switzerland will probably feel
more pressure from its
deflationary problems after last year's decision to de-peg the Swiss Franc from the euro, which caused the franc to soar.
As of this writing the RMB has depreciated by too small an amount to matter much, but assuming that it had depreciated by a lot
more, would this add to global
deflationary pressures?
Arguably
more concerning is the fact that these dropping oil prices indicate a slowing global economy, and that we are potentially already in a
deflationary spiral and admit no wit or wisdom to get out.
In
deflationary environments, as the dollar becomes
more valuable and the prices of assets collapse, investors can be slaughtered.
This is important progress and has contributed to
more prudent monetary policies than otherwise would have been made and the avoidance of a
deflationary psychology taking hold particularly in Europe and Japan.
Euro - area consumer prices fell on an annual basis last month for the first time in
more than five years and ECB President Mario Draghi has warned that the
deflationary risks may demand a response.
As such, the survey suggests that
deflationary forces have abated, fuelling confidence that reflationary pressures are becoming
more engrained in the economy.»
Deflationary forces are fought with «stimulus,»
more spending,
more debt, Quantitative Easing, bond monetization, Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP), dodgy government statistics, and propaganda.
A government can also spend
more or cut taxes if a country has already dipped into a
deflationary spiral.
We do not see
deflationary conditions in the United States; in fact, we see
more risks of inflation moving higher than lower.
The central bank has been under pressure from Japan's new government to take
more aggressive steps to fight the country's long
deflationary slump.
If we're in a protracted bear market with falling stock prices,
deflationary income and rising unemployment, the Fed will lower rates to stimulate the economy through
more borrowing.
Head was
more fragmentary and surreal than its ostensive model, however, and was blatantly
deflationary.
We suggested that the ongoing low - volatility, quantitative easing - driven,
deflationary boom cycle would likely pivot toward an inherently
more volatile fundamental environment.
My general thought about copper is that it probably won't do well in the upcoming
deflationary environment, but that's neither here nor there as NCQ is
more of a play on exploration and development.
It'll be different because of the secular
deflationary trends of better technology and
more efficient manufacturing.
Contrary to the concerns over income investments declining in an inflationary environment when inflation erodes the return of income instruments, in a
deflationary environment, income investments actually look
more attractive.
There's
more talk now about an impending
deflationary period than we've heard in several years and the thing about this churn is that even if we don't truly experience textbook extensive deflation, the sentiment alone could easily drive investors in droves into assets that perform well during periods of deflation.
It would be reasonable to have a gold standard once
more — the trick is setting the initial price level, so that it would not be inflationary or
deflationary.
Conversely, the
deflationary cost of renewable energy grows
more and
more evident, and the crossover point is now within sight in an increasing number of global markets (India, China, Chile, Brazil, the U.S.).
In short, a
deflationary money system incentivizes savings, discourages debt, discourages waste and over time, creates
more purchasing power for the society that uses it.
The reduced inflation rate will make individual currency units
more valuable and, over time, potentially allow the network to reach a
deflationary state in which fewer coins enter circulation than are lost or destroyed.
For a
more detailed description of Bitcoin's economics, what makes money and how Bitcoin works in the economy as a whole see: «Bitcoin Explained» and «Bitcoin is a
Deflationary Currency».
When we reach 21 million Bitcoins, the cryptocurrency will be
deflationary — meaning that if you buy 1 Bitcoin today at $ 3,000, that same coin will be worth much
more in 3, 5, 10, or 20 years from now.
When a
deflationary asset (cryptocurrency) is sold to buy an inflationary one (fiat currency), it becomes far
more difficult to buy back the digital currency that you initially sold.
But increasingly, economists and other analysts are expressing concern that the United States could be edging closer to a different problem — the kind of
deflationary trap that cost Japan
more than a decade of growth and economic progress.