Sentences with phrase «more on climate variability»

Global warming was not yet an issue at the KNMI where the focus was much more on climate variability, which explains why the article of Hansen et al. was unnoticed at that time by the second author.

Global warming was not yet an issue at the KNMI where the focus was much more on climate variability, which explains why the article of Hansen et al. was unnoticed at that time by the second author.

Not exact matches

«My view on this is that the research needs to broaden out to have more of a focus on variability more generally so that a) we can predict the next few years better b) we can refine our estimates of the sensitivity of the climate system to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations.»

January 2004: «Directions for Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.»

The upper tail is particularly long in studies using diagnostics based on large - scale mean data because separation of the greenhouse gas response from that to aerosols or climate variability is more difficult with such diagnostics (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003).

Less variability is evident in monthly and annual temperature averages at U.S. climate stations for the warmer and more recent decades... more blanketing effect on temperatures.

For this reason, a European project was estaqblished in 2011, COST - action TOSCA (Towards a more complete assessment of the impact of solar variability on the Earth's climate), whose objective is to provide a better understanding of the «hotly debated role of the Sun in climate change» (not really in the scientific fora, but more in the general public discourse).

The solutions, however, must also include a much better focus than present on climate change adaptation and reducing vulnerability to drought — a «no - regrets» strategy that will help both with natural variability, and the variability that could be made more challenging by human - caused climate change.

-- More than $ 600,000 to Clark University, with equal funding from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, for Clark Labs to develop a system to improve monitoring, analysis and prediction of the impacts of climate variability and change on ecosystems, food and health in Africa and the Amazon.

The last year or so, driven by the unexplained hiatus in warming, we have seen substantially more attention being given to research on natural climate variability.

It is also important to note that the models are not designed to project climate on a decadal basis, but on a centennial basis, where the effects of internal variability can more reasonably be expected to average out.

Joshua: «And in addition, think about all the wasted energy the «climate community» spent mitigating the impact of «deniers,» when «skeptics» could have helped out by listening more carefully to the «climate community,» and trying to understand «the climate community's» arguments, and adding to progress on increasing our understanding of the causes of climate variability and change...»

And in addition, think about all the wasted energy the «climate community» spent mitigating the impact of «deniers,» when «skeptics» could have helped out by listening more carefully to the «climate community,» and trying to understand «the climate community's» arguments, and adding to progress on increasing our understanding of the causes of climate variability and change — rather than apologizing or ignoring the input from scientists like Fred Singer — who deliberately lifts a conditional clause from a larger sentence, divorces it completely from context, and creates a fraudulent quotation in order to deliberately deceive, or Ross McKitrick who slanders other scientists on purely speculative conclusions about their motivations, or guest - posters at WUWT who call BEST «media whores,» or the long line of denizens at Climate Etc. who falsely claim that the «climate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capiclimate community» spent mitigating the impact of «deniers,» when «skeptics» could have helped out by listening more carefully to the «climate community,» and trying to understand «the climate community's» arguments, and adding to progress on increasing our understanding of the causes of climate variability and change — rather than apologizing or ignoring the input from scientists like Fred Singer — who deliberately lifts a conditional clause from a larger sentence, divorces it completely from context, and creates a fraudulent quotation in order to deliberately deceive, or Ross McKitrick who slanders other scientists on purely speculative conclusions about their motivations, or guest - posters at WUWT who call BEST «media whores,» or the long line of denizens at Climate Etc. who falsely claim that the «climate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capiclimate community,» and trying to understand «the climate community's» arguments, and adding to progress on increasing our understanding of the causes of climate variability and change — rather than apologizing or ignoring the input from scientists like Fred Singer — who deliberately lifts a conditional clause from a larger sentence, divorces it completely from context, and creates a fraudulent quotation in order to deliberately deceive, or Ross McKitrick who slanders other scientists on purely speculative conclusions about their motivations, or guest - posters at WUWT who call BEST «media whores,» or the long line of denizens at Climate Etc. who falsely claim that the «climate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capiclimate community's» arguments, and adding to progress on increasing our understanding of the causes of climate variability and change — rather than apologizing or ignoring the input from scientists like Fred Singer — who deliberately lifts a conditional clause from a larger sentence, divorces it completely from context, and creates a fraudulent quotation in order to deliberately deceive, or Ross McKitrick who slanders other scientists on purely speculative conclusions about their motivations, or guest - posters at WUWT who call BEST «media whores,» or the long line of denizens at Climate Etc. who falsely claim that the «climate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capiclimate variability and change — rather than apologizing or ignoring the input from scientists like Fred Singer — who deliberately lifts a conditional clause from a larger sentence, divorces it completely from context, and creates a fraudulent quotation in order to deliberately deceive, or Ross McKitrick who slanders other scientists on purely speculative conclusions about their motivations, or guest - posters at WUWT who call BEST «media whores,» or the long line of denizens at Climate Etc. who falsely claim that the «climate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capiClimate Etc. who falsely claim that the «climate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capiclimate community» ignores all uncertainties towards the goal of serving a socialist, eco-Nazi agenda to destroy capitalism.

As a 2014 paper on pastoralism and climate change adaptation in northern Kenya explains, pastoralists are especially exposed to climate change because in east Africa it manifests itself in «increasing temperatures and higher rainfall variability... with both escalating the likelihood of more frequent and extended droughts.»

Further analyses of long coupled model runs will be critical to resolve the influence of the ocean thermohaline circulation and other natural climate variations on Arctic climate and to determine whether natural climate variability will make the Arctic more or less vulnerable to anthropogenic global warming.»

«One of the major modes of climate variability is El Niño and when we're in El Niño there's a large area of warm sea surface temps in the Pacific,» this leads to more precipitation on the West Coast, Crouch said.

Part of this is a resolution issue, but the more important issue is the modes of natural internal variability, which the climate models do a so - so job on in a large - scale sense, but not in translating the impacts to a regional level.

A significant fraction of the funds they are seeking for prediction could more effectively be used if they were spent on assessing risk and ways to reduce the vulnerability of local / regional resources to climate variability and change and other environmental issues using the bottom - up, resources - based perspective discussed in Pielke and Bravo de Guenni (2004), Pielke (2004), and Pielke et al. (2009).

The influence of large - scale climate modes of variability (the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-RRB- on APF magnitude is also assessed, and placed in context with these more localized controls.

Each of these examples (and many more that can be cited) generates additional insight in the processes controlling local climate variability by allowing to zoom in on these processes using RCMs.

If we could get a much better handle on the causes, effects, and timing of the natural variability, thus removing more of the unknowns from the weather / climate equation, it would be much easier to see the actual amounts of CO2 forcing.

However, on timescales below 17 years, we have to admit natural variability is going to make climate trend detection too uncertain to be worth discussing, until we get past the 17th year, and preferably 30 years or more.

«on timescales below 17 years, we have to admit natural variability is going to make climate trend detection too uncertain to be worth discussing, until we get past the 17th year, and preferably 30 years or more.»

We could, of course, hit some bifurcation in the system where we lose all the summer Arctic sea ice or the Amazon forest, which is bad enough, and could possibly transition the climate to a different «solution» on a hysteresis diagram... this to me would represent more of a step-wise jump (akin to a larger bifurcation that you get in a snowball Earth as you gradually reduce CO2 or the solar constant); but ultimately these represent different behavior than «the interannual variability of the large scale dynamics will increase» or that for some reason the climate should be susceptible to more «flip flops» (as in the glacial Heinrich / D - O events), of which I am aware of no observational or theoretical support.

The relationships between the NAO and deep water production are discussed by R. Dickson, «Observations of DecCen climate variability in convection and water mass formation in the northern hemisphere,» in the CLIVAR Villefranche workshop summary at http://www.dkrz.de/clivar/villesum.html. More generally, see the Climate Research Committee, National Research Council, Natural Climate Variability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales (National Academy Pressclimate variability in convection and water mass formation in the northern hemisphere,» in the CLIVAR Villefranche workshop summary at http://www.dkrz.de/clivar/villesum.html. More generally, see the Climate Research Committee, National Research Council, Natural Climate Variability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales (National Academy Pvariability in convection and water mass formation in the northern hemisphere,» in the CLIVAR Villefranche workshop summary at http://www.dkrz.de/clivar/villesum.html. More generally, see the Climate Research Committee, National Research Council, Natural Climate Variability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales (National Academy PressClimate Research Committee, National Research Council, Natural Climate Variability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales (National Academy PressClimate Variability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales (National Academy PVariability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales (National Academy Press 1995).

Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6

But even if so, they make clear that they are using a different process designed more for the purpose than the data you have picked up compiled for the volcano paper, and they allude to this directly: «So while these reconstructions have proved valuable for studying climate variability and the role of various forcing factors acting on relatively short timescales, such as volcanic eruptions [Briffa et al 1998a], they are of limited use for judging the warmth of 20th century warmth in a multicentury context.

Moreover the recent decline of the yearly increments d (CO2) / dt acknowledged by Francey et al (2013)(figure 17 - F) and even by James Hansen who say that the Chinese coal emissions have been immensely beneficial to the plants that are now bigger grow faster and eat more CO2 due to the fertilisation of the air (references in note 19) cast some doubts on those compartment models with many adjustable parameters, models proved to be blatantly wrong by observations as said very politely by Wang et al.: (Xuhui Wang et al: A two-fold increase of carbon cycle sensitivity to tropical temperature variations, Nature, 2014) «Thus, the problems present models have in reproducing the observed response of the carbon cycle to climate variability on interannual timescales may call into question their ability to predict the future evolution of the carbon cycle and its feedbacks to climate»

It seems that every new climate scenario making the media over the past 20 years they always describe a warm future on a multidecadal scale ignoring a cool future as if variability didn't exist, but isn't scientific climatology primarily concerned with longer millenia time scales of a thousand years or more?

Perhaps you and JimD could collaborate on a «stable» climate theory with projections that has no interannual variability which could win a more prestigious Cli - Fi award likely to be named in your honor.

«The last report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicated that the El Niño Phenomenon's variability will prevail in Central America, so the country must prepare itself to fight the El Niño Phenomenon Southern Oscillation (ENOS), since the IPCC states that what just happened in Guanacaste will keep happening but more severely,», explained Corrales.

In a new study, a team of scientists developed a map that reveals which regions on Earth are more sensitive to climate variability.

After more than a century of controversy, the debate as to whether solar variability has any significant effect on the climate of the Earth remains to be settled, one way or the other.

Additionally, circulation trends that are robust on large spatial scales may be much more difficult to detect on regional spatial scales due to the competing effects of internal climate variability (e.g., Deser et al., 2012a, 2012b).

«In a few years, as we get to understand this more, [referring to ocean variability and the pause] skeptics will move on (just like they dropped arguments about the hockey stick and surface station record) to their next reason not to believe climate science.»

More moderate versions of this theory rely primarily on climate model projections of sea ice and acknowledge a significant amount of noise from interannual variability.

The hockey stick and its more recent incarnations have acted to diminish the importance of unforced climate variability on these time scales.

(Here «falsifiable» should more precisely be something wordier like «significantly more precise than the obvious null hypotheses, e.g., historical levels of climate variability noise superimposed on a small no - feedback warming trend due to anthropogenic CO2.»)

A panel discussion brought together intergovernmental organizations, national and local government and the private sector to discuss how climate change impacts will be mostly felt on the water cycle, therefore existing water laws, transboundary agreements, water rights or concessions for water abstraction might need to be revisited and made more flexible to take into account the increasing variability in water availability.

But decisions of far deeper and more costly significance than those derived from output figures have been and are still being made on the basis of climate predictions, not of the next three months but of the coming century — and this despite the fact that Phil Jones and his colleagues now admit they do not understand the role of «natural variability».

Via Grist via Tom Raftery More on What You Need To Know About Arctic Ice 2009 Arctic Summer Sea Ice Minimum Third Lowest on Record - «Well Outside» Natural Variability Arctic Ocean Ice - Free in Summer by 2015, New Research Shows - Greenland Ice Sheet Shows Rapid Losses, Too Melting Ice Could Lead to Massive Waves of Climate Refugees How Will Global Warming Change Our Oceans?

Therefore, knowledge on the Time of Emergence (ToE), or the years that the human contributions to climate change will become more important than natural variability in causing heat waves, is crucial for better mitigation and adaptation efforts.

Low economic strength, inadequate infrastructure, low level of social development, lack of institutional capacity, and a higher dependency on the natural resource base make the country more vulnerable to climate stimuli (including both variability as well as extreme events)» (Ministry of Environment and Forest, 16).