Polar bears had
more sea ice cover and better hunting this year in Hudson's Bay than in other recent years.
They then used the satellite record of Arctic sea ice extent to calculate the rates of sea ice loss and then projected those rates into the future, to estimate how much
more the sea ice cover may shrink in approximately three polar bear generations, or 35 years.
Not exact matches
Although the
ice cover has increased over the past few years, the Arctic's
sea ice is now much thinner than it was just a few years ago, making it
more vulnerable to future warming.
«One societally relevant implication is that
more storminess probably means
more erosion of Arctic coastlines, especially in tandem with declines in buffering
sea ice cover and increases in thawing coastal permafrost,» concluded Dr. Vavrus.
Within a few hundred years
sea levels in some places had risen by as much as 10 meters —
more than if the
ice sheet that still
covers Greenland were to melt today.
«If there were a link, it would be
more likely to occur in fall [when the Arctic
sea ice is at a low and the region is warm] than it would in January [when the Arctic is
ice -
covered and cold], so from that point of view, it's not a compelling candidate at this time of year,» Hoerling said.
Melting can be rapid: as the last
ice age ended, the disappearance of the
ice sheet
covering North America increased
sea level by
more than a metre per century at times.
The scientists were able to use a test scenario in the Greenland
Sea to demonstrate that ALES + returns water levels for
ice -
covered and open ocean regions which are significantly
more precise than the results of previous evaluation methods.
«Historically, the Arctic had a thicker,
more rigid
sea ice that
covered more of the Arctic basin, so it was difficult to tell whether El Niño had any effect on it,» said Richard Cullather, a climate modeler at Goddard.
«We expressed a need for something that could provide
more immediate and local observation that could be launched easily and
cover enough distance to conduct reconnaissance on potential routes through drifting
sea ice,» says Cyrus Unvala, a lieutenant, junior grade, who served as public affairs officer onboard the Polar Star.
Sea ice and snow
cover loss create a feedback look that can accelerate global warming; with fewer reflective surfaces on the planet,
more sunlight can thereby be absorbed, driving surface temperatures even higher, the scientists explained.
The scientists theorize that a warming Arctic environment has reduced
sea ice cover, allowing for
more wave action that stirs up sediments and mobilizes
more radium.
«While
more research should be done, we should be aware that an increasing number of studies, including this one, suggest that the loss of Arctic
sea ice cover is not only a problem for remote Arctic communities, but could affect millions of people worldwide.»
The knock - on effects of such a transition would be huge — they would cause marked increase of warming at the pole, since open water absorbs
more of the sun's energy than
ice -
covered seas.
Since the Artics»
sea -
ice cover is shrinking due to global warming, the polar region takes up
more heat.
Leaving aside the collapse of the Larsen - B
ice shelf and other
ice shelves in Antarctica, is it too simplistic to expect that dramatic changes should be anticipated first in the Arctic because it is
sea covered by a few meters of
sea ice and therefore
more susceptible to change, in comparison to Antarctica (which is obviously land
covered by glacial
ice up to several kilometers thick in places)?
Whilst it's natural to start with air temperatures, a
more thorough examination should be as inclusive as possible; snow
cover,
ice melt, air temperatures over land and
sea, even the
sea temperatures themselves.
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a) Satellite image showing fast disintegration of
sea ice over a polar continental shelf; b) Zoobenthos on an Antarctic continental shelf; c) Examples of
sea mosses (specimens on the left are from an open - water location and hence have had
more plankton to feed on); and d) Dead bryozoan and other benthic skeletons
covering the seabed, most likely to be buried, sequestering their blue carbon in the seabed.
«
Sea level is rising much faster and Arctic sea ice cover shrinking more rapidly than we previously expect
Sea level is rising much faster and Arctic
sea ice cover shrinking more rapidly than we previously expect
sea ice cover shrinking
more rapidly than we previously expected.
Rather than projecting out to the mid-twenty-first century, it is clear that the Arctic Ocean already has crossed a threshold with open water during the summer and first - year
sea ice during the winter
covering more than 50 percent of its area.
Leaving aside the collapse of the Larsen - B
ice shelf and other
ice shelves in Antarctica, is it too simplistic to expect that dramatic changes should be anticipated first in the Arctic because it is
sea covered by a few meters of
sea ice and therefore
more susceptible to change, in comparison to Antarctica (which is obviously land
covered by glacial
ice up to several kilometers thick in places)?
He notes that the sat photos show that cloud
cover remains low and that the
ice is very mobile at a time when the pack should be most firm (not really a surprise since ocean temps are much
more important than air temps, and apparently it's the ocean temps that have been the largest factor in the recent sharp
sea ice reduction).
While methane is short - lived, all it has to do is shift the global energy balance for a while, to trigger irreversible loss of tundra methane, loss of Arctic
sea ice cover and
more calthrate loss, then loss of
ice sheets and everything else Hansen et al promise.
However, I've never seen a single media article in any U.S. press outlet that
covered these issues — the large - scale evidence for global warming (melting glaciers, warming poles, shrinking
sea ice, ocean temperatures) to the local scale (
more intense hurricanes,
more intense precipitation,
more frequent droughts and heat waves) while also discussing the real causes (fossil fuels and deforestation) and the real solutions (replacement of fossil fuels with renewables, limiting deforestation, and halting the use of fossil fuels, especially coal and oil.)
There are subtle effects such as the planet losing
more heat from the open
sea than from
ice -
covered region (some of this heat is absorbed by the atmosphere, but climates over
ice -
covered regions are of
more continental winter character: dry and cold).
Maue discussed how «two camps» of researchers claim to have increased predictability of such weather events over periods of a month or
more by using clues either in the Arctic, related to the extent of
sea ice and snow
cover, or in the temperature of surface waters across the Pacific Ocean.
(57j) For surface + tropospheric warming in general, there is (given a cold enough start) positive surface albedo feedback, that is concentrated at higher latitudes and in some seasons (though the temperature response to reduced summer
sea ice cover tends to be realized
more in winter when there is
more heat that must be released before
ice forms).
Updated, Nov. 25, 10:41 a.m. Ruth Teichroeb, the communications officer for Oceans North: Protecting Life in the Arctic, an initiative of the Pew Charitable Trusts, sent a note this evening about new steps related to an issue I've
covered here before — the rare and welcome proactive work by Arctic nations to ban fishing in the central Arctic Ocean ahead of the «big melt» as summer
sea ice retreats
more in summers in a human - heated climate.
Re 9 wili — I know of a paper suggesting, as I recall, that enhanced «backradiation» (downward radiation reaching the surface emitted by the air / clouds) contributed
more to Arctic amplification specifically in the cold part of the year (just to be clear, backradiation should generally increase with any warming (aside from greenhouse feedbacks) and
more so with a warming due to an increase in the greenhouse effect (including feedbacks like water vapor and, if positive, clouds, though regional changes in water vapor and clouds can go against the global trend); otherwise it was always my understanding that the albedo feedback was key (while
sea ice decreases so far have been
more a summer phenomenon (when it would be warmer to begin with), the heat capacity of the
sea prevents much temperature response, but there is a greater build up of heat from the albedo feedback, and this is released in the cold part of the year when
ice forms later or would have formed or would have been thicker; the seasonal effect of reduced winter snow
cover decreasing at those latitudes which still recieve sunlight in the winter would not be so delayed).
This would certainly explain why arctic
sea ice cover has been absolutely crashing in recent years while the HARDCRU / GISS global average temps had been increasing
more modestly.
«Higher northern latitudes are getting warmer, Arctic
sea ice and the duration of snow
cover are diminishing, the growing season is getting longer and plants are growing
more,» said Ranga Myneni of Boston University's Department of Earth and Environment.
Should it be attained, this state would be
more «symmetric» than the present climate, with comparable areas of
ice /
sea -
ice cover in each hemisphere, and would represent the culmination of 50 million years of evolution from bipolar nonglacial climates to bipolar glacial climates.
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The warming of approximately 0.1 — 0.2 °C per decade that has resulted is very likely the primary cause of the increasing loss of snow
cover and Arctic
sea ice, of
more frequent occurrence of very heavy precipitation, of rising
sea level, and of shifts in the natural ranges of plants and animals.
(William: Come on man, the sun is causing what is observed) Phenomena such as the Younger Dryas and Heinrich events might only occur in a «glacial» world with much larger
ice sheets and
more extensive
sea ice cover.
If all of the currently attainable carbon resources [estimated to be between 8500 and 13.600 GtC (4)-RSB- were burned, the Antarctic
Ice Sheet would lose most of its mass, raising global sea level by more than 50 m. For the 125 GtC as well as the 500, 800, 2500, and 5000 GtC scenarios, the ice - covered area is depicted in white (ice - free bedrock in brow
Ice Sheet would lose most of its mass, raising global
sea level by
more than 50 m. For the 125 GtC as well as the 500, 800, 2500, and 5000 GtC scenarios, the
ice - covered area is depicted in white (ice - free bedrock in brow
ice -
covered area is depicted in white (
ice - free bedrock in brow
ice - free bedrock in brown).
However, even a smaller figure (I had calculated about 0.17 W / m ^ 2 based on your inflated figure for total planetary albedo, but you can check it out) is still significant when compared with the total flux imbalance, which I think is a
more informative comparison than an arbitrarily selected change in cloud
cover, because it compares the
sea ice reduction with the effects of all climate variations that have been operating in recent years..
Additionally, the less
sea ice covers the surface of the ocean, the
more sunlight is absorbed by the water, which scientists warn could accelerate the Arctic's warming.
Many
more of Monckton's claims — including others about snow
cover and
sea -
ice — are being diligently examined against the peer - reviewed science — yet again — by SkepticalScience, which has begun a series looking at his debating points in detail.
Using satellites we can estimate both
sea ice area, which is the area of the
sea which is
ice -
covered, and
ice extent, which is the area of ocean which has 15 % or
more ice cover.
In simulations with no ponds or aerosols in
sea ice, the Arctic
ice is over a meter thicker and retains
more summer
ice cover.
Increasing greenhouse gases should, by simple physics, strengthen the polar vortex, but what favors weakening is the loss of
sea ice and
more snow
cover in Eurasia, Those work together to force this weakening of the polar vortex that we're seeing.»
When Arctic
sea ice opens up
more it exposes
more water to evaporative and radiative cooling both of which are nullified when
ice covers the water.
And remember, the satellite data are one small part of a vast amount of data that overwhelmingly show our planet is warming up: retreating glaciers, huge amounts of
ice melting at both poles, the «death spiral» of arctic
ice every year at the summer minimum over time, earlier annual starts of warm weather and later starts of cold weather, warming oceans, rising
sea levels, ocean acidification,
more extreme weather, changing weather patterns overall, earlier snow melts, and lower snow
cover in the spring...
Scientists at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center have also reported that satellite measurements show that
sea ice now
covers about 2 percent
more area around Antarctica than it did two decades ago, another suggestion of recent cooling.
Recently published research by Barber and colleagues shows that the
ice cover was even
more fragile at the end of the melt season than satellite data indicated, with regions of the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas covered by small, rotten
ice floes.
Disappearing Arctic
sea ice — summer
ice extent was at its lowest level in recorded history in 2007 and almost hit that level in 2008 — also will warm the Arctic Ocean, since a dark,
ice - free
sea absorbs
more solar radiation than a white,
ice -
covered one.
Heavy
sea ice is a bigger threat to bearded seals, so they avoid regions where
sea ice cover is
more than 90 %.
Furthermore, the Arctic has warmed
more than twice as fast as the global average, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification, and stimulated by the combined increasing Arctic temperatures and rapid loss of
sea ice in all seasons along with declining snow
cover in the spring and early summer.