Since temperatures are already raised and there is
more warming in the pipeline, who is to say that CO2 will adjust downwards as opposed to temperatures adjusting upwards.
Here are some facts, the long term trend is up, and there is
more warming in the pipeline.
Given that the Earth is not in energy balance, there is
more warming in the pipeline.
That's another tough one because it supports AGW's attribution that all this and
more warming in the pipeline is forced, and the main forcing agent is by far GHG changes.
Since temperatures are already raised and there is
more warming in the pipeline, who is to say that CO2 will adjust downwards as opposed to temperatures adjusting upwards.
Not exact matches
In light of this fact, will stopping the
pipeline decrease global
warming, or just make other countries richer and
more powerful, and Canada poorer and weaker?
Either way, their survival depends far
more on their adaptation than it does to US action, since no matter what policies we enact, there is
warming already
in the «
pipeline» and the
warming to come from the economic growth
in the developing world will dwarf any attempts to limit our own emissions.
But aren't these way too low, since LOTI shows we are — as of 2017 — already around 0.95 C
warmer than the 1951 - 1980 average, and there is
more warming «
in the
pipeline» because of the time lag, and another (estimated) 0.5 C
warming when the anthropogenic aerosols dimming effect is removed?
However even the moderate scenarios which have eventual stabilisation give
more warming than 0.8 C. Even
in the extremely unlikely event that there is no further growth
in emissions, the current planetary energy imbalance (estimated to be almost 1W / m2)(due to the ocean thermal inertia) implies that there is around 0.5 C extra
warming already
in the
pipeline that will be realised over the next 20 to 30 years.
But
more warming is already «
in - the -
pipeline,» delayed only by the great inertia of the world ocean.
More warming is
in the
pipeline as the climate system slowly responds to the higher CO2 concentrations.
Police arrested
more than 140 Native American and environmental protesters challenging an oil
pipeline near the Standing Rock Sioux Reservation
in North Dakota, a project touching the raw nerves of water and global
warming, reports Dennis J Bernstein.
However, given that the CAGW position doesn't rest on specific numbers, but is instead an unorganized collection of anecdotal evidence, coupled with heavily - tweaked computer models, unfounded assumptions about positive feedbacks, and a healthy imagination about possible future disasters, a lower
warming number for the 20th century will simply be brushed over with claims about aerosols being stronger than previously thought,
more warming still waiting
in the «
pipeline» or similar ad hoc «explanations» that keep the overall story alive.
51 Fig. 20 - 14, p. 481 Cut fossil fuel use (especially coal) Shift from coal to natural gas Improve energy efficiency Shift to renewable energy resources Transfer energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies to developing countries Reduce deforestation Use
more sustainable agriculture and forestry Limit urban sprawl Reduce poverty Slow population growth Remove CO 2 from smoke stack and vehicle emissions Store (sequester) CO2 by planting trees Sequester CO 2 deep underground Sequester CO 2
in soil by using no - till cultivation and taking cropland out of production Sequester CO 2
in the deep ocean Repair leaky natural gas
pipelines and facilities Use animal feeds that reduce CH 4 emissions by belching cows Solutions Global
Warming PreventionCleanup
Anyway
warming in the
pipeline means even if we stop now there is
more to come, and this has been known for at least several IPCC reports and a decade, and that is because the forcing has not all been realized yet as
warming.
«With some level of
warming and sea level rise already
in the
pipeline no matter what we do, we won't see a reduction
in impacts or even a sudden levelling - off — impacts are projected to increase at the same rate
in all scenarios for the next couple of decades or so, and after that they merely increase
more slowly
in the deep emissions cuts scenarios,» Betts told Mongabay.
So — IPCC are still just about
in the ballpark with Shine's Lambda of 0.4 but only IF all the
warming since 1950 is a consequence of the CO2, or there is
more warming in the (ocean)
pipeline.
What else do we need when what we have already is sufficient to explain not only all the
warming but that
more is
in the
pipeline?
One other thing to consider:
In general, efforts at mitigation do a better job of assigning more of the costs of dealing with global warming to the the people who have contributed more to in - the - pipeline global warmin
In general, efforts at mitigation do a better job of assigning
more of the costs of dealing with global
warming to the the people who have contributed
more to
in - the - pipeline global warmin
in - the -
pipeline global
warming.
And what that tells us is that there's
more global
warming,
more climate change, that's
in the
pipeline.
In particular, they try to correct the common misunderstanding of the expression that there is more «warming in the pipeline»
In particular, they try to correct the common misunderstanding of the expression that there is
more «
warming in the pipeline»
in the
pipeline».