For some contrasts between the Younger Dryas and the
most serious droughts since then at 8200, 5200, and 4200 years ago, see Fagan (1999) and Harvey Weiss, «Beyond the Younger Dryas: Collapse as adaptation to abrupt
climate change in
ancient West Asia and the Eastern Mediterranean,» pp. 75 - 98 in Confronting Natural Disaster: Engaging the Past to Understand the Future, G. Bawden and R. Reycraft, editors (University of New Mexico Press 2000), at http://www.yale.edu/nelc/weiss/byd.html.
While the use of computer
climate models is the
most familiar method of predicting future
climate states, Lynas explains that
ancient climates also give important insights into possible future
change.