Sentences with phrase «most climate change scenarios»

Most climate change scenarios foresee a shift or expansion of the ranges of many species of plankton, fish and invertebrates towards higher latitudes, by tens of kilometres per decade, contributing to changes in species richness and altered community composition.

Under most climate change scenarios, dry places are going to get drier, wet places are going to get wetter, and times of drought and plenty will be increasingly unpredictable.

Not exact matches

The IPCC's climate report says that the most extreme scenarios of future warming are looking less likely — but this doesn't change the big picture

But global CO2 emissions are still on track to meet or exceed the most extreme emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2007 report, and by the scenarios the panel will use in the report it will release next year, scientists with the Global Carbon Project said.

The most likely scenario studied was based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's projections of sea level height by 2100 and corresponding changes in reef structure.

And most models looking at future climate change scenarios did not account for aerosols in the stratosphere.

The post-2000 growth rate exceeds the most fossil - fuel - dependent A1F1 emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the late 1990s.

Crops affected in the most extreme climate change scenario (RCP 8.5).

These scenarios are among the most sophisticated and recent explorations of how the future might evolve to address climate change.»

The science is clear to me and to most experts in the various fields associated with climate science: Humans are causing most of the observed global warming in the past several decades and, if we continue emitting GHGs under a «business as usual» scenario, it will become increasingly difficult and costly to adapt to the changes that are likely to occur.

Because of the uncertainties in projected sea level rise over the remainder of this century, Sasmito and his co-authors use both the low and the high sea level rise scenario from the most recent International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report (AR5).

Close agreement of observed temperature change with simulations for the most realistic climate forcing (scenario B) is accidental, given the large unforced variability in both model and real world.

Emissions growth for 2000 - 2007 was above even the most fossil fuel intensive scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (SRES - IPCC).

As the chart above shows, Sub-Saharan Africa is the most likely to see people moving internally due to climate change in all three scenarios.

Most scenarios that meet the 2 - degree Celsius (3.6 - degree Fahrenheit) cap on global warming endorsed by world leaders require a 40 percent to 70 percent reduction in heat - trapping gases by 2050 from 2010 levels, according to the third installment of the UN's biggest - ever study of climate change.

«Researchers at Duke University say global warming is not progressing as fast as it would under the most severe scenarios outlined by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.»

We then projected the current model into the future climate change scenarios and identified winter temperature as the most crucial factor in the model.

In an interview with the Boston Globe on March 9, Admiral Samuel J. Locklear III, the Navy's top officer in the Pacific, stated that climate change was the biggest long - term threat in the Pacific region and «probably the most likely thing that is going to happen... that will cripple the security environment, probably more likely than the other scenarios we all often talk about.»

The most obvious causes of droughts are changes in the winds, what happens with almost any climate change scenario.

And even if the projections were certain, why should developing countries invest NOW in adaptation to climate change which under most IPCC scenarios will not be critical for at least 30 years?

In scientific literature a few comparisons between the SRES projections and reality exist, like a 2007 PNAS study, which stated «The emissions growth rate since 2000 was greater than for the most fossil - fuel intensive of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emissions scenarios developed in the late 1990s.»

The most important thing to remember is that the fight to stop climate change is not a South Vs North scenario, in fact, it is a matter of addressing structural problems and reforming the system, because it is destroying people and the environment, both from the North and from the South.

Results from this study suggest a greater than 35 % probability that emissions concentrations will exceed those assumed in the most severe of the available climate change scenarios (RCP 8.5), illustrating particular importance for understanding extreme outcomes.

«However, an important detail about our study is that we assumed the most extreme climate change scenario in which the concentration of greenhouse gases keeps increasing throughout the 21st century.»

While I reject most apocalyptic scenarios as unfounded or unduly speculative, I am convinced that the human contribution to climate change will cause or exacerbate significant problems in at least some parts of the world.

To summarize, most of these economic analyses agree that a carbon pricing policy will reduce U.S. GDP - growth by less than 1 % over the next 10 — 40 years as compared to an unrealistically optimistic BAU scenario in which climate change does not impact the economy.

Note, also, that most popular climate scenarios include an implausibly early peak in global emissions — 2010 in many cases, 2015 - 16 in the case of the Stern Report, the ADAM project, and the U.K.'s Committee on Climate climate scenarios include an implausibly early peak in global emissions — 2010 in many cases, 2015 - 16 in the case of the Stern Report, the ADAM project, and the U.K.'s Committee on Climate Climate Change.

Like most climate - economic modelers, the Nature Climate Change researchers use integrated assessment models (IAMs) to generate their sceclimate - economic modelers, the Nature Climate Change researchers use integrated assessment models (IAMs) to generate their sceClimate Change researchers use integrated assessment models (IAMs) to generate their scenarios.

In the end, perhaps the most important conclusion in the Nature Climate Change paper is the simplest and the one that we already knew: «a rapid transformation in energy consumption and land use is needed in all scenarios.»

-- Southern Ocean Iron Fertilization Experiment (SOFeX)-- The basics of the most recent expedition — Penny Chisholm's site, which lists many professional papers — Paul Falkowski's article (PDF document)-- DOE article: Climate Change Scenarios Compel Studies of Ocean Carbon Storage — Government site for carbon sequestration research — An earlier piece Williams wrote on sequestration — Will Ocean Fertilization To Remove Carbon Dioxide from the Atmosphere Work?

A rational public and private sector response to the threat of storm damage in a changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits of planning for the worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination of societal trends and the most confident aspects of climate change predictions makes future economic impacts substantially more likely than does either one alone.

Most climate scenario construction methods combine model - based estimates of climate change with observed climate data (Section 13.3).

See: Prof. Roger Pielke Jr.: «An argument that mitigation of ghgs makes sense in terms of decreasing the future costs of extreme events is not a strong one» — «Even under the assumptions of IPCC, Stern Review, etc. the future costs of extreme events under the most aggressive scenarios of climate change actually decrease as a proportion of GDP»

Mark Fulton, advisor to Carbon Tracker, former head of research at Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, and co-author of the report, said: «Our work shows thermal coal has the most significant overhang of unneeded supply in terms of carbon of all fossil fuels on any scenario.

Firstly, the most up - to - date tools in earth system science were used to analyse hydro - climatic variability in Peru and surrounding regions for producing climate change scenarios.

As most of the excess heat and greenhouse gases from climate change or even chemical pollutants will go into the ocean, ocean large - scale currents will recirculate that extra load and, at some point, will release some of it back to the atmosphere, where it will keep raising temperatures, regardless of future carbon dioxide emissions scenarios.

The study, reported by the London Daily Mail, compared its results to the most severe emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Plibersek takes the most alarmist interpretation of the most alarmist climate change scenarios out there.

Even if most of you dismiss this possibility, I don't think it is less likely that the climate change based apocalypse scenarios.

Rather, the study stated that, out of the range of warming projections outlined by the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), temperature records suggest that at present time the «middle - of - the - road warming scenario» is more likely than the most severe warming projections.

The most depressing feature of this debate is that anyone who questions the alarmist, doomsday scenario will automatically be labelled a climate change «denier», and accused of jeopardising the future of humanity.

Africa's climate is warmer than it was 100 years ago and model - based projections of future greenhouse gas induced climate change for the continent project that this warming will continue, and in most scenarios, accelerate (Hulme et al. 2001; Christensen et al. 2007).

But most do predict a range of weather scenarios, and warming watchers are eagerly awaiting next spring's report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The scenario painted in the film «The Day After Tomorrow» seems extremely unlikely, even to most climate change advocates, but one could easily make a far more convincing version, based not on the effects of climate change, but the efforts of some crackpot to «save the world» from same by implementing some well meaning scheme that could all too easily lead to a disaster far more immediate and possibly far more destructive than anything a few degrees of temperature rise could produce.

At the time of the TAR, most CCIAV studies utilised climate scenarios (many based on the IS92 emissions scenarios), but very few applied contemporaneous scenarios of socio - economic, land - use, or other environmental changes.