By 2005 it was one of Labour «s
most marginal seats, since 2010 it has been comfortably Conservative.
Labour enjoys a 44 % to 36 % lead in the 33
most marginal seats where they are lead challengers to us.
In 2005 this was one of
the most marginal seats in the country, held by Labour «s Derek Wyatt by only 79 votes.
For instance, Democratic Audit demonstrated that turnout was 9.2 % higher in
the most marginal seats when compared to the safest seats.
They will vigorously defend their own 40
most marginal seats, and target a further 40 which they narrowly failed to take in 2010.
At the moment you're probably right that even if Con picked up every UKIP voter, it wouldn't affect the result in
those most marginal seats... but it would make a difference in target seats further down the list, and consequently to Labour's majority / largest party prospects.
In the case of ComRes, their marginal seats polls cover the 40
most marginal seats with Labour and Conservative in first and second place.
In short even in
the most marginal seats of the sort that might be subject to a pact, there is unlikely to be any opportunity to have selected a Conservative candidate for at least three years.
Labor's
most marginal seats going into the 2013 election are inner - city Hindmarsh (ALP 6.1 %) and Adelaide (ALP 7.5 %).
In three - quarters of
their most marginal seats, their membership is falling.
Things are looking rather less bad in the 8
most marginal seats we hold against the Lib Dems — though only because the Lib Dems» vote share has fallen further than ours has.
Labor will struggle to retain
its most marginal seats, Corangamite (ALP 0.3 %), Deakin (ALP 0.6 %) and La Trobe (ALP 1.7 %).
We would also agree on which coalition party should contest
the most marginal seats of the opposition parties.
ComRes have a poll of marginal seats out tonight covering the forty
most marginal seats with Labour and Conservative in first and second place (so 25 with Tory incumbents, 15 with Labour incumbents).
«I could not have asked for a better or more dedicated team, but on polling day you excelled yourselves again - and the excellent results in so many of
our most marginal seats are testament to that.
In the twelve
most marginal seats where a Conservative candidate triumphed that was the total margin of victory.
Analysis from the Bureau found that in the 20
most marginal seats in the election the Conservatives have raised # 321,182, compared to # 183,052 for the Liberal Democrats and just # 74,545 for Labour.
An MP in one of the Conservatives»
most marginal seats has announced he will not seek reselection at the next election.
In the 2015 Election, I will be defending one of
the most marginal seats in the country.
«Conservatives 24 % ahead in thirty
most marginal seats Main David Cameron defends NHS and overseas aid pledges»
He began to become interested in political polling in the autumn of 2004 at a time when he was already working to help Conservative candidates win — and hold on to — some of
the most marginal seats up and down the country.
My puzzlement increased when the party said that, according to its private research, it was heading for victory in 103 of the 130
most marginal seats.
Labor retained
its most marginal seats and gained La Trobe and McEwen from the Liberal Party in 2010, ending the chances of a Coalition majority.
My study of
the most marginal seats the Lib Dems were defending against Labour and the Conservatives, published in June, found the party on course to lose most of its most vulnerable seats, with a few notable exceptions.
Three of Victoria's
most marginal seats lie adjacent to each other in Melbourne's outer east.
The poll commissioned by Conservative peer Michael Ashcroft found that Labour have extended their lead in the UK's
most marginal seats.
«With each struggling to expand beyond that, the share that candidates take of new entrants to the electorate will help to decide
the most marginal seats.
He claimed 40 per cent of the vote at the 2005 election but is holding the country's
most marginal seat - a 0.2 per cent swing would see it go to the Tories.
In contrast, Thurrock is
the most marginal seat.
We'll also see if the Tories manage to take Labour's
most marginal seat, City of Chester, where the majority is just 93.
The Tories will want to snatch Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, in the Borders and Scotland's
most marginal seat, from the SNP's Calum Kerr.
At 0.01 %, this is the fourth - lowest majority in all of post-war UK electoral history — and quite a change from the previous election in 2005 when this was the UK's 158th
most marginal seat.
«This is
the most marginal seat in the country - it needs just a 0.2 per cent swing to go to the Conservatives.
It's Labour's second
most marginal seat in the country.
It makes Cheltenham the tenth
most marginal seat in the country, requiring a 0.55 % swing to take the seat.
The most marginal seat after the 2017 election is North East Fife, where the SNP beat the Lib Dems by a mere two votes.
Politics: Kettering was Labour «s
most marginal seat after the 1997 election and remained an ultra-marginal in 2001.
Croydon Central was also
the most marginal seat in both 1974 elections but in 1979 it returned the largest Tory majority of the three
Visiting Australia's
most marginal seat, Corangamite in Victoria's south - west, Mr Abbott said the Gillard Government would be punished at the next election for misleading the nation on the carbon tax.
Not exact matches
Councillors that won
marginal seats on a tide of national popularity for their party are
most likely to lose them when the tide ebbs.
Persuading my editor to let me hire a vintage VW camper for a week to tour some of the
most marginal (and beautiful)
seats in the West Country seemed like quite a coup at the time.
This meant looking at polling data on voting intentions in key
marginal seats, votes in the
most recent local elections and the resources each party is likely to have to spend on campaigning in the area.
@Don: cut defence spending or Trident and lose a bunch of
marginal seats —
most of the $ on Trident goes to the US, so you could always announce conventional weapons programmes providing the same jobs in whichever docks would lose out.
Pendulum - find the electorates on the electoral pendulum, with
seats listed from the
most marginal to the safest.
The electoral pendulum orders
seats from the
most marginal to safest based on results of the last election.
*
Most Tory MPs in
marginal seats told Matthew Parris of The Times that the PM was right to honour his aid commitments.
The Liberal candidate for the new WA
seat of Burt is «very, very hopeful» of winning, despite
marginal seat polling showing it is the
most likely electorate in the state to go to Labor.
At the 2005 election, her
seat became the
most marginal in Wales as her Conservative challenger reduced her majority to 1,146.
In
most other
marginal seats, the Tory vote is being ebbed away by a combination of both this Labour rise, Lib Dem collapse and the post-2010 surge in UKIP support.
I recently wrote to David Cameron outlining our intention to contest the 30
most marginal Conservative
seats in 2015, where majorities in the 2010 general election ranged between 54 and 1,692 votes.