Most model scenarios make a big assumption: that rising agricultural productivity and vegetable - based diets will limit the need for new farmland.
In
most model scenarios, simply cutting emissions isn't enough.
Not exact matches
In
most models the ideal
scenario for organizations is to get as many engaged employees as possible.
In terms of lead nurturing; one of the
most significant tools to use is buyer
scenario modeling.
Newcastle would still be forecast by the
model as
most likely to win under either of those
scenarios, because their shooting frequency is higher.
Then we told the
model, given our
scenario for 2035, tell us the
most economical way to meet the total energy demand of the community.»
The
most catastrophic
scenario for such planet migration, dubbed the Nice
model (after the French city), has been gaining ground of late.
And
most models looking at future climate change
scenarios did not account for aerosols in the stratosphere.
With four colleagues, Dobson co-authored a new paper, published last week in the journal PLoS One, based on a detailed computer
model examining how a worst - case road - development
scenario might affect the Serengeti's
most iconic migratory grazer, the wildebeest (also known as the gnu).
Integrated assessment
models create
scenarios for the
most cost - effective transition toward a sustainable supply of materials and energy while taking the planetary boundaries into consideration.
The estimated size of and uncertainty in current observed warming rates attributable to human influence thus provides a relatively
model - independent estimate of uncertainty in multi-decade projections under
most scenarios.
Analysis of simple
models and intercomparisons of AOGCM responses to idealised forcing
scenarios suggest that, for
most scenarios over the coming decades, errors in large - scale temperature projections are likely to increase in proportion to the magnitude of the overall response.
The current limits provide us with a unique opportunity to explore the extremely faint fluxes of photons expected in some astrophysical
scenarios and they challenge the
most recent
models of super-heavy dark matter.
For each treatment
scenario, the
model hosts millions of competitions to simulate how the tumor will
most likely progress over time.
These and
most other similar large - scale assessments are based primarily on species distribution (bioclimatic envelope)
models, which use correlations between species» observed distributions and climate variables to predict their distributions and hence their extinction risk under future climate
scenarios [9]--[11].
The cool thing about this collection is it's comprised of in - real - life
scenarios — no
models or studio pics here — rather personal selfies uploaded
most likely various social networks.
Both 911 Targa
models exclusively come in an All Wheel Drive version, featuring the wider rear track and body that helps to ensure the optimal distribution of drive power for traction in
most road
scenarios.
One of the
most interesting
scenarios raised is that if the government is intent on limiting the capabilities of the agency
model, publishers need to figure out what other tools they can use to combat the growing dominance of Amazon.
ln his own financial
modeling, ValuePenguin's credit card analyst, Rob Harrow, finds the avalanche method works best to limit interest paid in
most scenarios.
Financial planners — not the kind that sell mutual funds, the ones that actually plan finances — can help you
model various retirement income
scenarios in order to try to determine the
most optimal drawdown options.
Across eight rounds, or more if you like, both players will plan out their strategies and then take turns moving their trays of
models across the table, either attempting to complete the objectives laid out in the randomly drawn
scenario card or just trying to do the
most damage.
Analysis of simple
models and intercomparisons of AOGCM responses to idealised forcing
scenarios suggest that, for
most scenarios over the coming decades, errors in large - scale temperature projections are likely to increase in proportion to the magnitude of the overall response.
The estimated size of and uncertainty in current observed warming rates attributable to human influence thus provides a relatively
model - independent estimate of uncertainty in multi-decade projections under
most scenarios.
As far as I was aware
most climate
model scenarios include a constant, small, forcing for volcanoes, rather than arbitrary, episodic forcing.
Despite this too - high sensitivity number, the
scenario B projection (the only one worth looking at, since that
most closely
models actual CO2 emissions), was pretty darn good.
Those
models proved to be fairly accurate, at least
scenario b — which Hansen stated was the
most likely at the time he made the predictions.
Models are based on the
most recent SRES data and based on A2, A1B and B1
scenarios, which are based on different projections of global growth, development and industrialization.
The test of the
model is whether, given the observed changes in forcing, it produces a skillful prediction using the
scenario most closely related to the observations — which is B (once you acknowledge the slight overestimate in the forcings).
I am just asking what people think are the
most likely
scenarios, i.e. which climate
model forecasts you think «ahead of time» will prove to be
most accurate?
Considering the carbon - cycle feedback, some
models (e.g. Cox et al.) estimate large positive vegetation feedback (increased soil respiration, lower photosynthesis due to increased vegetation stress, increased fire frequency...) and some of the
most extreme
scenarios predict the CO2 concentration to be up to 980 ppm.
Raw climate
model results for a business - as - usual
scenario indicate that we can expect global temperatures to increase anywhere in the range of 5.8 and 10.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.2 to 5.9 degrees Celsius) over preindustrial levels by the end of the century — a difference of about a factor of two between the
most - and least - severe projections.
Mr Teske is the author of numerous reports,
most notably Greenpeace's Energy [R] evolution
scenarios, which
model how various world regions can shift from a fossil fuel - based energy supply to one based on renewable energy and energy efficiency.
The
most common
scenario type is based on outputs from climate
models and receives
most attention in this chapter.
Certainly when testing the short term validity of the
model presented in the paper,
most people would look to
Scenario A for comparisons to actual data.
Close agreement of observed temperature change with simulations for the
most realistic climate forcing (
scenario B) is accidental, given the large unforced variability in both
model and real world.
If you want to calculate how much lower the climate sensitivity
model would have to be to match C fine, but that's easier in reference to
scenario B given forcings
most closely followed that
scenario.
In fact, why can't you go one step further and forget about even trying to decide which of the
scenarios presented were the
most realistic and just dig up the
model, plug in the emissions numbers, volcanic eruptions, etc. from the last couple decades and see how well the
model holds up.
Even in «low emission» climate
scenarios (forecasts that are based on the assumption that future carbon dioxide emissions will increase relatively slowly),
models predict precipitation may decline by 20 - 25 percent over
most of California, southern Nevada, and Arizona by the end of this century.
This project used a compiled set of emission and forcing
scenarios called the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) to drive a group of the
most complex climate available, so - called Atmosphere Ocean General Circulation
Models.
We then projected the current
model into the future climate change
scenarios and identified winter temperature as the
most crucial factor in the
model.
«Though
most of the CMIP5
models project a nearly ice - free Arctic (sea ice extent less than 1 × 106 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5
scenario...»
I recall a
scenario (January 2011, IIRC) where all of the
models and
most of their ensemble members projected what would have been a catastrophic snowstorm for the east coast of the U.S..
Though
most of the CMIP5
models project a nearly ice - free Arctic (sea ice extent less than 1 × 106 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5
scenario (see Section 12.4.6.1), some show large changes in the near term as well.
Well - fed bears throughout the Arctic have enough fat to see them through a 4 - 5 month fast and even the worst - case
scenario models devised suggest that
most bears in productive regions like Hudson Bay [and probably, Southern Davis Strait] would survive a 6 month fast.
Mr. Romm does not use any of the emissions
scenarios that are the starting point for IPCC climate projections, but instead has developed a forecast for carbon emissions (which are «rising faster than the
most pessimistic economic
model considered by the IPCC»).
The costs of such
scenarios are also significant, but according to
most models, the savings in energy costs typically more than exceed the investment costs.
The issue (# 4) of user - defined thresholds is also very important, and addressing issues related to such thresholds (with historical and paleo data and
models to create
scenarios whereby critical thresholds might be exceeded) can actually be more straightforward than
most of what is currently being provided by climate scientists.
One of the
most exciting outcomes from Ensembles is the development of a climate mitigation
scenario and its analysis by a variety of state - of - the - art climate
models, many of which include carbon cycle feedbacks.
Given the existence of many other climate
models, one of the
most important tests was the comparison of C - ROADS output to the output of disaggregated simulations from the SRES database (e.g., MAGICC) given a range of emissions input
scenarios.
Like
most climate - economic modelers, the Nature Climate Change researchers use integrated assessment
models (IAMs) to generate their
scenarios.