Sentences with phrase «most pollsters»

Now, it's important to keep in mind that, despite what most pollsters might tell you, the public has very few firm, informed opinions on public policy.

They tightened during the campaign, but the result was still a big surprise to most pollsters and pundits - and May herself, who told the BBC she shed a «little tear» when she saw the exit poll.

The questions is a bit of a simplification — firstly saying that one sagely considers the parties» policies is obviously a more «socially acceptable» answer than saying one votes for the nicest chap, and equally most pollsters (not least MORI themselves) will tell you that there is a third important factor, the overall image of a party, which is itself influenced by the leader's image and the party policies.

«It looks as though we - and most pollsters and political punters - initially completely under - estimated Jeremy Corbyn's chances of being elected leader.

The British election has come and gone, and the results have confounded the expectations of most pollsters.

Most pollsters continue to judge that naming UKIP in the initial voting intention question has the effect of exaggerating the party's score.

At 6:35 p.m. on November 8, when most pollsters and pundits believed Clinton would carry the election, WikiLeaks messaged Trump Jr. and suggested Trump contest the results because it would help him mount an opposition media brand, and that it would expose «media corruption, primary corruption, PAC corruption, etc..»

In the era of modern polling, most pollsters agree that being 95 % confident in the margin of error is «good enough.»

Not exact matches

Business Insider spoke with party officials and pollsters in the most crucial counties within those states to see how the improbable Trump victory took place.

In the tight three - way race of this year's federal election, the focus has shifted from the reliability of any single research firm to the wisdom of the collective pollster mind, with news outlets arguing over who can aggregate the polls in the most reliable fashion.

When you listen, you'll hear how pollsters in the most recent presidential election didn't get it wrong.

Most people have not thought about it very hard, but then neither have most people thought very hard about the answers they give to political pollsters or surveys on almost anything else under the Most people have not thought about it very hard, but then neither have most people thought very hard about the answers they give to political pollsters or surveys on almost anything else under the most people thought very hard about the answers they give to political pollsters or surveys on almost anything else under the sun.

What Küng has observed firsthand is a validation of what sociologists and pollsters have been telling us for years: masses of Americans are having difficulty coping with the loss of certainty that is perhaps the most telling feature of postmodern culture.

Gallup pollsters asked 7,948 students at 48 colleges to pick two areas, out of half a dozen, which they thought would be most important to them ten years hence.

White evangelicals indicated the most frustration toward the press, pollsters, and the Democratic Party, giving each a lower grade than their fellow Christians or American voters overall did.

For now, I will just highlight the fact that human pollsters are weird, biased and entertaining, in the most human way possible.

Most of the 30 are Conservatives, reflecting the result that is predicted by pollsters.

The Ashanti Region is the traditional stronghold of the New Patriotic Party but political analysts and pollsters have indicated that the infrastructural and developmental projects instituted in the region by President Mahama is most likely a factor that was going to shore up the fortunes of the NDC in the upcoming elections.

Internet polling, he was claiming, is unreliable, because most of the people polled are «older and less educated» (his words, not mine) and have time on their hands to respond to internet pollsters.

«Andrew Cuomo is by far the most popular statewide elected official,» said Marist pollster Lee Miringoff.

The average lead across the most recent poll from each pollster within the last two weeks is now 15 points.

Taking the most recent poll published by each pollster in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative lead over Labour of more than 6 points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow polls with exactly a 6 point lead to contribute a 0.5 to the average.

Most telephone pollsters ask how certain people would be likely to vote in a general election on a scale from one to 10, where one is certain not to vote and 10 is absolutely certain to vote.

Survation were the most accurate pollster in the 2017 general election so it is natural to ask who is right, Survation or the other pollsters?

The main changes in method this week are: instead of using the most recent single poll from each pollster to calculate probabilities, we use the most recent two polls within the last two weeks.

In the defence of the pollsters, younger voters in Britain have historically tended to be among the most apathetic.

«Bloomberg's job - approval is over 50 percent, at a level most politicians would wallow in during this anti-incumbent storm, but it's way down from the heady 70 - plus heights the Mayor enjoyed before he ran for a third term,» Q pollster Mickey Carroll said.

The 2015 election result was a shock to most politicians, pollsters, the media and foreign observers.

Astorino's biggest problem remains the fact that he is unknown to most New Yorkers outside of his home base — a whopping 74 percent said they don't know enough about him to form an opinion, which Q pollster Mickey Carroll called «a big plus for Cuomo.»

The bottom line however is that most phone pollsters like ICM and Populus believe that without specific political weighting phone samples will contain a higher proportion of Labour supporters than in the population as a whole.

«However important one thinks corruption is or should be, and however many times voters tell pollsters they care, what happens — partticularly in suburban communities — is that the voters fall back to what they care most about: property taxes, schools and crime on the streets, not in City Hall or the Capitol,» Levy said.

This is the most pertinent question a pollster can ask.

Pollster Larry Harris says that disparity is not unusual, because it generally reflects where the most number of registered voters live in the area that was surveyed.

«People have different points of view in terms of what's the most important issue,» Steven Greenberg, a Siena Research Institute pollster.

He echoes the view of Mr Duncan Smith who, in his email to me, points out that people in the most deprived neighbourhoods are more reluctant to report violence to pollsters or police.

The campaign for Scottish independence has «virtually no chance» of success, according to one of the most influential pollsters in the world.

Finally, a note on the pollsters: YouGov and Survation emerge with the most credit.

Labour continues to receive the most blame for the spending cuts, Joe Twyman of pollsters YouGov says.

«A majority of Democrats, independents, voters from every region and race agree that the Attorney General and not local district attorneys should have authority in cases where unarmed civilians are killed by police officers, although Democrats, New York City voters, blacks and Latinos feel most strongly about this,» Siena College pollster Steve Greenberg said.

Pollsters believed the remaining undecided voters are most affected by economic arguments.

Iowa pollsters» losses were Ted Cruz's gain Monday night, as even the most storied surveys of the Hawkeye State's electorate missed the Texas senator's surging momentum.

The most exciting thing that has happened in this race of late is that Sweetland's pollster, who also happens to be a professor at Syracuse University, has stepped aside after Maffei made an issue of the pollster's dual roles.

Polls show Paladino rising against the once seemingly unassailable Cuomo, but the latest survey showed Lazio taking 8 percent of voters, most of whom would likely go to Paladino and cut into Cuomo's lead, said Marist College pollster Lee Miringoff.

Considering the accuracy of the predictions of even the most, «accomplished,» pollsters it's probably too early to predict House races very much before election night.

Rasmussen Reports told you all along that it was a much closer race than most other pollsters predicted.

The so - called «Trump Effect» most heavily influences Democrats, pollsters found.

It is an election which has not just defied all the predictions of the pollsters and pundits - but which may yet prompt the most fundamental re-casting of British politics for a generation..

The release of this poll prompted Kaminsky's campaign to mention five isolated races over a seven year period as evidence that Siena, generally regarded as one of the county's most accurate pollsters, «has been consistently wrong in late polls.»

The other part is that the poll is from Siena, and Siena tends to be one of the most pro-Democrat pollsters, so that swing may not be as wide as it's being portrayed.

One of the country's most respected pollsters tells me he predicts the referendum will be lost by quite a wide margin.