Coal is responsible for as
much atmospheric carbon dioxide as the other fossil fuels combined, and its reserves make coal even more important for the long run.
To make sense of what will happen in the next decades, climate scientists urgently need accurate estimates of how
much atmospheric carbon will be sequestered in the soils and water, and how much will linger in the atmosphere.
They were Jorge Sarmiento, an oceanographer at Princeton University who constructs ocean - circulation models that calculate how
much atmospheric carbon dioxide eventually goes into the world's oceans; Eileen Claussen, executive director of the Pew Center for Global Climate Change in Washington, D.C.; and David Keith, a physicist with the University of Calgary in Alberta who designs technological solutions to the global warming problem.
Not exact matches
A crucial reason why the study of freshwater acidification has lagged until now is because determining how
atmospheric carbon affects these ecosystems requires complex modeling, and is
much less clear than that occurring in oceans, according to study author Linda Weiss, an aquatic ecologist at Ruhr University Bochum in Germany.
Their results suggest a drop of as
much as 10 degrees for fresh water during the warm season and 6 degrees for the atmosphere in the North Atlantic, giving further evidence that the concentration of
atmospheric carbon dioxide and Earth's surface temperature are inextricably linked.
Although the earth has experienced exceptional warming over the past century, to estimate how
much more will occur we need to know how temperature will respond to the ongoing human - caused rise in
atmospheric greenhouse gases, primarily
carbon dioxide.
The seven - day rainfall total from Harvey was as
much as 40 percent higher than rainfall from a similar storm would have been decades ago, before human activity caused
atmospheric carbon dioxide levels to spike, according to a study published yesterday in Geophysical Research Letters.
Since methane can cause about 20 times as
much atmospheric warming as
carbon dioxide, curbing methane would help slow global warming.
«Human influence is so dominant now,» Baker asserts, «that whatever is going to go on in the tropics has
much less to do with sea surface temperatures and the earth's orbital parameters and
much more to do with deforestation, increasing
atmospheric carbon dioxide and global warming.»
The planet also passed a grim milestone: an
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration of 400 parts per million, including remote Antarctica, which hasn't seen that
much CO2 for 4 million years.
We have no idea, for example, how
much of the
atmospheric carbon being absorbed by the surface of the oceans reaches the bottom, nor how long that takes.
The World Energy Outlook suggests that unambitious pledges made at last year's United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change conference in Copenhagen will mean that
much tougher action is needed after 2020 if the world is to meet the goal of limiting
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) to 450 parts per million (p.p.m.).
There is, therefore,
much current interest in how coccolithophore calcification might be affected by climate change and ocean acidification, both of which occur as
atmospheric carbon dioxide increases.
Armed with this information, scientists will be able to do a
much better job forecasting
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations in the future, he said, and in understanding the role of human activities on the
carbon cycle.
Much study has focused on the effects these rising
carbon dioxide levels could have on weather patterns and global temperatures, but could elevated
atmospheric CO2 levels negatively affect the nutritional value of the food we grow?
Through further work Arrhenius determined that if you halved the amount of
atmospheric carbon dioxide, the temperature of Europe could drop by as
much as 4 - 5 °C.
These changes alter the biospheric
carbon cycle, and can significantly affect how
much carbon is cycled through plant matter, in turn causing changes in
atmospheric CO2.
The ocean, with around 38,000 gigatons (Gt) of
carbon (1 gigaton = 1 billion tons), contains 16 times as
much carbon as the terrestrial biosphere, that is all plant and the underlying soils on our planet, and around 60 times as
much as the pre-industrial atmosphere, i.e., at a time before people began to drastically alter the
atmospheric CO2 content by the increased burning of coal, oil and gas.
The more correct statement is that the planet has never before seen
atmospheric carbon raise so
much, so quickly, without a mass extinction event.
The release of this trapped methane is a potential major outcome of a rise in temperature; it is thought that this is a main factor in the global warming of 6 °C that happened during the end - Permian extinction as methane is
much more powerful as a greenhouse gas than
carbon dioxide (despite its
atmospheric lifetime of around 12 years, it has a global warming potential of 72 over 20 years and 25 over 100 years).
Ozone doesn't get as
much attention, but
atmospheric ozone is blamed for forest dieback, which in turn reduces
carbon sequestration.
And, the IPCC projection is probably too high because it was driven by a collection of climate models which new science indicates produce too
much warming given a rise in
atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.
There is a theory that the rising of the Himalayas and the Tibetan plateau provided the barrier that made the South Asian monsoons possible, and a secondary theory that the increased rainfall on the freshly raised mountain slopes weathered so
much rock that the planet's levels of
atmospheric carbon dioxide took a dive, to precipitate 30 million years of Ice Ages.
In view of the
much larger quantities and absorbing power of
atmospheric water vapour it was concluded that the effect of
carbon dioxide was probably negligible.»
If you accept that
carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas and that human fossil fuel use is now the dominant contributor to
atmospheric CO2 changes, then knowing how
much global temperatures respond to increased greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is important for understanding the future climate.
Solomon argues that «long - term temperature change remains primarily associated with total cumulative
carbon emissions, owing to [their]
much longer
atmospheric residence time.»
A «
carbon neutral» bioenergy source would be one that sequestered as
much carbon in its growth cycle as it released later when burned as fuel, with the sequestering occurring concurrently with the burning, or nearly so, rather than decades hence, when the negative emissions count for less in stabilizing
atmospheric CO2 levels.
Saying «How
much warming will a doubling of
atmospheric carbon dioxide actually produce?»
1) How
much warming will an increase in
atmospheric carbon dioxide cause directly?
[T] he author is convinced that recent increases of
atmospheric carbon dioxide have contributed
much less than 5 % of the recent changes of
atmospheric temperature, and will contribute no more than that in the foreseeable future.
We've been moving CO2 out of sequestration (fossil fuels) into the more mobile atmosphere, water, biosphere — and as a result
atmospheric concentrations of CO2 will be out of equilibrium until
much slower natural processes move the
carbon out of those compartments.
Similarly, they produce about twice as
much greenhouse
carbon dioxide and other
atmospheric pollutants;
Although the earth has experienced exceptional warming over the past century, to estimate how
much more will occur we need to know how temperature will respond to the ongoing human - caused rise in
atmospheric greenhouse gases, primarily
carbon dioxide.
Our DOE Comment focuses entirely on the new science concerning the equilibrium climate sensitivity, that is, how
much the earth's average surface temperature will increase from a doubling of the
atmospheric carbon dioxide content.
Also, while we have good
atmospheric measurements of other key greenhouse gases such as
carbon dioxide and methane, we have poor measurements of global water vapor, so it is not certain by how
much atmospheric concentrations have risen in recent decades or centuries, though satellite measurements, combined with balloon data and some in - situ ground measurements indicate generally positive trends in global water vapor.»
Secretary Kerry should not use the SEIS to duck the significance of the U.S. National Interest Determination for whether, or how
much, of what has been termed the tar sands «
carbon bomb» stays in the ground or is ultimately added to the
atmospheric concentration of
carbon dioxide.
Healthy forests play a key role in global ecosystems as they contain
much of the terrestrial biodiversity on the planet and act as a net sink for capturing
atmospheric carbon.
Furthermore, the discovery of a surprising number of submarine volcanoes highlights the underestimation of global volcanism and provides a loose basis for an estimate that may partly explain ocean acidification and rising
atmospheric carbon dioxide levels observed last century, as well as shedding
much needed light on intensified polar spring melts.
They suggest instead that improved agricultural and forestry practices offer a more natural way to draw down CO2, noting that reforestation of degraded land and improved agricultural practices that retain soil
carbon could draw down
atmospheric CO2 by as
much as 50 ppm.
Today, most scientists agree that too
much carbon, deposited in the short term
atmospheric account in the form of
carbon dioxide, is throwing our world's climate out of kilter.
And this all supports the analysis that the climate is
much more sensitive to changes in greenhouse gas emissions and other «forcings» than the IPCC models have been saying and that a doubling of
atmospheric concentrations of
carbon dioxide from preindustrial levels to 550 ppm will ultimately warm the planet far more than 3 °C, as NASA's James Hansen argues (see «Long - term» climate sensitivity of 6 °C for doubled CO2).
The
carbon chemistry of the surface waters is thus changing
much more quickly than can be explained by simple immediate forcing from
atmospheric CO2.
This route of consideration entails the inference of what we'll call each respective warmist's primary and secondary gain motivating his allegiance to this objectively insupportable (and factually unsupported) damnfool contention about the adverse effects of anthropogenic
atmospheric carbon dioxide and —
much more importantly — the political measures being pushed by each such statist sumbeech in order to allegedly ameliorate the tissue - of - lies «externalities» nonsensically asserted to be associated with the complete combustion of petrochemical fuels upon which all of industrial civilization depends for its function.
General circulation models predict that, for a doubling of
atmospheric concentrations of
carbon dioxide, mean annual air temperatures may rise several degrees over
much of the Arctic.
(3) Other cases are described on my Columbia University web site, e.g., Switzerland finances construction of coal plants, Sweden builds them, and Australia exports coal and sets
atmospheric carbon dioxide goals so large as to guarantee destruction of
much of the life on the planet.
First is that the climate models using by the IPCC are running behind the latest science, and secondly, and quite significantly, the climate models used by the IPCC produce too
much warming for a given rise in
atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.
Without any warming, even a huge emission of 1000 GT would not raise
atmospheric carbon all that
much.
Crok is a freelance science writer from The Netherlands and Lewis, an independent climate scientist, was an author on two recent important papers regarding the determination of the earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)-- that is, how
much the earth's average surface temperature will rise as a result of a doubling of the
atmospheric concentration of
carbon dioxide.
There are two prominent and undeniable examples of the models» insufficiencies: 1) climate models overwhelmingly expected
much more warming to have taken place over the past several decades than actually occurred; and 2) the sensitivity of the earth's average temperature to increases in
atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (such as
carbon dioxide) averages some 60 percent greater in the IPCC's climate models than it does in reality (according to a large and growing collection of evidence published in the scientific literature).
The bottom line from the new report from the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) is that the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) knew, but didn't highlight, the fact that the best available scientific evidence suggests that the earth's climate is
much less sensitive to
atmospheric carbon dioxide input than the climate models they relied upon to forecast future global warming portray.