Authors concludes that — to the extent that we have simple plausible physical arguments that support the model consensus — we believe that one should have nearly as
much confidence in these results as one has in the increase in temperature itself
Not exact matches
As a
result of our limited
confidence in how the Living Goods and BRAC programs are monitored, we do not know how
much we will be able to learn about the success of the programs
in the future.
For comparison, a definite «discovery» would not be acceptable scientifically below a
confidence levelof 5 σ, and so for the time being the CERN scientists are keen to downplay the
results and look towards obtaining
much more data
in 2012 so as to make a more definitive assessment by the end of the year.
We decided that making so
much of the
result of our measure dependent on decisions
in which we had so little
confidence reduced the value of the index as a whole.
That
result — against a team confident of being
in the Premier League next season — provided the Gunners with a
much - needed
confidence boost, but it merely papered over the cracks, which are wide and deep.
Form should go out of the window with so
much at stake for our side today however, but
confidence will be high, and that should prove enough to win the match, especially with our rivals stuck
in seventh
in the division regardless of the
result.
On the Chelsea game i thought we were doing ok (but for the referee) and then came the penalty Chelsea grew
in confidence by fowling some more our determination to get a point
resulted in the other goal yes Ozil looked tired but so did
much of the team as they did not have the killing instinct boots on them.
Having already qualified for the next round of the Europa League, Arsenal do not have to risk too
much away to Cologne tonight, but at the same time it would be
much better to get a
result in Germany that would guarantee us top spot and keep the
confidence building.
This
result is
much more important
in the form of a clean sheet for the team, as it represents a great deal of
confidence going into a match against Manchester United.
However, the large - scale nature of heat content variability, the similarity of the Levitus et al. (2005a) and the Ishii et al. (2006) analyses and new
results showing a decrease
in the global heat content
in a period with
much better data coverage (Lyman et al., 2006), gives
confidence that there is substantial inter-decadal variability
in global ocean heat content.
Indeed, at a time when parents are being admonished to develop their children's emotional and social intelligences as
much as their academic ones, it may well undermine parents»
confidence in a
results - based accountability system if all that system does is measure academic outcomes.
When the numbers
result in a Blue State: Red State ratio of 9:1, one suspects, with even more than 90 percent
confidence, that RttT is as
much or more a partisan boondoggle as an education reform strategy.
We recently moved and established care with a new vet today and after describing the issue they suggested a large amount of different reasons, a large amount of expensive tests and ultimately didn't give us
much confidence it would
result in us helping our dog.
And while it could be argued that the dazzling boom and bust of a few 26 - year - old white male skateboarders - cum - abstract - painters isn't representative of thousands of other emerging artists, the spectacular market failure of that one, tiny group had a
much broader cooling effect on the market: With collectors suddenly questioning the value of their not - insignificant investments (no matter how rich you are, watching your $ 100,000 painting go to $ 20,000
in a few months has to be unpleasant), a crisis of
confidence resulted in some very good galleries going under.
For example, how
much confidence can we really have
in results from ice sheet models, which very likely miss important mechanisms (e.g., due to limited understanding of ocean - ice shelf interactions, calving physics and influence of small - scale topography)?
On Monday, I asked him,
in essence, if the shape of the 20th - century temperature curve were to shift
much as a
result of some of the issues that have come up
in the disclosed e-mail messages and files, would that erode
confidence in the keystone climate question (the high
confidence expressed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
in 2007 that most warming since 1950 is driven by human activities)?
It is rather like Fermi at Los Alamos taking bets on whether the Trinity test would initiate a catastrophic chain reaction
in the atmosphere and incinerate the entire state of New Mexico: As Fermi was present at the test, his motive was certainly not profit, but rather to assess relative how
much confidence people had that the test would not have catastrophic
results.
Until and unless Dr Forest demonstrates that the model data used
in Forest 2006 was correctly processed from the raw model simulation run data, I can not see that
much confidence can be placed
in the validity of the Forest 2006
results.
At least with a model like the MIT one used
in Forest 2006 one can (if the descriptions of it are correct) set the key climate sensitivity, effective ocean diffusivity and aerosol forcing levels independently and with some
confidence (I'm not the person to ask how
much) that the simulated
results reflect those settings.
Since so
much is riding on an uncertain art and imprecise science, only further methodological debate, exposure, and interdisciplinary consensus about legitimacy will allow us to place the needed level of
confidence in results like MBH.
I have seen first - hand the
results of placing too
much confidence in models.
Furthermore, they are liable to be misleading because the conclusions, usually
in the form of PDFs, imply
much greater
confidence than the underlying assumptions justify; we know our current models are inadequate and we know many of the reasons why they are so.These methods aim to increase our ability to communicate the appropriate degree of
confidence in said
results.
We have more
confidence in our present - day (interglacial)
result since it is based on fits to direct observations rather than on more uncertain paleoreconstructions, and we find it unlikely that glacial sensitivities were
much lower than 2.5 K, given ice albedo feedbacks (47, 48).
How scientific
results impact public policy is controlled by how
much confidence the general public has
in the scientific
results, and this
confidence can be reduced if the public believes that the scientific
results consist of «scary scenarios» put forward by scientists primarily
in order to influence public policy.
When the
results of our understanding are going to be used to justify huge expenditures and total restructuring of the world economy they require a
much greater
confidence in the
results than lesser endeavors.
The ROW trend is
much different than the US trends: the most interesting
result of this will (
in my opinion) be, not so
much a major revision of US temperature history where one already has pretty warm 1930s (but there will be an effect there), but the information on variations
in trends
resulting from site quality differences than need to be included
in ROW calculations and
confidence interval calculations.
It shows that though you are very
much elated to apply for the position, you have the
confidence that your
results for the company would promote you to a rank above the present one
in the coming future.
RISMEDIA, January 19, 2010 — After declining throughout
much of 2009, American consumer
confidence improved sharply
in January 2010, returning to levels not seen since the financial crisis began
in September 2008, according to the most recent
results of the RBC CASH (Consumer Attitudes and Spending by Household) Index.