Sentences with phrase «much flatter yield»
The two - year yield has increased 115 bps (see Exhibit 1), however the long end of the curve has fallen, producing a much flatter yield curve.
http://www.indexologyblog.com/ Not exact matches
Assuming they and insurance companies buy as much as JP Morgan and others estimate, long - term yields may not rise at all this year and yield curves will remain flat.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
When adjusting for the proximity of the policy rate to zero, the yield curve turns out to be much flatter (closer to inverting) than it current appears.
If there are misfinanced (too much short - term borrowing) or over-indebted areas of the economy, there can be considerable economic failure with a flat or inverted yield curve.
US bond yields have fallen to around 5.4 per cent, much the same as the cash rate, resulting (unusually for this stage of the economic cycle) in a flat yield curve.
When the yield curve is flatter, the capital gain is predicted to be much less.
If there are misfinanced (too much short - term borrowing) or over-indebted areas of the economy, there can be considerable economic failure with a flat or inverted yield curve.
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