Clearly, bitcoin and, cryptocurrencies in general, offer
a much high earnings potential than established financial assets, which is why so many investors are now diversifying into this new digital asset class.
For instance, a big special dividend financed by debt would still leave shareholders with a period of
high leverage and
potential earnings volatility before they have as
much in their pockets as the buyout price.
As usual, I don't place too
much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest
potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already
high price / peak
earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large
potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at
higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial
potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
For maximum
earnings potential, the Sapphire Reserve is Chase's
high - end premium card, earning 1 point per dollar on travel and dining along with many other benefits, but the annual fee is
much higher at $ 450 per year.