Sentences with phrase «much larger error bars»

So, it's quite likely that the next IPCC report will have much larger error bars on its estimates of future temperature or precipitation, compared with AR4.

Not exact matches

This actually widens the error bars so much that for large aerosol forcings, you can not rule out even zero climate sensitivity.
While it is true that, holding everything else equal, an increase in how much cooling was associated with aerosols would lead to an increase in the estimate of climate sensitivity, the error bars are too large for this to be much of a constraint.
We know how much radiation comes from the sun, and we know the effects of CO2, but there are pretty large error bars on aerosols that this mission could help with.
Because if you don't believe the instrumental temperature record, then why even bother to attempt a very much less accurate method of reconstruction, where the error bars are most likely larger than the reconstructed time series itself?
I imagine the error bars are almost as large as the delta, so while the calculations would reveal interesting possibilities they probably wouldn't tell us that much for sure.
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