Shaviv claims
much less uncertainty of CO2 doubling sensitivity ΔTx2 = 1.3 ± 0.4 °, but he's not getting paid as much as the others for his research.
Why isn't a TCR type of simulation, but instead using actual history and 200 year projected GHG levels in the atmosphere, that would produce results similar to a TCR simulation (at least for the AGW temp increase that would occur when the CO2 level is doubled) and would result in
much less uncertainty than ECS (as assessed by climate model dispersions), a more appropriate metric for a 300 year forecast, since it takes the climate more than 1000 years to equilibrate to the hypothesized ECS value, and we have only uncertain methods to check the computed ECS value with actual physical data?
Scientific predictions of climate change for the next couple centuries, when we already know that CO2 and water vapor will be high, involves
much less uncertainty than prediction of climate change when CO2 and water vapor are low.
Not exact matches
That the Times didn't report these findings,
much less bother to interview anyone for the article other than Dr. McKee, wasn't at all surprising to me (and, I'm sure, to many scientists) for one simple reason: such
uncertainty didn't fit the Times» 10 - year football = CTE meme.
Though I see nothing but vague & cloudy
uncertainty in the foreground of our being, yet I fancy I discern a very bright light a good way further on, and this makes me care
much less about the cloudiness & indistinctness which is near.
The internal structures of giant planets are
much less well known than those of main - sequence stars because of
uncertainties in the equation of state of degenerate gas, the composition (typically non-solar), the interaction with the magnetic field and, in the upper layers, the relative magnitudes of internal heat and energy deposited from the sun.
We find that our estimates and their associated
uncertainties are comparable to the results of other methods, but with the additional benefit of being able to explore many more stellar parameters while using
much less computation time.
This means you have a better sense of how
much your investment is worth, and
less uncertainty is always a good thing.
«If anything, macro
uncertainties may be
less worrisome now than they have been for
much of the past century,» Zweig says.
This is
much less stressful for the pet than having to go into a foster home and eliminates the
uncertainty of what might happen to the pet if it was surrendered to a shelter.
Solar is
much less likely to have driven the rise than expect only 5 years ago (0.1 w / m ^ 2 Wang 2005 slightly
less with Svalggard 2007 Perminger 2010) and aerosols have the largest
uncertainty (when you include cloud albedo).
(It's important to keep in mind that
uncertainty could result in outcomes being
much worse than the midrange outcome, or
much less severe).
The skin temperature can be measured with absolute
uncertainties of
much less than 0.1 ºK The thermometer in the surface following float is accurate to better than 0.01 ºK.
You say that this
uncertainty is used «to argue that environmental policies based on concerns over global warming are not even worthy of support», but it seems to us that it is
less the case that your objection is based on an argument made as
much as the fact that they outlined a difference of opinion.
In my opinion, there is enough autocorrelation in these series such that, statistically, the
uncertainties in the trend are
much wider than sometimes thought and are sufficiently wide that neither Hansen's Scenario B (nor scenarios with
lesser and greater «true» increases) can be said to be rejected — contrary to the views of many readers.
The total
uncertainty is
much less than the long - term changes in climate during the last 150 years.
But the
uncertainty cuts both ways — it might warm more than we expect, just as
much as it might warm
less.
The
uncertainty monster pressures scientists into not rocking the boat too
much so they tend to believe results that are
less dramatic, more in line with accepted wisdom.
It suggested that the climate might be
much less sensitive to greenhouse gases than had been claimed by the IPCC in its report last September, and recommended that more work be carried out «to reduce the underlying
uncertainty».
The SSTs should be free of UHI and
much less susceptible to
uncertainty due to lack of complete coverage, i.e. something we could hang our hats on — then Steve M opens this can of worms.
Despite decades of persistent
uncertainty over how sensitive the climate system is to increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels, we now have new satellite evidence which strongly suggests that the climate system is
much less sensitive than is claimed by the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
I admit, I stay out of Australia as
much as possible, but every time I do look that way, I'm told with increasing certainty that the Great Barrier Reef is dying rapidly, and more and more blame is being laid at the feet of governments» and businesses» bad hydrology practices with
less and
less uncertainty.
We demonstrate how TCS is related to ECS and TCR metrics to reduce
uncertainty in ECS and TCR, and prove ECS
uncertainty is
much less than claimed in the IPCC AR4 report consulted by the IWG.
This
uncertainty offers fertile ground for contrarians to imply that future global warming will be
much less than commonly thought.
energy budget is
much less dependent on the shortwave scattering component which makes up the bulk of
uncertainty with cloud feedback.
Zhai makes
much less allowance for
uncertainty than does Brient Alb, hence its narrow constrained ECS range.
Optimum averaging gives
less weight to areas of high data
uncertainty than do ordinary averaging methods, and it takes
much better account of data gaps.
The date this piece is September 22, 2006, a bit
less than three months after the release of Al Gore's «An Inconvenient Truth» movie, so it would not be
much of a stretch to guess that when the writer says he recently came to understand this «false sense of
uncertainty» situation, he gleaned it from the movie, where Gore spelled out the «reposition global warming» phrase full screen and then immediately followed it with a reference to the infamous «Doubt is Our Product» leaked memo phrase from the tobacco industry.
The Brexit vote in the U.K. has added new
uncertainties that will not be fully understood,
much less resolved, in the near term.
With QM and BASEL III released, there's
much less of the regulatory
uncertainty that lenders have been concerned about since the big Wall Street reform bill, Dodd - Frank, was enacted a few years ago.