Dividend oriented investors often focus too
much on current yield (i.e. how much the company pays the investor today), which, by extension, leads to a portfolio of mature slower growth businesses like regulated utilities or telecommunications service companies.
Not exact matches
Coupling that lower valuation
on the company's earnings with the
much higher
current yield leads to a lot of upside, along with what could be more near - term and long - term income from the stock.
As usual, I don't place too
much emphasis
on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the
current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat
yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
I wouldn't focus so
much on the low
current yield of these companies as
much as their very high dividend growth rates.
On the one hand, Home Depot is cheaper relative to its
current revenue and earnings, and it has a
much more generous dividend
yield.
No immediate change in Fed policy is likely — winding down QE3 over the next few months as announced in December will continue, the Fed funds rate target won't shift from its
current zero to 25 basis points and the
yield on the ten year Treasury note won't rise by
much.
Although it feels good to be closing in
on a portfolio value of $ 150,000, I'd
much prefer a natural correction in the stock market which would allow my
current capital (which is more limited than usual) to go further by being able to purchase cheaper equities with higher
yields.
Why is the
yield on cost so
much more than the
current yield?
It looked dumb
on current performance, but if you look at investing as a business asking what level of surplus cash flows the underlying investments will throw off, it was an easy choice, because bonds were offering a
much higher future
yield than stocks.
That «my
yield»
on our BMY investment is 7.5 % vs. the
current dividend
yield of 2.5 % reflects 1) steady increases in the company's dividend payout since 2004, and 2) the stock price is
much higher today than when we bought it (a stock price rising at a faster rate than the dividend payment will reduce dividend
yield).
The scientific process would seem to
yield a
much more reliable foundation
on which to drive societal choices, rather than the
current process of hobbling along with a failed energy market, the freedom to confuse people about science by knowingly lying about it in mass media, and unlimited, anonymous money in politics.
Over the long - term, melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could
yield as
much as 10 to 14 feet of global average sea level rise, with local sea level rise varying considerably depending
on land elevation trends, ocean
currents and other factors.
Nevertheless, total
yields on commercial real estate, both
current and prospective, are
much higher than those for stocks or bonds.
It's mostly focused
on sponsors, and then looking at the projections, as far as how
much of the return would come from
current income and
yield, and how
much of it would be based
on appreciation, and thinking through whether or not, how
much risk there is and the appreciation being realized.